Moralo vs Santa Amalia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
04/01/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 16

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 45', 1 - 0, Adeva F. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 87', 2 - 0, Robinho ,

Chances of winning


Moralo
50.3%
Draw
27.1%
Santa Amalia
22.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.8% 29.4% 25.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7% 29.5% 25.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Moralo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Moralo's performance.
  • Santa Amalia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moralo than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Moralo that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Amalia than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
  • Moralo - Santa Amalia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.8
    (2.03)
    3.34
    (3.1)
    4.02
    (3.53)
    10.3%
    (9.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Moralo - Santa Amalia?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 14 (Play Offs: ) and 8).
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Moralo will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Moralo won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Moralo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Moralo - Santa Amalia were as follows:
    23.03.2025 Moralo - Santa Amalia 0:1
    10.11.2024 Santa Amalia - Moralo 1:1
    Latest results of Moralo
    19.12.2025 Azuaga - Moralo 1:2
    14.12.2025 Moralo - Gévora 2:1
    07.12.2025 Calamonte - Moralo 1:1
    16.11.2025 Jaraíz - Moralo 3:0
    Latest results of Santa Amalia
    20.12.2025 Santa Amalia - Diocesano 1:0
    13.12.2025 Villafranca - Santa Amalia 1:2
    07.12.2025 Santa Amalia - Don Benito 0:2
    22.11.2025 Santa Amalia - Jerez 2:2
    16.11.2025 Azuaga - Santa Amalia 1:0
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Don Benito24156350:153551
    2Moralo24128438:241444
    3Jaraiz24119439:231642
    4Cabeza del Buey241011330:171341
    5CD Badajoz24135632:201241
    6Azuaga24117634:241040
    7Villanovense2498726:24235
    8Llerenense241041025:25034
    9Jerez CF24615338:29933
    10Villafranca2496928:29-133
    11Montijo24941126:27-131
    12Puebla24611724:28-429
    13Santa Amalia24851123:32-929
    14Gevora24581122:36-1423
    15Diocesano23481122:37-1520
    16CD Calamonte243101118:29-1119
    17Montehermoso24361517:44-2715
    18Pueblonuevo23351517:46-2914

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 14 (Play Offs: )
          Relegation