Argentinos Juniors vs Sarmiento de Junín – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
25/01/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 1
  • Referee: Gariano A. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaESPN Premium
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+, Fanatiz
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.790.12
Ball possession
70%30%
Total shots
242
Shots on target
101
Big chances
10
Corner kicks
92
Passes
84% (352/420)60% (109/183)
Yellow cards
35
Red cards
01
Expected goals (xG)
1.790.12
xG on target (xGOT)
3.040.08
Total shots
242
Shots on target
101
Shots off target
100
Blocked shots
41
Shots inside the box
131
Shots outside the box
111
Hit the woodwork
21
Headed goals
10
Big chances
10
Corner kicks
92
Touches in opposition box
258
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
03
Free kicks
218
Passes
84% (352/420)60% (109/183)
Long passes
57% (26/46)47% (28/59)
Passes in final third
75% (83/111)43% (22/51)
Crosses
25% (7/28)10% (1/10)
Expected assists (xA)
1.130.12
Throw ins
2122
Fouls
821
Tackles
74% (14/19)71% (12/17)
Duels won
6754
Clearances
2229
Interceptions
87
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
19
xGOT faced
0.083.04
Goals prevented
0.082.04

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 22', Insaurralde J. 🟨,
  • 27', Ramirez T. 🟨,
  • 33', Cabrera J. M. 🟨,
  • 39', Alvarez F. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Cabrera J. M. , Contrera J. ,
  • 52', Renteria J. 🟨,
  • 57', Marabel J. , Villalba C. ,
  • 57', Renteria J. , Marquez B. ,
  • 60', Insaurralde J. 🟥,
  • 62', Marquez B. 🟨,
  • 65', Prieto S. , Fernandez L. ,
  • 73', Oroz N. , Ryouga K. ,
  • 75', Zabala C. , Arturia G. ,
  • 84', Diego Churin , Delgado U. ,
  • 84', Alvarez F. , Jainikoski F. ,
  • 90+4', Villalba C. 🟨,
  • 90+7', 1 - 0, Molina T. , Lozano L. (A),
  • 90+9', Molina T. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Argentinos Juniors
68.7%
Draw
22%
Sarmiento de Junín
9.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.5% 24.4% 13.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Argentinos Juniors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Argentinos Juniors's performance.
  • Sarmiento de Junín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
  • Argentinos Juniors - Sarmiento de Junín Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.38
    (1.51)
    4.31
    (3.87)
    10.01
    (7.19)
    5.9%
    (6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Argentinos Juniors - Sarmiento de Junín?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1 - Argentinos Juniors (1.63) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH -1.25 - Argentinos Juniors (2.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Argentinos Juniors will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.03%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Argentinos Juniors will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Argentinos Juniors (votes: 5 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Argentinos Juniors won 1.
    • Sarmiento may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Argentinos Juniors is the obvious favorite.
    • There will not play in Argentinos Juniors: Cardozo J. (Foot Injury) Gho J. (Knee Injury) Gimenez M. (Knee Injury) Rodriguez D. (Knee Injury) Veron G. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Sarmiento: Magnin P. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Sarmiento: Gonzalez G. (Knee Injury) Renteria J. (Injury)
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Argentinos Juniors won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:3. (average 0.3:0.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Argentinos Juniors won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 0.7:0).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Argentinos Juniors - Sarmiento de Junín were as follows:
    08.08.2024 Argentinos Juniors - Sarmiento de Junín 0:0
    08.04.2023 Sarmiento de Junín - Argentinos Juniors 2:0
    Latest results of Argentinos Juniors
    Latest results of Sarmiento de Junín
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Apertura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Velez Sarsfield1264214:9522
    2Estudiantes L.P1263314:6821
    3Boca Juniors1255214:7720
    4Union de Santa Fe1254318:12619
    5Defensa y Justicia1247115:10519
    6Lanus1254317:14319
    7Talleres Cordoba1253412:11118
    8Independiente1245318:15317
    9San Lorenzo1245312:12017
    10Platense123636:7-115
    11Instituto1242613:15-214
    12Gimnasia Mendoza123369:15-612
    13Central Cordoba123366:15-912
    14Newells Old Boys1223710:23-139
    15Dep. Riestra120753:9-67


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia1282220:12826
    2River Plate1272317:9823
    3Argentinos Jrs1265113:7623
    4Rosario Central1263314:10421
    5Belgrano1254312:12019
    6Racing Club1253415:11418
    7Tigre1245316:12417
    8Huracan1245312:9317
    9Barracas Central1244411:11016
    10Sarmiento Junin1251610:12-216
    11Gimnasia L.P1242613:18-514
    12Banfield1241714:16-213
    13Atl. Tucuman1223713:18-59
    14Aldosivi120663:13-106
    15Estudiantes Rio Cuarto121293:17-145

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