Result
2:0
14/03/2026 at 02:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 6
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.92 | 0.28 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (234/323) | 71% (240/336) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.92 | 0.28 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 0.12 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 15 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 36 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (234/323) | 71% (240/336) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (28/58) | 25% (15/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (90/138) | 60% (56/93) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (9/34) | 13% (1/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.70 | 0.41 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 30 | 28 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 78% (14/18) | 53% (8/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 73 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 48 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.12 | 0.95 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.12 | -1.05 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 32', Matsumoto T. 🟨,
- 41', 1 - 0, Arai N. ⚽, Kawabe H. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Matsumoto T. ↓, Shiotani T. ↑,
- 46', Meshino R. ↓, Jebali I. ↑,
- 49', Abe S. 🟨,
- 60', Kinoshita K. ↓, Germain R. ↑,
- 61', Okunuki K. ↓, Yamashita R. ↑,
- 61', Abe S. ↓, Welton ↑,
- 66', Kishimoto T. 🟨,
- 68', 2 - 0, Nakamura S. ⚽,
- 70', Suzuki A. ↓, Kato M. ↑,
- 70', Kawabe H. ↓, Sasaki S. ↑,
- 76', Hummet D. ↓, Nawata G. ↑,
- 85', Kishimoto T. 🟨,
- 86', Kurata S. ↓, Handa R. ↑,
- 88', Kim Ju-Sung ↓, Shichi T. ↑,
- 90', Handa R. 🟨,
- 90+2', Yamasaki T. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
55.7% | Draw
24.1% | Gamba Osaka
20.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sanfrecce Hiroshima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)Gamba Osaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sanfrecce Hiroshima than the current prediction. (+7.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sanfrecce Hiroshima, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gamba Osaka than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Gamba Osaka Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.69 ↑
(1.62) |
3.88 ↓
(4.17) |
4.66 ↓
(4.94) |
6.4%
(6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Gamba Osaka?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Hiroshima will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Gamba Osaka will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hiroshima: 35.9% – 97.5%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DNB - Gamba Osaka (3.53) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Sanfrecce Hiroshima will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Hiroshima (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Gamba Osaka (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hiroshima won 2.
- Hiroshima has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Gamba Osaka is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Hiroshima may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Hiroshima is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Hiroshima: Arslan T.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Gamba Osaka: Fukuoka S.
(Injury)
Ichimori J.
(Injury)
Nakano S.
(Injury)
Uenaka A.
(Injury)
Usami T.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Gamba Osaka: Sasaki S.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hiroshima won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 33:22. (average 1.7:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Hiroshima won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 22:12. (average 2:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Sanfrecce Hiroshima won against Gamba Osaka?
Sanfrecce Hiroshima has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gamba Osaka won against Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
Gamba Osaka has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Gamba Osaka were as follows:
16.08.2025
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
-
Gamba Osaka
1:0
11.05.2025
Gamba Osaka
-
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0:1
08.12.2024
Gamba Osaka
-
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
3:1
11.09.2024
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
-
Gamba Osaka
1:2
30.03.2024
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
-
Gamba Osaka
1:1
Latest results of Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Latest results of Gamba Osaka
Japan J1 League Table
2026East | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 16:7 | 23 |
| 2 | FC Tokyo | 10 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 16:9 | 20 |
| 3 | Machida | 10 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 16:16 | 19 |
| 4 | Kawasaki Frontale | 9 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 16:17 | 14 |
| 5 | Verdy | 9 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 14:14 | 13 |
| 6 | Kashiwa Reysol | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 15:13 | 11 |
| 7 | Urawa Reds | 9 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 13:13 | 11 |
| 8 | Mito | 9 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11:18 | 10 |
| 9 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 12:15 | 9 |
| 10 | Chiba | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 9:16 | 8 |
West | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 10 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 20:10 | 22 |
| 2 | Gamba Osaka | 9 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 16:13 | 17 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 9 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 15:12 | 16 |
| 4 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 10 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 14:12 | 16 |
| 5 | Kyoto | 9 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 12:11 | 14 |
| 6 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 9 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10:14 | 12 |
| 7 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 13:13 | 11 |
| 8 | Cerezo Osaka | 9 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9:11 | 11 |
| 9 | Okayama | 9 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10:15 | 11 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 9 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9:17 | 8 |
Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)
