Result
2:0
19/07/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 15
- Referee: Daronco A. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
 Ecuador | El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Portugal | Canal 11 |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.61 | 1.60 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (367/442) | 87% (416/478) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.61 | 1.60 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.17 | 1.22 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (367/442) | 87% (416/478) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (23/53) | 52% (24/46) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (67/98) | 75% (76/101) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (2/16) | 23% (3/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.41 | 0.58 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (16/22) | 100% (4/4) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 35 | 35 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.22 | 1.17 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.22 | -0.83 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 16', Oscar ↓, Alisson ↑,
- 32', 1 - 0, Luciano ⚽, Andre Silva (A),
- 35', 2 - 0, Luciano ⚽, Wendell (A),
- 37', Alisson 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Depay M. ↓, Gui Negao ↑,
- 46', Martinez J. ↓, Raniele ↑,
- 46', Torres F. ↓, Leo Mana ↑,
- 53', Raniele 🟨,
- 66', Matheus Bidu ↓, Angileri F. ↑,
- 67', Carrillo A. ↓, Talles Magno ↑,
- 72', Bobadilla D. ↓, Pablo Maia ↑,
- 72', Andre Silva ↓, Ferreira ↑,
- 79', Luciano ↓, Tapia G. ↑,
- 79', Franco A. ↓, Sabino ↑,
- 83', Garro R. 🟨,
- 90+1', Tapia G. 🟨,
Chances of winning
São Paulo
40.6% | Draw
33.4% | Corinthians
26% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
São Paulo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)Corinthians has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Paulo than the current prediction. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Corinthians than the current prediction. (+1%)
São Paulo - Corinthians Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.36 ↑
(2.33) |
2.84 ↓
(3.05) |
3.62 ↑
(3.3) |
5.2%
(6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for São Paulo - Corinthians?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. São Paulo will win (votes: 6 - 37.5%). Corinthians will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 43.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 19.5% – 68.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Corinthians (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2 - over (votes: 3 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, São Paulo won 4.
- São Paulo is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Corinthians's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- São Paulo could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in São Paulo: Jonathan Calleri
(Knee Injury)
Lucas Moura
(Knee Injury)
Luiz Gustavo
(Contusion)
Ryan Francisco
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Corinthians: Gustavo Henrique
(Inactive)
Hugo
(Inactive)
Matheuzinho
(Yellow Cards)
Ryan
(Inactive)
Yuri Alberto
(Back Injury)
- There are questionable in Corinthians: Maycon
(Injury)
Talles Magno
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, São Paulo won 10 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 28:18. (average 1.4:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, São Paulo won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 19:8. (average 1.6:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has São Paulo won against Corinthians?
São Paulo has won 5 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Corinthians won against São Paulo?
Corinthians has won 2 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between São Paulo - Corinthians were as follows:
26.01.2025
São Paulo
-
Corinthians
3:1
29.09.2024
São Paulo
-
Corinthians
3:1
16.06.2024
Corinthians
-
São Paulo
2:2
30.01.2024
Corinthians
-
São Paulo
1:2
30.09.2023
São Paulo
-
Corinthians
2:1
Latest results of São Paulo
Latest results of Corinthians
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 31:7 | 24 | 37 |
| 2 | Cruzeiro | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 30:11 | 19 | 37 |
| 3 | Palmeiras | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 21:14 | 7 | 33 |
| 4 | Bahia | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 20:13 | 7 | 29 |
| 5 | Mirassol | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 27:16 | 11 | 28 |
| 6 | Bragantino | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 21:22 | -1 | 27 |
| 7 | Botafogo RJ | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 18:10 | 8 | 26 |
| 8 | Fluminense | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 18:20 | -2 | 23 |
| 9 | Atletico-MG | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 18:17 | 1 | 23 |
| 10 | Ceara | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 17:17 | 0 | 22 |
| 11 | Sao Paulo | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 18:19 | -1 | 22 |
| 12 | Corinthians | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 17:21 | -4 | 22 |
| 13 | Internacional | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 17:20 | -3 | 21 |
| 14 | Gremio | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 16:23 | -7 | 20 |
| 15 | Vitoria | 18 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 16:20 | -4 | 18 |
| 16 | Vasco | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 18:23 | -5 | 15 |
| 17 | Santos | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 15:21 | -6 | 15 |
| 18 | Fortaleza | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 18:24 | -6 | 15 |
| 19 | Juventude | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 10:32 | -22 | 11 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 16 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 9:25 | -16 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
