Result
2:1
10/01/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Paulista - Round 1
- Referee: Rodrigues F. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, HBO Max, Sky+, TNT Sports, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.05 | 0.77 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (408/477) | 75% (198/265) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.05 | 0.77 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.56 | 0.68 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (408/477) | 75% (198/265) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (28/54) | 48% (26/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (98/143) | 66% (64/97) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (3/13) | 6% (1/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 0.57 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 26 | 28 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 79% (19/24) | 78% (7/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 31 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.68 | 1.56 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.32 | -0.44 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 26', 0 - 1, Diego Galo ⚽, Romulo (A),
- 33', Rollheiser B. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Caballero G. ↓, Robson Junior ↑,
- 52', 1 - 1, Gabriel Barbosa ⚽, Rollheiser B. (A),
- 57', Ze Ivaldo 🟨,
- 67', Joao Schmidt ↓, Gustavo Henrique ↑,
- 67', Rollheiser B. ↓, Thaciano ↑,
- 72', Tavinho ↓, Airton ↑,
- 72', Diego Galo ↓, Nicolas Careca ↑,
- 76', Diaz L. ↓, Mateus Xavier ↑,
- 77', Romulo ↓, Juninho ↑,
- 82', Gustavo Henrique 🟨,
- 86', Robson ↓, Matheus Bianqui ↑,
- 86', Luis Oyama ↓, Vinicius Paiva ↑,
- 87', Ze Ivaldo ↓, Luan Peres ↑,
- 89', 2 - 1, Thaciano ⚽,
- 90+4', Leo Naldi 🟨,
Chances of winning
Santos
54.2% | Draw
26.8% | Grêmio Novorizontino
19% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Santos - Grêmio Novorizontino Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.71 ↑
(1.63) |
3.44 ↓
(3.65) |
4.87 ↓
(5.06) |
8.3%
(8.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Santos - Grêmio Novorizontino?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Santos (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santos won 0.
- Santos is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In this match, Santos is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Santos: Escobar G.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Novorizontino: Leo Tocantins
(Inactive)
Marlon
(Inactive)
Renato Palm
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Santos: Nonato
(Injury)
- We predict that Santos will win today's game, with odds of 1.71.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Santos won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 14:19. (average 1.3:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Santos won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 1.4:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Santos won against Grêmio Novorizontino?
Santos has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Grêmio Novorizontino won against Santos?
Grêmio Novorizontino has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Santos - Grêmio Novorizontino were as follows:
09.02.2025
Grêmio Novorizontino
-
Santos
0:0
23.09.2024
Santos
-
Grêmio Novorizontino
1:1
07.06.2024
Grêmio Novorizontino
-
Santos
3:1
18.02.2024
Santos
-
Grêmio Novorizontino
1:2
Latest results of Grêmio Novorizontino
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bragantino | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9:0 | 9 | 9 |
| 2 | Novorizontino | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11:5 | 6 | 9 |
| 3 | Palmeiras | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 9 |
| 4 | Capivariano | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 6 |
| 5 | Sao Bernardo | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:2 | 3 | 4 |
| 6 | Primavera | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7:6 | 1 | 4 |
| 7 | Corinthians | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 8 | Santos | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
| 9 | Velo Clube | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 4 |
| 10 | Sao Paulo | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 4 |
| 11 | Mirassol | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 3 |
| 12 | Portuguesa | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 13 | Noroeste | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 2 |
| 14 | Guarani | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 2 |
| 15 | Botafogo SP | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:6 | -5 | 2 |
| 16 | Ponte Preta | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:6 | -6 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Paulista (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation ~ Paulista A2
