Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Gamba Osaka – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Japan J1 League Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Gamba Osaka
Result
1:0
16/08/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • J1 League - Round 26
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
chinaChinaK-Ball
germanyGermanySportdigital FUSSBALL
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
indonesiaIndonesiaPSJ TV
japanJapanDAZN Japan
switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.250.07
Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
133
Shots on target
40
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
83
Passes
81% (277/343)81% (340/421)
Yellow Cards
04
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.250.07
xG on target (xGOT)
1.050.00
Total shots
133
Shots on target
40
Shots off target
62
Blocked Shots
31
Shots inside the Box
100
Shots outside the Box
33
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
83
Touches in opposition box
298
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
32
Free Kicks
1313
Passes
81% (277/343)81% (340/421)
Long passes
40% (17/42)31% (14/45)
Passes in final third
76% (101/133)64% (65/102)
Crosses
18% (4/22)20% (2/10)
Expected assists (xA)
1.310.45
Throw-ins
219
Fouls
1513
Tackles
50% (3/6)67% (4/6)
Duels won
4033
Clearances
2134
Interceptions
61
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
03
xGOT faced
0.001.05
Goals prevented
0.000.05

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 11', Yamashita R. 🟨,
  • 19', 1 - 0, Nakamura S. , Shiotani T. (A),
  • 22', Jebali I. 🟨,
  • 38', Miura G. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Yamashita R. , Juan Alano ,
  • 60', Abe S. 🟥,
  • 65', Welton , Fukuoka S. ,
  • 67', Maeda N. , Kinoshita K. ,
  • 72', Germain R. , Nakajima Y. ,
  • 75', Nakamura S. , Germain V. ,
  • 80', Kurokawa K. , Okunuki K. ,
  • 80', Jebali I. , Hummet D. ,
  • 80', Miura G. , Kishimoto T. ,
  • 90+4', Okunuki K. 🟨,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Sanfrecce Hiroshima
53.7%
Draw
25.3%
Gamba Osaka
21%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.9% 24.9% 24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5% 23.7% 23%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sanfrecce Hiroshima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
  • Gamba Osaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sanfrecce Hiroshima than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gamba Osaka than the current prediction. (+2%)
  • Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Gamba Osaka Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.75
    (1.81)
    3.71
    (3.7)
    4.5
    (3.8)
    6.4%
    (8.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Gamba Osaka?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Hiroshima will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Gamba Osaka will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Hiroshima: 41.6%98.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Hiroshima (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 6 and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hiroshima won 1.
    • Hiroshima is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Gamba Osaka has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Recently, Gamba Osaka has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Hiroshima is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Hiroshima: Arslan T. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Gamba Osaka: Higashiguchi M. (Health problems)
    • We predict that Hiroshima will win today's game, with odds of 1.71.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hiroshima won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 34:24. (average 1.7:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Hiroshima won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 23:14. (average 2.1:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Gamba Osaka were as follows:
    11.05.2025 Gamba Osaka - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0:1
    08.12.2024 Gamba Osaka - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3:1
    11.09.2024 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Gamba Osaka 1:2
    30.03.2024 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Gamba Osaka 1:1
    10.02.2024 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Gamba Osaka 1:2
    Latest results of Sanfrecce Hiroshima
    Latest results of Gamba Osaka
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kashima Antlers31194848:282061
    2Vissel Kobe31176841:261557
    3Kyoto31168754:332156
    4Kashiwa Reysol311511543:291456
    5Machida31157947:331452
    6Sanfrecce Hiroshima31157935:211452
    7Kawasaki Frontale31149855:401551
    8Urawa Reds31139939:32748
    9Gamba Osaka311441342:45-346
    10Cerezo Osaka3111101048:45343
    11Shimizu S-Pulse3110101133:36-340
    12Okayama311171328:33-540
    13FC Tokyo311171333:42-940
    14Avispa Fukuoka319101230:35-537
    15Nagoya Grampus31991338:43-536
    16Verdy31981420:35-1535
    17Yokohama F. Marinos31771729:41-1228
    18Yokohama FC31771720:36-1628
    19Shonan Bellmare31671828:55-2725
    20Albirex Niigata31491827:50-2321

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League