Result
18/04/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Casa Pia
25.8% | Draw
30.4% | Santa Clara
43.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Casa Pia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)Santa Clara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Casa Pia than the current prediction. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Clara than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
Casa Pia - Santa Clara Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.63 ↑
(3.5) |
3.11 ↑
(3.05) |
2.17 ↓
(2.23) |
5.7%
(6.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Liga Portugal (Relegation) and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Casa Pia won 1.
- Casa Pia has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Santa Clara has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Santa Clara may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Santa Clara will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Casa Pia won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 0.8:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Casa Pia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Casa Pia won against Santa Clara?
Casa Pia has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Santa Clara won against Casa Pia?
Santa Clara has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Casa Pia - Santa Clara were as follows:
06.12.2025
Santa Clara
-
Casa Pia
1:0
01.02.2025
Santa Clara
-
Casa Pia
2:1
24.08.2024
Casa Pia
-
Santa Clara
0:2
29.01.2023
Casa Pia
-
Santa Clara
2:1
Latest results of Casa Pia
Latest results of Santa Clara
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 29 | 24 | 4 | 1 | 59:14 | 45 | 76 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 28 | 22 | 5 | 1 | 73:17 | 56 | 71 |
| 3 | Benfica | 29 | 20 | 9 | 0 | 61:18 | 43 | 69 |
| 4 | Braga | 28 | 15 | 7 | 6 | 55:27 | 28 | 52 |
| 5 | Famalicao | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 36:25 | 11 | 47 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente | 28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 42:28 | 14 | 45 |
| 7 | Estoril | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 51:50 | 1 | 37 |
| 8 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 35:43 | -8 | 36 |
| 9 | Moreirense | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 32:41 | -9 | 36 |
| 10 | Alverca | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 32:47 | -15 | 35 |
| 11 | Rio Ave | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 31:48 | -17 | 33 |
| 12 | Arouca | 29 | 9 | 5 | 15 | 37:58 | -21 | 32 |
| 13 | Santa Clara | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 26:37 | -11 | 28 |
| 14 | Estrela | 29 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 33:48 | -15 | 28 |
| 15 | Nacional | 29 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 31:41 | -10 | 25 |
| 16 | Casa Pia | 28 | 5 | 10 | 13 | 28:52 | -24 | 25 |
| 17 | Tondela | 27 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 19:44 | -25 | 20 |
| 18 | AFS | 29 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 19:62 | -43 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
