Result
0:0
21/12/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 15
- Referee: Vasilica I. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 South-america | Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Play Latinoamerica |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 6, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.49 | 0.29 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (334/419) | 80% (311/388) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.49 | 0.29 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.76 | 0.09 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (334/419) | 80% (311/388) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (25/59) | 25% (14/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (62/99) | 59% (47/80) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (3/12) | 6% (1/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.72 | 0.22 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 25% (2/8) | 43% (3/7) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.09 | 0.76 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.09 | 0.76 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2', Tiago Esgaio 🟨,
- 20', Popovic B. ↓, Sola A. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 64', Wendell ↓, Luquinhas ↑,
- 64', Adriano Firmino ↓, Tavares J. ↑,
- 68', Nandin D. ↓, Lee H. ↑,
- 72', Lima S. 🟨,
- 75', Ferreira P. ↓, Vinicius Lopes ↑,
- 75', MT ↓, Duarte T. ↑,
- 80', Serginho 🟨,
- 82', Puche 🟨,
- 87', van Ee E. ↓, Fukui T. ↑,
- 87', Trezza A. ↓, Gozalbez P. ↑,
- 88', Gabriel Silva ↓, Elias Manoel ↑,
- 88', Djouahra N. ↓, Barbero I. ↑,
Chances of winning
Santa Clara
52.2% | Draw
28.5% | Arouca
19.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Santa Clara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)Arouca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Clara than the current prediction. (+6.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Santa Clara, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arouca than the current prediction. (-2%)
Santa Clara - Arouca Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.82 ↑
(1.66) |
3.32 ↓
(3.52) |
4.82 ↓
(5) |
5.8%
(8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Santa Clara - Arouca?
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Santa Clara will win (votes: 15 - 78.9%). Arouca will win (votes: 1 - 5.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 15.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Santa Clara: 60.6% – 97.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Santa Clara (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 12 and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santa Clara won 1.
- Recent performances by Santa Clara have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Arouca has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Arouca may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Santa Clara is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Santa Clara: Diogo Calila
(International duty)
Pacheco P.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Arouca: Dante A.
(International duty)
Flores M.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Santa Clara: Vinicius Lopes
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Arouca: Popovic B.
(Injury)
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Santa Clara won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 10:17. (average 0.8:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Santa Clara won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 1.2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Santa Clara won against Arouca?
Santa Clara has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Arouca won against Santa Clara?
Arouca has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Santa Clara - Arouca were as follows:
26.04.2025
Santa Clara
-
Arouca
2:0
15.12.2024
Arouca
-
Santa Clara
1:0
11.02.2023
Arouca
-
Santa Clara
1:0
16.12.2022
Santa Clara
-
Arouca
1:2
Latest results of Santa Clara
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 28 | 23 | 4 | 1 | 56:13 | 43 | 73 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 27 | 21 | 5 | 1 | 72:17 | 55 | 68 |
| 3 | Benfica | 28 | 19 | 9 | 0 | 59:18 | 41 | 66 |
| 4 | Braga | 27 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 54:27 | 27 | 49 |
| 5 | Famalicao | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 35:24 | 11 | 46 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente | 28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 42:28 | 14 | 45 |
| 7 | Estoril | 28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | 50:47 | 3 | 37 |
| 8 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | 34:42 | -8 | 35 |
| 9 | Moreirense | 28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | 31:40 | -9 | 35 |
| 10 | Alverca | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 29:46 | -17 | 32 |
| 11 | Arouca | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 37:57 | -20 | 32 |
| 12 | Rio Ave | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 29:48 | -19 | 30 |
| 13 | Santa Clara | 28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 26:35 | -9 | 28 |
| 14 | Estrela | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 33:47 | -14 | 28 |
| 15 | Nacional | 28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 31:39 | -8 | 25 |
| 16 | Casa Pia | 27 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 27:49 | -22 | 25 |
| 17 | Tondela | 27 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 19:44 | -25 | 20 |
| 18 | AFS | 28 | 1 | 8 | 19 | 18:61 | -43 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
