Result
1:3
23/02/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- BRAZIL: Paulista - Round 12
- Referee: Batalha M. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Max, Nosso Futebol+, Sky+, TNT, UOL Play, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Ecuador | El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.01 | 2.40 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 4 | 13 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 17 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 17 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 9 | 20 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (380/438) | 88% (460/521) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 66% (53/80) | 71% (63/89) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 0% (0/11) | 42% (5/12) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (6/8) | 71% (17/24) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 13 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 16', Augusto 🟨,
- 20', 0 - 1, Andre Silva ⚽, Oscar (A),
- 27', Lucas Moura 🟨,
- 32', 0 - 2, Andre Silva ⚽, Wendell (A),
- 39', Pablo Maia ↓, Bobadilla D. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Augusto ↓, Daniel Fabricio ↑,
- 46', Felipe Azevedo ↓, Rodolfo ↑,
- 46', Guilherme Queiroz ↓, Romisson ↑,
- 57', 1 - 2, Daniel Fabricio (Pen),
- 60', Bobadilla D. 🟨,
- 63', Rodrigo Ferreira ↓, Hugo Sanches ↑,
- 70', Wendell ↓, Patryck ↑,
- 79', Lucas Rian ↓, Echapora ↑,
- 90', Andre Silva ↓, Jonathan Calleri ↑,
- 90', Oscar ↓, Erick ↑,
- 90', Lucas Moura ↓, Luciano ↑,
- 90+3', 1 - 3, Robert Arboleda ⚽, Jonathan Calleri (A),
Chances of winning
São Bernardo
25.7% | Draw
29.1% | São Paulo
45.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
São Bernardo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)São Paulo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Bernardo than the current prediction. (+4.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Paulo than the current prediction. (-6.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for São Paulo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
São Bernardo - São Paulo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.59 ↑
(3.33) |
3.17 ↑
(3.07) |
2.05 ↓
(2.22) |
8.3%
(7.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- São Bernardo is Qualified for Paulista (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
- São Paulo is Qualified for Paulista (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches São Bernardo won 2.
- Recent matches São Bernardo is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- São Paulo is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- São Paulo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- São Paulo will have a small advantage in this match.
- Last 6 head-to-head matches São Bernardo won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7:9 (average 1.2:1.5).
- Including matches at home between the teams São Bernardo won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:4 (average 0.7:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has São Bernardo won against São Paulo?
São Bernardo has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has São Paulo won against São Bernardo?
São Paulo has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between São Bernardo - São Paulo were as follows:
25.02.2023
São Paulo
-
São Bernardo
0:1
Latest results of São Bernardo
Latest results of São Paulo
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Sao Bernardo | Palmeiras | 0 : 3 |
| 2 | Sao Paulo | Novorizontino | 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Corinthians | Mirassol | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Santos | Bragantino | 2 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Palmeiras | Sao Paulo | 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Corinthians | Santos | 2 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Palmeiras | Corinthians | 0 : 0, 0 : 1 |
