Result
2:2
05/11/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 32
- Referee: Pereira R. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Flow Eventos |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 2 |
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
 Colombia | Win Sports |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Israel | Sport 3 |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 3 |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 North-central-america | Flow Sports 1 Caribbean |
 Paraguay | Flow Eventos |
 Portugal | Canal 11 |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 3 |
 Spain | M+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 1, #Vamos |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 United-kingdom | Amazon Prime Video, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player |
 Uruguay | Flow |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 World | TV Globo Internacional |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 1.72 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (341/401) | 86% (392/455) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 1.72 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.79 | 1.65 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (341/401) | 86% (392/455) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (14/34) | 50% (21/42) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (84/110) | 75% (86/114) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (3/17) | 47% (8/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 1.05 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 91% (10/11) | 70% (7/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.65 | 1.79 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.35 | -0.21 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 3', 1 - 0, Luciano ⚽,
- 8', 1 - 1, de Arrascaeta G. (Pen),
- 12', Luciano 🟨,
- 40', Carrascal J. 🟨,
- 45+3', Danilo 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 64', 1 - 2, Samuel Lino ⚽, Emerson Royal (A),
- 67', Plata G. 🟥,
- 70', Samuel Lino ↓, Ayrton Lucas ↑,
- 70', Carrascal J. ↓, Luiz Araujo ↑,
- 70', de Arrascaeta G. ↓, de la Cruz N. ↑,
- 70', Tapia G. ↓, Marcos Antonio ↑,
- 71', Luiz Gustavo ↓, Lucas Moura ↑,
- 78', Soares C. ↓, Maik ↑,
- 78', Pablo Maia ↓, Alisson ↑,
- 80', 2 - 2, Ferreira ⚽, Maik (A),
- 82', Niguez S. ↓, Wallace Yan ↑,
- 90+1', Rossi A. 🟨,
- 90+5', Alisson 🟨,
Chances of winning
São Paulo
21.8% | Draw
29.4% | Flamengo
48.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
São Paulo - Flamengo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.29 ↑
(3.99) |
3.27 ↓
(3.41) |
1.96 ↑
(1.95) |
5%
(5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for São Paulo - Flamengo?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. São Paulo will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). Flamengo will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Flamengo: 19.1% – 73.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Flamengo (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, São Paulo won 2.
- In recent matches, São Paulo has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Flamengo is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- São Paulo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Flamengo might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in São Paulo: Andre Silva
(Knee Injury)
Diaz E.
(Yellow Cards)
Dinenno J.
(Inactive)
Franco A.
(Yellow Cards)
Jonathan Calleri
(Knee Injury)
Luan Silva
(Muscle Injury)
Oscar
(Calf Injury)
Rodriguinho
(Inactive)
Ryan Francisco
(Knee Injury)
Soares C.
(Toe Injury)
Wendell
(Injury)
- There will not play in Flamengo: Bruno Henrique
(Yellow Cards)
Everton
(Injury)
Evertton Araujo
(Red Card)
Pedro
(Broken Hand)
- There are questionable in São Paulo: Mailton
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Flamengo: Carrascal J.
(Injury)
Jorginho
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, São Paulo won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 21:28. (average 1.1:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, São Paulo won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:12. (average 1:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has São Paulo won against Flamengo?
São Paulo has won 3 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Flamengo won against São Paulo?
Flamengo has won 4 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between São Paulo - Flamengo were as follows:
12.07.2025
Flamengo
-
São Paulo
2:0
19.01.2025
São Paulo
-
Flamengo
0:0
03.08.2024
São Paulo
-
Flamengo
1:0
17.04.2024
Flamengo
-
São Paulo
2:1
06.12.2023
São Paulo
-
Flamengo
1:0
Latest results of São Paulo
Latest results of Flamengo
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras ✔ | 32 | 21 | 5 | 6 | 58:28 | 30 | 68 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ ✔ | 32 | 20 | 8 | 4 | 64:20 | 44 | 68 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 33 | 18 | 10 | 5 | 46:22 | 24 | 64 |
| 4 | Mirassol | 33 | 16 | 11 | 6 | 54:33 | 21 | 59 |
| 5 | Bahia | 33 | 15 | 8 | 10 | 44:40 | 4 | 53 |
| 6 | Botafogo RJ | 33 | 14 | 10 | 9 | 44:28 | 16 | 52 |
| 7 | Fluminense | 33 | 15 | 6 | 12 | 38:37 | 1 | 51 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 37:36 | 1 | 45 |
| 9 | Atletico-MG | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 34:34 | 0 | 43 |
| 10 | Vasco | 33 | 12 | 6 | 15 | 50:49 | 1 | 42 |
| 11 | Bragantino | 33 | 12 | 6 | 15 | 38:50 | -12 | 42 |
| 12 | Ceara | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 31:30 | 1 | 42 |
| 13 | Corinthians | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 35:38 | -3 | 42 |
| 14 | Gremio | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 35:43 | -8 | 40 |
| 15 | Internacional | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 37:46 | -9 | 37 |
| 16 | Vitoria | 33 | 8 | 11 | 14 | 29:47 | -18 | 35 |
| 17 | Santos | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 33:48 | -15 | 33 |
| 18 | Juventude | 33 | 9 | 5 | 19 | 29:59 | -30 | 32 |
| 19 | Fortaleza | 32 | 7 | 9 | 16 | 31:48 | -17 | 30 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 32 | 2 | 11 | 19 | 24:55 | -31 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
Clinched Spots for Teams
Palmeiras is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Group Stage )
Flamengo RJ is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Group Stage )
