Result
1:0
07/02/2026 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 21
- Referee: Verissimo F. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 Uruguay | Antel TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 1.31 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (304/363) | 83% (364/440) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 1.31 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.20 | 1.28 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 13 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 37 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (304/363) | 83% (364/440) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (19/41) | 39% (15/38) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (66/90) | 66% (89/134) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (5/15) | 42% (11/26) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.72 | 1.20 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 23 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 47% (8/17) | 57% (13/23) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 57 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 16 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.28 | 1.20 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.28 | 0.20 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 23', Doue G. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Langa B. ↓, Stoica I. ↑,
- 46', Antonetti L. ↓, van Hooijdonk S. ↑,
- 50', Gabriel Silva 🟨,
- 59', 1 - 0, Jovane ⚽, Encada J. (A),
- 64', Wendell ↓, Paciencia G. ↑,
- 65', Vinicius Lopes ↓, Brenner ↑,
- 69', Robinho ↓, Sola A. ↑,
- 69', Jovane ↓, Brahimi B. ↑,
- 77', Paulo Victor ↓, Guilherme Romao ↑,
- 77', Gustavo Klismahn ↓, Welinton Torrao ↑,
- 79', Otavio 🟨,
- 80', Doue G. ↓, Kalley Y. ↑,
- 82', Stoica I. 🟨,
- 87', Lucas Soares ↓, Diogo Calila ↑,
- 90+5', Ribeiro R. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Estrela da Amadora
23.1% | Draw
31.6% | Santa Clara
45.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Estrela da Amadora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Estrela da Amadora's form might have worsened.Santa Clara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estrela da Amadora than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Estrela da Amadora, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Clara than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
Estrela da Amadora - Santa Clara Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.08 ↑
(3.3) |
2.99 ↓
(3.07) |
2.1 ↓
(2.33) |
5.5%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Estrela da Amadora - Santa Clara?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Estrela will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Santa Clara will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 41.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 13.8% – 69.6%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Estrela (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Santa Clara (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.25 - Estrela (1.82) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH +0.5 - Estrela (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Estrela (1.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Estrela (votes: 6 - 60%). Santa Clara (votes: 2 - 20%). Tie (votes: 2 - 20%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 12 and 16 in the zone Liga Portugal (Relegation)).
- In recent matches, Estrela has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Santa Clara is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Santa Clara is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Estrela won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1. (average 0:0.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Estrela won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Estrela da Amadora won against Santa Clara?
Estrela da Amadora has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Santa Clara won against Estrela da Amadora?
Santa Clara has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Estrela da Amadora - Santa Clara were as follows:
31.08.2025
Santa Clara
-
Estrela da Amadora
0:0
23.02.2025
Estrela da Amadora
-
Santa Clara
0:0
21.09.2024
Santa Clara
-
Estrela da Amadora
1:0
Latest results of Estrela da Amadora
Latest results of Santa Clara
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 29 | 24 | 4 | 1 | 59:14 | 45 | 76 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 28 | 22 | 5 | 1 | 73:17 | 56 | 71 |
| 3 | Benfica | 29 | 20 | 9 | 0 | 61:18 | 43 | 69 |
| 4 | Braga | 28 | 15 | 7 | 6 | 55:27 | 28 | 52 |
| 5 | Famalicao | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 36:25 | 11 | 47 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente | 28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 42:28 | 14 | 45 |
| 7 | Estoril | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 51:50 | 1 | 37 |
| 8 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 35:43 | -8 | 36 |
| 9 | Moreirense | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 32:41 | -9 | 36 |
| 10 | Alverca | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 32:47 | -15 | 35 |
| 11 | Rio Ave | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 31:48 | -17 | 33 |
| 12 | Arouca | 29 | 9 | 5 | 15 | 37:58 | -21 | 32 |
| 13 | Santa Clara | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 26:37 | -11 | 28 |
| 14 | Estrela | 29 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 33:48 | -15 | 28 |
| 15 | Nacional | 29 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 31:41 | -10 | 25 |
| 16 | Casa Pia | 28 | 5 | 10 | 13 | 28:52 | -24 | 25 |
| 17 | Tondela | 27 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 19:44 | -25 | 20 |
| 18 | AFS | 29 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 19:62 | -43 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
