Result
0:1
11/05/2025 at 02:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 16
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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China | QQ Sports |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.77 | 1.94 |
Ball Possession |
---|
40% | 60% |
Total shots |
---|
11 | 16 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 4 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 4 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 3 |
Passes |
---|
73% (277/377) | 84% (464/552) |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.77 | 1.94 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.61 | 1.38 |
Total shots |
---|
11 | 16 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 4 |
Shots off target |
---|
6 | 8 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
0 | 4 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
4 | 13 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
7 | 3 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 4 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 3 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
12 | 34 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
11 | 7 |
Passes |
---|
73% (277/377) | 84% (464/552) |
Long passes |
---|
30% (17/56) | 46% (30/65) |
Passes in final third |
---|
68% (98/145) | 77% (150/196) |
Crosses |
---|
25% (3/12) | 46% (11/24) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.69 | 1.36 |
Throw-ins |
---|
17 | 18 |
Fouls |
---|
7 | 11 |
Tackles |
---|
62% (8/13) | 55% (6/11) |
Duels won |
---|
45 | 45 |
Clearances |
---|
18 | 21 |
Interceptions |
---|
6 | 10 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
3 | 5 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.38 | 0.61 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.38 | 0.61 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 23', Suzuki T. 🟥,
- 27', Hummet D. ↓, Kurata S. ↑,
- 33', 0 - 1, Shiotani T. ⚽, Germain R. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Usami T. ↓, Kishimoto T. ↑,
- 46', Nakamura S. ↓, Maeda N. ↑,
- 57', Shiotani T. 🟨,
- 80', Yamashita R. ↓, Jebali I. ↑,
- 81', Juan Alano ↓, Minamino H. ↑,
- 90+1', Fukuoka S. ↓, Toyama S. ↑,
- 90+2', Germain R. ↓, Koshimichi S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Gamba Osaka 31.2% | Draw 29% | Sanfrecce Hiroshima 39.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gamba Osaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)Sanfrecce Hiroshima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gamba Osaka than the current prediction. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sanfrecce Hiroshima than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
Gamba Osaka - Sanfrecce Hiroshima Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.01 ↑ (2.82) |
3.26 ↓ (3.44) |
2.37 ↓ (2.4) |
6.1% (6.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Gamba Osaka - Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Gamba Osaka will win (votes: 6 - 50%). Hiroshima will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gamba Osaka: 21.7% – 78.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 6 and 5).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gamba Osaka won 3.
- Gamba Osaka is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Hiroshima's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Gamba Osaka: Hayashi D.
(Inactive)
Miura G.
(Knee Injury)
Okunuki K.
(Inactive)
Welton
(Ankle Injury)
- There will not play in Hiroshima: Arslan T.
(Knee Injury)
Kawanami G.
(Hand Injury)
Nakajima Y.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gamba Osaka won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 24:34. (average 1.2:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Gamba Osaka won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 1.1:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Gamba Osaka won against Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
Gamba Osaka has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sanfrecce Hiroshima won against Gamba Osaka?
Sanfrecce Hiroshima has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gamba Osaka - Sanfrecce Hiroshima were as follows:
08.12.2024
Gamba Osaka
-
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
3:1
11.09.2024
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
-
Gamba Osaka
1:2
30.03.2024
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
-
Gamba Osaka
1:1
10.02.2024
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
-
Gamba Osaka
1:2
25.11.2023
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
-
Gamba Osaka
3:0
Latest results of Gamba Osaka
Latest results of Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Japan J1 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Vissel Kobe | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 34:22 | 12 | 46 |
2 | Kashima Antlers | 24 | 14 | 2 | 8 | 36:24 | 12 | 44 |
3 | Kashiwa Reysol | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 33:23 | 10 | 44 |
4 | Kyoto | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 40:29 | 11 | 42 |
5 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 24 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 29:18 | 11 | 42 |
6 | Machida | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 34:25 | 9 | 40 |
7 | Kawasaki Frontale | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 38:26 | 12 | 38 |
8 | Urawa Reds | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 32:24 | 8 | 37 |
9 | Cerezo Osaka | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 37:33 | 4 | 34 |
10 | Gamba Osaka | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 29:31 | -2 | 34 |
11 | Avispa Fukuoka | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 21:23 | -2 | 31 |
12 | Okayama | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 20:22 | -2 | 30 |
13 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 29:32 | -3 | 30 |
14 | FC Tokyo | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 27:34 | -7 | 29 |
15 | Nagoya Grampus | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 28:33 | -5 | 28 |
16 | Verdy | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 15:24 | -9 | 28 |
17 | Shonan Bellmare | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 20:37 | -17 | 24 |
18 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 23:32 | -9 | 21 |
19 | Yokohama FC | 24 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 14:30 | -16 | 19 |
20 | Albirex Niigata | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 24:41 | -17 | 19 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ J2 League