Result
1:0
25/01/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 11 - Round 19
Chances of winning
Mercadal
57.9% | Draw
25.9% | Santanyí
16.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mercadal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mercadal's performance.Santanyí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Santanyí might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mercadal than the current prediction. (-11.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mercadal that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santanyí than the current prediction. (+7.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Santanyí could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Mercadal - Santanyí Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.57 ↓
(2.04) |
3.5 ↑
(2.93) |
5.61 ↑
(3.67) |
10.2%
(10.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 11 (Play Offs: ) and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mercadal won 3.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Mercadal may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Mercadal is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Mercadal won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 1:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Mercadal won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:4. (average 1.6:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Mercadal won against Santanyí?
Mercadal has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Santanyí won against Mercadal?
Santanyí has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mercadal - Santanyí were as follows:
13.09.2025
Santanyí
-
Mercadal
3:0
19.01.2025
Mercadal
-
Santanyí
3:2
06.04.2024
Santanyí
-
Mercadal
1:0
18.11.2023
Mercadal
-
Santanyí
2:1
23.04.2023
Mercadal
-
Santanyí
1:0
Latest results of Mercadal
Latest results of Santanyí
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Mallorca B | 27 | 22 | 3 | 2 | 78:16 | 62 | 69 |
| 2 | Manacor | 27 | 21 | 4 | 2 | 59:27 | 32 | 67 |
| 3 | Pena Deportiva | 27 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 51:23 | 28 | 57 |
| 4 | Llosetense | 27 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 48:32 | 16 | 49 |
| 5 | Constancia | 26 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 40:23 | 17 | 43 |
| 6 | Mercadal | 26 | 12 | 4 | 10 | 23:23 | 0 | 40 |
| 7 | Inter Ibiza | 27 | 12 | 4 | 11 | 34:36 | -2 | 40 |
| 8 | Formentera | 27 | 9 | 11 | 7 | 30:22 | 8 | 38 |
| 9 | Cardassar | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 29:45 | -16 | 34 |
| 10 | Santanyi | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 33:48 | -15 | 33 |
| 11 | Alcudia | 27 | 10 | 3 | 14 | 26:47 | -21 | 33 |
| 12 | Platges de Calvia | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 31:33 | -2 | 32 |
| 13 | Binissalem | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 20:27 | -7 | 32 |
| 14 | Son Cladera | 27 | 8 | 4 | 15 | 31:44 | -13 | 28 |
| 15 | Portmany | 27 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 19:37 | -18 | 25 |
| 16 | Felanitx | 27 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 25:41 | -16 | 22 |
| 17 | Collerense | 27 | 2 | 10 | 15 | 27:50 | -23 | 16 |
| 18 | Rotlet Molinar | 27 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 24:54 | -30 | 15 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 11 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
