São Paulo vs São Bernardo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
15/01/2026 at 19:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Paulista - Round 2

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.780.26
Ball possession
58%42%
Total shots
106
Shots on target
22
Big chances
20
Corner kicks
66
Passes
73% (266/363)68% (182/266)
Yellow cards
15
Expected goals (xG)
0.780.26
xG on target (xGOT)
1.090.65
Total shots
106
Shots on target
22
Shots off target
63
Blocked shots
21
Shots inside the box
92
Shots outside the box
14
Hit the woodwork
20
Big chances
20
Corner kicks
66
Touches in opposition box
276
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
02
Free kicks
2215
Passes
73% (266/363)68% (182/266)
Long passes
35% (25/71)29% (15/52)
Passes in final third
57% (77/136)53% (39/73)
Crosses
17% (5/29)9% (1/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.710.12
Throw ins
3415
Fouls
1522
Tackles
53% (9/17)60% (15/25)
Duels won
7061
Clearances
2243
Interceptions
1011
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
21
xGOT faced
0.651.09
Goals prevented
0.650.09

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 17', Joao Paulo 🟨,
  • 32', Wendell 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 50', Para 🟨,
  • 55', Para , Mario Sergio ,
  • 56', Echapora , Pedro Vitor ,
  • 57', Pedro Vitor 🟨,
  • 59', Wendell , Bosshardt N. ,
  • 59', Pablo Maia , Bobadilla D. ,
  • 66', Victor Andrade , Pedrinho ,
  • 67', Lucas Moura , Luciano ,
  • 67', Tapia G. , Jonathan Calleri ,
  • 76', Foguinho , Marcao Silva ,
  • 76', Joao Paulo , Junior Urso ,
  • 77', Lucca Marques , Paulinho ,
  • 79', Mario Sergio 🟨,
  • 80', 1 - 0, Luciano ,
  • 83', Gonzaga W. 🟨,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


São Paulo
58.3%
Draw
24.2%
São Bernardo
17.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.9% 25% 16.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • São Paulo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • São Bernardo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • São Paulo - São Bernardo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.58
    (1.57)
    3.83
    (3.7)
    5.29
    (5.77)
    8.2%
    (7.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for São Paulo - São Bernardo?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. São Paulo (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, São Paulo won 3.
    • São Paulo has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • In this match, São Paulo is the team to beat.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, São Paulo won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:8. (average 1.7:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, São Paulo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 1.7:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between São Paulo - São Bernardo were as follows:
    23.02.2025 São Bernardo - São Paulo 1:3
    25.02.2023 São Paulo - São Bernardo 0:1
    Latest results of São Paulo
    11.01.2026 Mirassol - São Paulo 3:0
    27.11.2025 Fluminense - São Paulo 6:0
    23.11.2025 São Paulo - Juventude 2:1
    Latest results of São Bernardo
    11.10.2025 Londrina - São Bernardo 1:1
    05.10.2025 São Bernardo - Caxias 1:0
    28.09.2025 São Bernardo - Floresta 0:1
    21.09.2025 Floresta - São Bernardo 0:0
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Novorizontino (1)Santos (8)2 : 1
    2Portuguesa (4)Corinthians (5)1 : 2
    3Palmeiras (2)Capivariano (7)4 : 0
    4Bragantino (3)Sao Paulo (6)1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Novorizontino (1)Corinthians (5)
    2Palmeiras (2)Sao Paulo (6)

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2