Result
1:0
25/01/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 11 - Round 19
Chances of winning
Mercadal
57.9% | Draw
25.9% | Santanyí
16.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mercadal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mercadal's performance.Santanyí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Santanyí might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mercadal than the current prediction. (-11.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mercadal that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santanyí than the current prediction. (+7.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Santanyí could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Mercadal - Santanyí Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.57 ↓
(2.04) |
3.5 ↑
(2.93) |
5.61 ↑
(3.67) |
10.2%
(10.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 11 (Play Offs: ) and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mercadal won 3.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Mercadal may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Mercadal is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Mercadal won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 1:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Mercadal won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:4. (average 1.6:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Mercadal won against Santanyí?
Mercadal has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Santanyí won against Mercadal?
Santanyí has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mercadal - Santanyí were as follows:
13.09.2025
Santanyí
-
Mercadal
3:0
19.01.2025
Mercadal
-
Santanyí
3:2
06.04.2024
Santanyí
-
Mercadal
1:0
18.11.2023
Mercadal
-
Santanyí
2:1
23.04.2023
Mercadal
-
Santanyí
1:0
Latest results of Mercadal
Latest results of Santanyí
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Mallorca B | 24 | 19 | 3 | 2 | 67:14 | 53 | 60 |
| 2 | Manacor | 24 | 19 | 3 | 2 | 52:24 | 28 | 60 |
| 3 | Pena Deportiva | 23 | 15 | 5 | 3 | 46:18 | 28 | 50 |
| 4 | Llosetense | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 40:29 | 11 | 42 |
| 5 | Constancia | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 31:21 | 10 | 37 |
| 6 | Mercadal | 21 | 10 | 3 | 8 | 21:19 | 2 | 33 |
| 7 | Inter Ibiza | 23 | 10 | 3 | 10 | 28:30 | -2 | 33 |
| 8 | Cardassar | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 26:38 | -12 | 33 |
| 9 | Binissalem | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 16:23 | -7 | 29 |
| 10 | Santanyi | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 31:44 | -13 | 29 |
| 11 | Alcudia | 24 | 9 | 2 | 13 | 24:41 | -17 | 29 |
| 12 | Formentera | 23 | 6 | 10 | 7 | 20:20 | 0 | 28 |
| 13 | Platges de Calvia | 23 | 8 | 4 | 11 | 28:29 | -1 | 28 |
| 14 | Son Cladera | 23 | 7 | 4 | 12 | 25:34 | -9 | 25 |
| 15 | Portmany | 23 | 7 | 3 | 13 | 18:31 | -13 | 24 |
| 16 | Felanitx | 24 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 19:33 | -14 | 20 |
| 17 | Rotlet Molinar | 23 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 21:43 | -22 | 14 |
| 18 | Collerense | 23 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 25:47 | -22 | 11 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 11 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
