Sarmiento de Junín vs Gimnasia La Plata – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Argentinian Liga Profesional Sarmiento de Junín - Gimnasia La Plata
04/10/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Sarmiento de Junín
39.6%
Draw
31.8%
Gimnasia La Plata
28.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.6% 29.5% 27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7% 28.8% 27.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sarmiento de Junín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
  • Gimnasia La Plata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarmiento de Junín than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnasia La Plata than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
  • Sarmiento de Junín - Gimnasia La Plata Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.44
    (2.2)
    2.89
    (3.18)
    3.29
    (3.35)
    5.9%
    (6.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sarmiento won 1.
    • Sarmiento is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Gimnasia La Plata is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Gimnasia La Plata may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Sarmiento could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Sarmiento won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 0.6:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Sarmiento won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 0.5:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sarmiento de Junín - Gimnasia La Plata were as follows:
    30.03.2025 Gimnasia La Plata - Sarmiento de Junín 0:0
    18.10.2024 Sarmiento de Junín - Gimnasia La Plata 1:1
    27.05.2023 Gimnasia La Plata - Sarmiento de Junín 0:0
    28.08.2022 Sarmiento de Junín - Gimnasia La Plata 0:0
    Latest results of Sarmiento de Junín
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Clausura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Union de Santa Fe1045115:8717
    2Defensa y Justicia1043311:9215
    3Barracas Central943211:9215
    4Tigre104339:7215
    5Estudiantes L.P950410:10015
    6Boca Juniors1035213:8514
    7Argentinos Jrs1042412:8414
    8Central Cordoba1035212:9314
    9Banfield104249:13-414
    10Belgrano93339:7212
    11Huracan93335:8-312
    12Racing Club931510:12-210
    13Ind. Rivadavia923410:12-29
    14Newells Old Boys92348:11-39
    15Aldosivi100371:14-133


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Dep. Riestra961212:5719
    2River Plate953116:7918
    3Velez Sarsfield953111:4718
    4San Lorenzo104428:6216
    5Lanus95139:8116
    6Rosario Central93609:4515
    7Atl. Tucuman933310:8212
    8Sarmiento Junin83328:9-112
    9Platense924310:13-310
    10San Martin S.J102448:11-310
    11Gimnasia L.P103166:12-610
    12Instituto92435:11-610
    13Godoy Cruz101548:13-58
    14Talleres Cordoba91444:9-57
    15Independiente80445:9-44

          Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)