Result
1:0
07/02/2026 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 21
- Referee: Verissimo F. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Finland | Veikkaus TV |
Portugal | Sport TV1 |
Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Ukraine |
Uruguay | Antel TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 1.31 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (304/363) | 83% (364/440) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 1.31 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.20 | 1.28 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 13 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 37 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (304/363) | 83% (364/440) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (19/41) | 39% (15/38) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (66/90) | 66% (89/134) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (5/15) | 42% (11/26) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.72 | 1.20 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 23 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 47% (8/17) | 57% (13/23) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 57 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 16 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.28 | 1.20 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.28 | 0.20 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 23', Doue G. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Langa B. ↓, Stoica I. ↑,
- 46', Antonetti L. ↓, van Hooijdonk S. ↑,
- 50', Gabriel Silva 🟨,
- 59', 1 - 0, Jovane ⚽, Encada J. (A),
- 64', Wendell ↓, Paciencia G. ↑,
- 65', Vinicius Lopes ↓, Brenner ↑,
- 69', Robinho ↓, Sola A. ↑,
- 69', Jovane ↓, Brahimi B. ↑,
- 77', Paulo Victor ↓, Guilherme Romao ↑,
- 77', Gustavo Klismahn ↓, Welinton Torrao ↑,
- 79', Otavio 🟨,
- 80', Doue G. ↓, Kalley Y. ↑,
- 82', Stoica I. 🟨,
- 87', Lucas Soares ↓, Diogo Calila ↑,
- 90+5', Ribeiro R. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Estrela da Amadora 23.1% | Draw 31.6% | Santa Clara 45.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Estrela da Amadora - Santa Clara Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
4.08 ↑ (3.3) |
2.99 ↓ (3.07) |
2.1 ↓ (2.33) |
5.5% (5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Estrela da Amadora - Santa Clara?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Estrela will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Santa Clara will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 41.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 13.8% – 69.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Estrela (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Santa Clara (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.25 - Estrela (1.82) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH +0.5 - Estrela (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Estrela (1.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 10 high ROI users predict this event. Estrela (votes: 6 - 60%). Santa Clara (votes: 2 - 20%). Tie (votes: 2 - 20%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 12 and 16 in the zone Liga Portugal (Relegation)).
- In recent matches, Estrela has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Santa Clara is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Santa Clara is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Estrela won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1. (average 0:0.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Estrela won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Estrela da Amadora won against Santa Clara?
Estrela da Amadora has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Santa Clara won against Estrela da Amadora?
Santa Clara has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Estrela da Amadora - Santa Clara were as follows:
31.08.2025
Santa Clara
-
Estrela da Amadora
0:0
23.02.2025
Estrela da Amadora
-
Santa Clara
0:0
21.09.2024
Santa Clara
-
Estrela da Amadora
1:0
Latest results of Estrela da Amadora
Latest results of Santa Clara
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 21 | 18 | 2 | 1 | 42:7 | 35 | 56 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 21 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 55:12 | 43 | 52 |
| 3 | Benfica | 21 | 14 | 7 | 0 | 44:12 | 32 | 49 |
| 4 | Braga | 21 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 44:18 | 26 | 39 |
| 5 | Gil Vicente | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 31:17 | 14 | 37 |
| 6 | Famalicao | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 27:20 | 7 | 32 |
| 7 | Estoril | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 43:35 | 8 | 30 |
| 8 | Moreirense | 21 | 9 | 3 | 9 | 27:29 | -2 | 30 |
| 9 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 23:30 | -7 | 28 |
| 10 | Alverca | 21 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 21:36 | -15 | 24 |
| 11 | Estrela | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 25:37 | -12 | 23 |
| 12 | Arouca | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 26:46 | -20 | 23 |
| 13 | Nacional | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 27:30 | -3 | 21 |
| 14 | Rio Ave | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 22:41 | -19 | 20 |
| 15 | Casa Pia | 21 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 22:39 | -17 | 19 |
| 16 | Santa Clara | 21 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 16:26 | -10 | 17 |
| 17 | Tondela | 21 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 14:35 | -21 | 14 |
| 18 | AFS | 21 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 15:54 | -39 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2