Yokohama F. Marinos vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:0
25/10/2025 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • J1 League - Round 35
  • Where to Watch on TV:
japanJapanDAZN Japan

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.110.58
Ball Possession
27%73%
Total shots
68
Shots on target
31
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
16
Passes
38% (78/203)80% (441/553)
Yellow Cards
30
Expected Goals (xG)
1.110.58
xG on target (xGOT)
1.030.07
Total shots
68
Shots on target
31
Shots off target
15
Blocked Shots
22
Shots inside the Box
37
Shots outside the Box
21
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
16
Touches in opposition box
813
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
57
Free Kicks
1117
Passes
38% (78/203)80% (441/553)
Long passes
17% (13/75)41% (32/78)
Passes in final third
20% (16/80)57% (74/130)
Crosses
20% (1/5)35% (7/20)
Expected assists (xA)
0.190.71
Throw-ins
2323
Fouls
1711
Tackles
63% (10/16)55% (6/11)
Duels won
5670
Clearances
3418
Interceptions
1310
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
10
xGOT faced
0.071.03
Goals prevented
-0.93-1.97

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 12', 1 - 0, Uenaka A. , Kida T. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Suga D. , Nakamura S. ,
  • 46', Koshimichi S. , Nakano S. ,
  • 46', Germain V. , Tanaka S. ,
  • 58', Shiotani T. , Higashi S. ,
  • 58', Kato M. , Kinoshita K. ,
  • 70', Inoue K. , Yuri Araujo ,
  • 72', Quinones J. 🟨,
  • 78', Croux J. , Amano J. ,
  • 78', Germain R. , Araki H. ,
  • 80', Yuri Araujo 🟨,
  • 86', 2 - 0, Amano J. (Pen),
  • 87', Suzuki T. 🟨,
  • 90+2', 3 - 0, Quinones J. , Amano J. (A),
  • 90+3', Suzuki T. , Yamane R. ,
  • 90+6', Tanimura K. , David D. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Yokohama F. Marinos
26.7%
Draw
26.9%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
46.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
22.5% 25.1% 52.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.2% 24.8% 53.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Yokohama F. Marinos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
  • Sanfrecce Hiroshima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sanfrecce Hiroshima might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yokohama F. Marinos than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sanfrecce Hiroshima than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sanfrecce Hiroshima could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Yokohama F. Marinos - Sanfrecce Hiroshima Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.71
    (4.2)
    3.59
    (3.76)
    2.02
    (1.8)
    4.4%
    (6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Yokohama F. Marinos - Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Yokohama FM will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Hiroshima will win (votes: 5 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Hiroshima: 19%81%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Yokohama FM (2.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Yokohama FM (1.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Yokohama FM (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 17 and 5).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Yokohama FM won 2.
    • Recent performances by Yokohama FM have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Hiroshima is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Hiroshima may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Hiroshima is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Yokohama FM: Kimura T. (Knee Injury) Matsubara K. (Knee Injury) Tono D. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Watanabe T. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Yokohama FM won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 37:35. (average 1.9:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Yokohama FM won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 26:15. (average 2.6:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Yokohama F. Marinos - Sanfrecce Hiroshima were as follows:
    23.02.2025 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Yokohama F. Marinos 1:0
    22.09.2024 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Yokohama F. Marinos 6:2
    19.06.2024 Yokohama F. Marinos - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3:2
    24.06.2023 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Yokohama F. Marinos 0:1
    03.03.2023 Yokohama F. Marinos - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1:1
    Latest results of Yokohama F. Marinos
    Latest results of Sanfrecce Hiroshima
    Japan J1 League Table
    2026

    East
    PlWWLLPts
    1Kashima Antlers9702016:723
    2FC Tokyo10432116:920
    3Machida10431216:1619
    4Kawasaki Frontale9321316:1714
    5Verdy9320414:1413
    6Kashiwa Reysol9310515:1311
    7Urawa Reds9302413:1311
    8Mito9123311:1810
    9Yokohama F. Marinos9300612:159
    10Chiba920259:168


    West
    PlWWLLPts
    1Vissel Kobe10612120:1022
    2Gamba Osaka9332116:1317
    3Nagoya Grampus9412215:1216
    4Shimizu S-Pulse10323214:1216
    5Kyoto9321312:1114
    6V-Varen Nagasaki9400510:1412
    7Sanfrecce Hiroshima9310513:1311
    8Cerezo Osaka922149:1111
    9Okayama9213310:1511
    10Avispa Fukuoka912159:178

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