Result
3:1
20/11/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 34
- Referee: Daronco A. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Austria | DAZN |
 Brazil | Caze TV, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, TV Record, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
 Ecuador | El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Portugal | Canal 11 |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 United-kingdom | Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.69 | 0.33 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (265/321) | 81% (316/392) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.69 | 0.33 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.20 | 0.68 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (265/321) | 81% (316/392) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 54% (22/41) | 48% (20/42) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (59/86) | 60% (49/81) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (5/16) | 23% (3/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.37 | 0.30 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 20% (2/10) | 53% (8/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.68 | 2.20 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.32 | -0.80 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 10', Breno Bidon 🟨,
- 24', Soares C. 🟨,
- 31', 1 - 0, Yuri Alberto (Pen),
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Patryck ↓, Tapia G. ↑,
- 51', Alisson 🟨,
- 54', 1 - 1, Tapia G. ⚽, Soares C. (A),
- 63', Carrillo A. ↓, Vitinho ↑,
- 63', Gui Negao ↓, Depay M. ↑,
- 65', Alisson ↓, Bobadilla D. ↑,
- 65', Toloi R. ↓, Ferraresi N. ↑,
- 81', Martinez J. ↓, Andre ↑,
- 84', 2 - 1, Depay M. ⚽,
- 89', 3 - 1, Yuri Alberto ⚽,
- 90+1', Yuri Alberto ↓, Angel Romero ↑,
- 90+1', Breno Bidon ↓, Charles Rigon ↑,
Chances of winning
Corinthians
39.6% | Draw
33.7% | São Paulo
26.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Corinthians - São Paulo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.42 ↑
(2.17) |
2.87 ↓
(2.91) |
3.6 ↓
(3.95) |
4%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Corinthians - São Paulo?
Users Predictions:
20 users predict this event. Corinthians will win (votes: 8 - 40%). São Paulo will win (votes: 2 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 28.1% – 71.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Corinthians (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 4 - 80%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 14 and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Corinthians won 0.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Corinthians is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Corinthians: Andre
(Ankle Injury)
Garro R.
(Yellow Cards)
Hugo Souza
(Leg Injury)
Raniele
(Hamstring Injury)
Vitinho
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in São Paulo: Andre Silva
(Knee Injury)
Dinenno J.
(Knee Injury)
Jonathan Calleri
(Knee Injury)
Luan Silva
(Muscle Injury)
Marcos Antonio
(Hamstring Injury)
Oscar
(Heart Problems)
Pablo Maia
(Foot Injury)
Rodriguinho
(Knee Injury)
Ryan Francisco
(Knee Injury)
Wendell
(Heel Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Corinthians won 3 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 18:29. (average 0.9:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Corinthians won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:9. (average 1.3:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Corinthians won against São Paulo?
Corinthians has won 2 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has São Paulo won against Corinthians?
São Paulo has won 6 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Corinthians - São Paulo were as follows:
19.07.2025
São Paulo
-
Corinthians
2:0
26.01.2025
São Paulo
-
Corinthians
3:1
29.09.2024
São Paulo
-
Corinthians
3:1
16.06.2024
Corinthians
-
São Paulo
2:2
30.01.2024
Corinthians
-
São Paulo
1:2
Latest results of Corinthians
Latest results of São Paulo
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ ✔ | 38 | 23 | 10 | 5 | 78:27 | 51 | 79 |
| 2 | Palmeiras ✔ | 38 | 23 | 7 | 8 | 66:33 | 33 | 76 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro ✔ | 38 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 55:31 | 24 | 70 |
| 4 | Mirassol ✔ | 38 | 18 | 13 | 7 | 63:39 | 24 | 67 |
| 5 | Fluminense | 38 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 50:39 | 11 | 64 |
| 6 | Botafogo RJ | 38 | 17 | 12 | 9 | 58:38 | 20 | 63 |
| 7 | Bahia | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 50:46 | 4 | 60 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo ✔ | 38 | 14 | 9 | 15 | 43:47 | -4 | 51 |
| 9 | Gremio | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 47:50 | -3 | 49 |
| 10 | Bragantino ✔ | 38 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 45:57 | -12 | 48 |
| 11 | Atletico-MG | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 43:44 | -1 | 48 |
| 12 | Santos | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 45:50 | -5 | 47 |
| 13 | Corinthians | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 42:47 | -5 | 47 |
| 14 | Vasco | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 55:60 | -5 | 45 |
| 15 | Vitoria | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 35:52 | -17 | 45 |
| 16 | Internacional | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 44:57 | -13 | 44 |
| 17 | Ceara | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 34:40 | -6 | 43 |
| 18 | Fortaleza | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 43:58 | -15 | 43 |
| 19 | Juventude ✔ | 38 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 35:69 | -34 | 35 |
| 20 | Sport Recife ✔ | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 28:75 | -47 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
Clinched Spots for Teams
Flamengo RJ is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Copa Libertadores (Group Stage )
Palmeiras is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Group Stage )
Cruzeiro is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Group Stage )
Mirassol is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Group Stage )
Sao Paulo is Qualified for Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage )
Bragantino is Qualified for Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage )
Juventude is Relegated to Serie B Superbet
Sport Recife is Relegated to Serie B Superbet
