Result
1:1
18/01/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Paulista - Round 3
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, HBO Max, Sky+, TNT Sports, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.86 | 0.23 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (309/371) | 79% (258/327) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.86 | 0.23 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.02 | 0.25 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 8 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 19 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (309/371) | 79% (258/327) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 69% (35/51) | 34% (18/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (68/94) | 58% (34/59) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (8/27) | 33% (4/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.80 | 0.24 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 24 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (8/15) | 76% (13/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.25 | 1.02 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.75 | 0.02 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 2', Wendell 🟨,
- 9', Andre 🟨,
- 21', Marcos Antonio 🟨,
- 30', Yuri Alberto 🟨,
- 37', 0 - 1, Tapia G. ⚽, Danielzinho (A),
- 45+1', Carrillo A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 61', Wendell ↓, Bosshardt N. ↑,
- 65', Carrillo A. ↓, Pereira M. ↑,
- 65', Kayke ↓, Dieguinho ↑,
- 66', Rafael 🟨,
- 69', Raniele ↓, Vitinho ↑,
- 75', Lucas Moura ↓, Ferreira ↑,
- 75', Maik ↓, Soares C. ↑,
- 76', Tapia G. 🟨,
- 82', Andre ↓, Pedro Raul ↑,
- 84', Tapia G. ↓, Jonathan Calleri ↑,
- 84', Marcos Antonio ↓, Pablo Maia ↑,
- 90', 1 - 1, Breno Bidon ⚽, Pedro Raul (A),
- 90+2', Luciano 🟨,
Chances of winning
Corinthians
39.5% | Draw
30.6% | São Paulo
29.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Corinthians - São Paulo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.36 ↑
(1.89) |
3.04 ↓
(3.25) |
3.13 ↓
(4.2) |
7.3%
(7.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Corinthians - São Paulo?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Corinthians will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). São Paulo will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Corinthians: 54% – 99.8%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1 - Corinthians (3.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.75 - Corinthians (2.44) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - Corinthians (2.27) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Corinthians will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Corinthians (votes: 7 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Corinthians won 1.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Corinthians might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Corinthians: Depay M.
(Inactive)
Garro R.
(Inactive)
Raniele
(Inactive)
- There will not play in São Paulo: Andre Silva
(Knee Injury)
Ryan Francisco
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in São Paulo: Diaz E.
(Hip Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Corinthians won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 21:30. (average 1.1:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Corinthians won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:10. (average 1.4:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Corinthians won against São Paulo?
Corinthians has won 3 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has São Paulo won against Corinthians?
São Paulo has won 6 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Corinthians - São Paulo were as follows:
20.11.2025
Corinthians
-
São Paulo
3:1
19.07.2025
São Paulo
-
Corinthians
2:0
26.01.2025
São Paulo
-
Corinthians
3:1
29.09.2024
São Paulo
-
Corinthians
3:1
16.06.2024
Corinthians
-
São Paulo
2:2
Latest results of Corinthians
Latest results of São Paulo
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bragantino | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9:0 | 9 | 10 |
| 2 | Novorizontino | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11:5 | 6 | 9 |
| 3 | Palmeiras | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 9 |
| 4 | Capivariano | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 7 |
| 5 | Portuguesa | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:4 | 1 | 6 |
| 6 | Sao Bernardo | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:2 | 3 | 4 |
| 7 | Primavera | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7:6 | 1 | 4 |
| 8 | Corinthians | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 9 | Mirassol | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 10 | Santos | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
| 11 | Velo Clube | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 4 |
| 12 | Sao Paulo | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 4 |
| 13 | Noroeste | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 |
| 14 | Guarani | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 2 |
| 15 | Botafogo SP | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:6 | -5 | 2 |
| 16 | Ponte Preta | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:6 | -6 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Paulista (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation ~ Paulista A2
