Argentinos Juniors vs Sarmiento de Junín – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
25/01/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 1
  • Referee: Gariano A. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaESPN Premium
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+, Fanatiz
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.790.12
Ball possession
70%30%
Total shots
242
Shots on target
101
Big chances
10
Corner kicks
92
Passes
84% (352/420)60% (109/183)
Yellow cards
35
Red cards
01
Expected goals (xG)
1.790.12
xG on target (xGOT)
3.040.08
Total shots
242
Shots on target
101
Shots off target
100
Blocked shots
41
Shots inside the box
131
Shots outside the box
111
Hit the woodwork
21
Headed goals
10
Big chances
10
Corner kicks
92
Touches in opposition box
258
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
03
Free kicks
218
Passes
84% (352/420)60% (109/183)
Long passes
57% (26/46)47% (28/59)
Passes in final third
75% (83/111)43% (22/51)
Crosses
25% (7/28)10% (1/10)
Expected assists (xA)
1.130.12
Throw ins
2122
Fouls
821
Tackles
74% (14/19)71% (12/17)
Duels won
6754
Clearances
2229
Interceptions
87
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
19
xGOT faced
0.083.04
Goals prevented
0.082.04

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 22', Insaurralde J. 🟨,
  • 27', Ramirez T. 🟨,
  • 33', Cabrera J. M. 🟨,
  • 39', Alvarez F. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Cabrera J. M. , Contrera J. ,
  • 52', Renteria J. 🟨,
  • 57', Marabel J. , Villalba C. ,
  • 57', Renteria J. , Marquez B. ,
  • 60', Insaurralde J. 🟥,
  • 62', Marquez B. 🟨,
  • 65', Prieto S. , Fernandez L. ,
  • 73', Oroz N. , Ryouga K. ,
  • 75', Zabala C. , Arturia G. ,
  • 84', Diego Churin , Delgado U. ,
  • 84', Alvarez F. , Jainikoski F. ,
  • 90+4', Villalba C. 🟨,
  • 90+7', 1 - 0, Molina T. , Lozano L. (A),
  • 90+9', Molina T. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Argentinos Juniors
68.7%
Draw
22%
Sarmiento de Junín
9.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.5% 24.4% 13.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Argentinos Juniors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Argentinos Juniors's performance.
  • Sarmiento de Junín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
  • Argentinos Juniors - Sarmiento de Junín Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.38
    (1.51)
    4.31
    (3.87)
    10.01
    (7.19)
    5.9%
    (6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Argentinos Juniors - Sarmiento de Junín?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Argentinos Juniors will win (votes: 9 - 81.8%). Sarmiento will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Argentinos Juniors: 59%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Argentinos Juniors (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1 - Argentinos Juniors (1.63) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.25 - Argentinos Juniors (2.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Argentinos Juniors (votes: 5 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Argentinos Juniors won 1.
    • Sarmiento may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Argentinos Juniors is the obvious favorite.
    • There will not play in Argentinos Juniors: Cardozo J. (Foot Injury) Gho J. (Knee Injury) Gimenez M. (Knee Injury) Rodriguez D. (Knee Injury) Veron G. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Sarmiento: Magnin P. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Sarmiento: Gonzalez G. (Knee Injury) Renteria J. (Injury)
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Argentinos Juniors won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:3. (average 0.3:0.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Argentinos Juniors won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 0.7:0).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Argentinos Juniors - Sarmiento de Junín were as follows:
    08.08.2024 Argentinos Juniors - Sarmiento de Junín 0:0
    08.04.2023 Sarmiento de Junín - Argentinos Juniors 2:0
    Latest results of Argentinos Juniors
    Latest results of Sarmiento de Junín
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Apertura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Velez Sarsfield1064012:5722
    2Estudiantes L.P105329:5418
    3Union de Santa Fe1044216:10616
    4Defensa y Justicia1037013:8516
    5Lanus943215:12315
    6Talleres Cordoba1043310:9115
    7Boca Juniors1035211:7414
    8Independiente1035216:13314
    9Platense103526:6014
    10San Lorenzo1034310:11-113
    11Central Cordoba103345:7-212
    12Instituto1032511:13-211
    13Gimnasia Mendoza102356:12-69
    14Dep. Riestra100642:6-46
    15Newells Old Boys100376:22-163


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia1062216:12420
    2Belgrano1054111:7419
    3Rosario Central1053212:7518
    4Tigre1045116:9717
    5River Plate1052312:9317
    6Racing Club1043313:9415
    7Barracas Central1043310:9115
    8Gimnasia L.P1042413:14-114
    9Huracan103439:9013
    10Argentinos Jrs82515:4111
    11Banfield1031611:13-210
    12Sarmiento Junin103166:11-510
    13Atl. Tucuman1013611:16-56
    14Aldosivi90543:9-65
    15Estudiantes Rio Cuarto101183:15-124

          Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)