Result
02/05/2026 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL League One
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Chances of winning
Sarasota Paradise
41.2% | Draw
28.8% | Forward Madison
30% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sarasota Paradise has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sarasota Paradise's performance.Forward Madison has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Forward Madison might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarasota Paradise than the current prediction. (-4.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Forward Madison than the current prediction. (+5.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Forward Madison could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Sarasota Paradise - Forward Madison Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.2 ↓
(2.55) |
3.15 ↓
(3.25) |
3.03 ↑
(2.45) |
10.1%
(10.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- The current form of both teams is below expectations.
- Recently, Forward Madison has had a series of away games.
- Sarasota Paradise is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
How many head-to-head matches has Sarasota Paradise won against Forward Madison?
Sarasota Paradise has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Forward Madison won against Sarasota Paradise?
Forward Madison has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sarasota Paradise - Forward Madison were as follows:
Latest results of Sarasota Paradise
Latest results of Forward Madison
USL League One Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Naples | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 9:4 | 5 | 14 |
| 2 | One Knoxville | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 9:6 | 3 | 14 |
| 3 | Spokane Velocity | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11:8 | 3 | 13 |
| 4 | Union Omaha | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10:7 | 3 | 12 |
| 5 | Boise | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10:6 | 4 | 8 |
| 6 | Forward Madison | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 7 |
| 7 | Westchester SC | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 12:14 | -2 | 7 |
| 8 | New York Cosmos | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11:13 | -2 | 7 |
| 9 | Richmond Kickers | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 7 |
| 10 | Sarasota Paradise | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6:10 | -4 | 7 |
| 11 | Greenville | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:7 | 1 | 6 |
| 12 | Portland Hearts of Pine | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 6 |
| 13 | Charlotte Independ | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 4 |
| 14 | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 15 | Fort Wayne | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 4 |
| 16 | AV Alta | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 7:11 | -4 | 4 |
| 17 | Corpus Christi FC | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5:11 | -6 | 2 |
Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
