Argentinos Juniors vs Sarmiento de Junín – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
25/01/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 1
  • Referee: Gariano A. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaESPN Premium
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+, Fanatiz
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.790.12
Ball possession
70%30%
Total shots
242
Shots on target
101
Big chances
10
Corner kicks
92
Passes
84% (352/420)60% (109/183)
Yellow cards
35
Red cards
01
Expected goals (xG)
1.790.12
xG on target (xGOT)
3.040.08
Total shots
242
Shots on target
101
Shots off target
100
Blocked shots
41
Shots inside the box
131
Shots outside the box
111
Hit the woodwork
21
Headed goals
10
Big chances
10
Corner kicks
92
Touches in opposition box
258
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
03
Free kicks
218
Passes
84% (352/420)60% (109/183)
Long passes
57% (26/46)47% (28/59)
Passes in final third
75% (83/111)43% (22/51)
Crosses
25% (7/28)10% (1/10)
Expected assists (xA)
1.130.12
Throw ins
2122
Fouls
821
Tackles
74% (14/19)71% (12/17)
Duels won
6754
Clearances
2229
Interceptions
87
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
19
xGOT faced
0.083.04
Goals prevented
0.082.04

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 22', Insaurralde J. 🟨,
  • 27', Ramirez T. 🟨,
  • 33', Cabrera J. M. 🟨,
  • 39', Alvarez F. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Cabrera J. M. , Contrera J. ,
  • 52', Renteria J. 🟨,
  • 57', Marabel J. , Villalba C. ,
  • 57', Renteria J. , Marquez B. ,
  • 60', Insaurralde J. 🟥,
  • 62', Marquez B. 🟨,
  • 65', Prieto S. , Fernandez L. ,
  • 73', Oroz N. , Ryouga K. ,
  • 75', Zabala C. , Arturia G. ,
  • 84', Diego Churin , Delgado U. ,
  • 84', Alvarez F. , Jainikoski F. ,
  • 90+4', Villalba C. 🟨,
  • 90+7', 1 - 0, Molina T. , Lozano L. (A),
  • 90+9', Molina T. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Argentinos Juniors
68.7%
Draw
22%
Sarmiento de Junín
9.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.5% 24.4% 13.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Argentinos Juniors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Argentinos Juniors's performance.
  • Sarmiento de Junín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
  • Argentinos Juniors - Sarmiento de Junín Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.38
    (1.51)
    4.31
    (3.87)
    10.01
    (7.19)
    5.9%
    (6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Argentinos Juniors - Sarmiento de Junín?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Argentinos Juniors will win (votes: 9 - 81.8%). Sarmiento will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Argentinos Juniors: 59%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Argentinos Juniors (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1 - Argentinos Juniors (1.63) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.25 - Argentinos Juniors (2.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Argentinos Juniors (votes: 5 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Argentinos Juniors won 1.
    • Sarmiento may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Argentinos Juniors is the obvious favorite.
    • There will not play in Argentinos Juniors: Cardozo J. (Foot Injury) Gho J. (Knee Injury) Gimenez M. (Knee Injury) Rodriguez D. (Knee Injury) Veron G. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Sarmiento: Magnin P. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Sarmiento: Gonzalez G. (Knee Injury) Renteria J. (Injury)
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Argentinos Juniors won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:3. (average 0.3:0.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Argentinos Juniors won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 0.7:0).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Argentinos Juniors - Sarmiento de Junín were as follows:
    08.08.2024 Argentinos Juniors - Sarmiento de Junín 0:0
    08.04.2023 Sarmiento de Junín - Argentinos Juniors 2:0
    Latest results of Argentinos Juniors
    Latest results of Sarmiento de Junín
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Apertura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Estudiantes L.P74307:2515
    2Velez Sarsfield74308:4415
    3Platense73315:3212
    4San Lorenzo73227:5211
    5Defensa y Justicia72506:4211
    6Independiente72419:7210
    7Talleres Cordoba73138:9-110
    8Union de Santa Fe62226:338
    9Boca Juniors62225:418
    10Lanus52218:808
    11Instituto72238:808
    12Central Cordoba72233:4-18
    13Gimnasia Mendoza72144:9-57
    14Dep. Riestra70432:5-34
    15Newells Old Boys70255:14-92


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Belgrano74309:4515
    2Ind. Rivadavia650110:6415
    3Tigre742112:5714
    4Rosario Central73228:6211
    5Gimnasia L.P73137:8-110
    6Huracan62315:419
    7Argentinos Jrs52213:218
    8Barracas Central72235:6-18
    9Banfield62136:607
    10Racing Club62137:8-17
    11River Plate62134:6-27
    12Sarmiento Junin62044:6-26
    13Atl. Tucuman71249:10-15
    14Aldosivi60332:6-43
    15Estudiantes Rio Cuarto60151:11-101

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