Result
1:0
06/12/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 13
- Referee: Rosa D. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 South-america | Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Play Latinoamerica |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.77 | 0.31 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (209/284) | 75% (285/381) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.77 | 0.31 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 0.90 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 23 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (209/284) | 75% (285/381) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 33% (19/57) | 41% (19/46) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (52/86) | 39% (28/72) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (3/16) | 31% (4/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.65 | 0.45 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 23 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (6/8) | 75% (12/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 54 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 30 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.90 | 0.95 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.90 | -0.05 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 5', Tchamba D. 🟨,
- 11', 1 - 0, Venancio F. ⚽, Serginho (A),
- 25', Serginho 🟨,
- 35', Adriano Firmino 🟨,
- 40', Lima S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 56', Miguel Sousa ↓, Severina X. ↑,
- 56', Nhaga R. ↓, Oukili Y. ↑,
- 56', Tchamba D. ↓, Sousa D. ↑,
- 73', Severina X. 🟨,
- 73', Lucas Soares ↓, Diogo Calila ↑,
- 73', Serginho ↓, Tavares J. ↑,
- 77', Geraldes A. ↓, Rocha Livramento D. ↑,
- 84', Brenner ↓, Luquinhas ↑,
- 84', Wendell ↓, Costa J. ↑,
- 87', Tavares J. 🟨,
- 87', Conte A. ↓, Benaissa-Yahia F. ↑,
- 88', Perez S. 🟨,
- 89', Livolant J. 🟨,
- 90+3', Paulo Victor ↓, MT ↑,
- 90+5', Diogo Calila 🟨,
Chances of winning
Santa Clara
47.2% | Draw
31.9% | Casa Pia
20.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Santa Clara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)Casa Pia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Clara than the current prediction. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Casa Pia than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
Santa Clara - Casa Pia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.01 ↑
(1.94) |
3 ↓
(3.14) |
4.53 ↑
(4.47) |
5.3%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Santa Clara - Casa Pia?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Santa Clara (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DNB - Santa Clara (1.32) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Users Predictions:
Santa Clara will win
(11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Santa Clara (votes: 5 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 12 and 15).
- Both teams are currently in poor form.
- In this match, Santa Clara is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Santa Clara: Pacheco P.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Casa Pia: Kiki
(Knee Injury)
Mendes C.
(Knee Injury)
Sequeira P.
(Red Card)
Svensson M.
(Inactive)
Tchamba D.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Santa Clara: Brenner
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Casa Pia: Mohamed I.
(Inactive)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santa Clara won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 1.2:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Santa Clara won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Santa Clara won against Casa Pia?
Santa Clara has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Casa Pia won against Santa Clara?
Casa Pia has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Santa Clara - Casa Pia were as follows:
01.02.2025
Santa Clara
-
Casa Pia
2:1
24.08.2024
Casa Pia
-
Santa Clara
0:2
29.01.2023
Casa Pia
-
Santa Clara
2:1
Latest results of Santa Clara
Latest results of Casa Pia
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 24 | 21 | 2 | 1 | 47:8 | 39 | 65 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 24 | 19 | 4 | 1 | 62:12 | 50 | 61 |
| 3 | Benfica | 24 | 17 | 7 | 0 | 51:14 | 37 | 58 |
| 4 | Braga | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 50:23 | 27 | 45 |
| 5 | Gil Vicente | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 35:23 | 12 | 40 |
| 6 | Famalicao | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 29:21 | 8 | 36 |
| 7 | Moreirense | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 30:34 | -4 | 34 |
| 8 | Estoril | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 46:42 | 4 | 33 |
| 9 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 28:35 | -7 | 32 |
| 10 | Alverca | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 24:39 | -15 | 27 |
| 11 | Arouca | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 32:52 | -20 | 26 |
| 12 | Estrela | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 26:41 | -15 | 24 |
| 13 | Casa Pia | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 26:44 | -18 | 23 |
| 14 | Nacional | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 28:36 | -8 | 21 |
| 15 | Rio Ave | 24 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 23:44 | -21 | 21 |
| 16 | Santa Clara | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 20:31 | -11 | 19 |
| 17 | Tondela | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 19:38 | -19 | 19 |
| 18 | AFS | 24 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 18:57 | -39 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
