Sarmiento de Junín vs Gimnasia La Plata – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
04/10/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 11
  • Referee: Echavarria P. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaESPN Premium
chinaChinaK-Ball
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
usaUsaFanatiz
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.741.36
Ball Possession
70%30%
Total shots
189
Shots on target
33
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
93
Passes
83% (354/425)61% (112/184)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
1.741.36
xG on target (xGOT)
1.341.05
Total shots
189
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
92
Blocked Shots
64
Shots inside the Box
125
Shots outside the Box
64
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
93
Touches in opposition box
2611
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1214
Passes
83% (354/425)61% (112/184)
Long passes
52% (34/66)21% (12/56)
Passes in final third
69% (100/145)44% (26/59)
Crosses
21% (7/33)14% (1/7)
Expected assists (xA)
0.770.10
Throw-ins
2716
Fouls
1412
Tackles
38% (6/16)58% (7/12)
Duels won
5644
Clearances
1446
Interceptions
511
Errors leading to shot
20
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
1.051.34
Goals prevented
0.051.34

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 25', Contrera J. 🟨,
  • 42', Villalba C. 🟨,
  • 45+3', 0 - 1, Torres M. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Villalba C. , Pratto L. ,
  • 52', Gimenez E. 🟨,
  • 57', Merlini B. , Martinez E. ,
  • 57', Torres M. , Jan Hurtado ,
  • 58', Contrera J. , Rodriguez S. ,
  • 58', Arismendi Y. , Suhr L. ,
  • 63', Morales I. (Pen),
  • 68', Panaro M. , Sosa A. ,
  • 72', Yangali J. , Garayalde N. ,
  • 72', Piedrahita A. , Mamut L. ,
  • 81', Gimenez E. , Frias F. ,
  • 85', Gomez J. , Garcia M. ,
  • 88', Max A. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Sarmiento de Junín
44.3%
Draw
31.9%
Gimnasia La Plata
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.6% 29.5% 27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7% 28.8% 27.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sarmiento de Junín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
  • Gimnasia La Plata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarmiento de Junín than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnasia La Plata than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
  • Sarmiento de Junín - Gimnasia La Plata Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.14
    (2.2)
    2.91
    (3.18)
    3.94
    (3.35)
    6.5%
    (6.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Sarmiento de Junín - Gimnasia La Plata?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Sarmiento will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Sarmiento (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sarmiento won 1.
    • Recent performances by Sarmiento have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Gimnasia La Plata has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Sarmiento may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Sarmiento could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Sarmiento: Magnin P. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Gimnasia La Plata: Castro L. (Muscle Injury) Corbalan F. (Red Card) Mammini I. (Knee Injury) Sosa A. (Inactive) Torres F. (Knee Injury) Villalba J. (International duty) Villarreal S. (Inactive) Zalazar M. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Sarmiento: Ardaiz J. (Muscle Injury) Gonzalez G. (Injury) Villalba C. (Injury)
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Sarmiento won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 0.6:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Sarmiento won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 0.5:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sarmiento de Junín - Gimnasia La Plata were as follows:
    30.03.2025 Gimnasia La Plata - Sarmiento de Junín 0:0
    18.10.2024 Sarmiento de Junín - Gimnasia La Plata 1:1
    27.05.2023 Gimnasia La Plata - Sarmiento de Junín 0:0
    28.08.2022 Sarmiento de Junín - Gimnasia La Plata 0:0
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Apertura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Estudiantes L.P74307:2515
    2Velez Sarsfield74308:4415
    3Platense73315:3212
    4San Lorenzo73227:5211
    5Defensa y Justicia72506:4211
    6Independiente72419:7210
    7Talleres Cordoba73138:9-110
    8Union de Santa Fe62226:338
    9Boca Juniors62225:418
    10Lanus52218:808
    11Instituto72238:808
    12Central Cordoba72233:4-18
    13Gimnasia Mendoza72144:9-57
    14Dep. Riestra70432:5-34
    15Newells Old Boys70255:14-92


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Belgrano74309:4515
    2Ind. Rivadavia650110:6415
    3Tigre742112:5714
    4Rosario Central73228:6211
    5Gimnasia L.P73137:8-110
    6Huracan62315:419
    7Argentinos Jrs52213:218
    8Barracas Central72235:6-18
    9Banfield62136:607
    10Racing Club62137:8-17
    11River Plate62134:6-27
    12Sarmiento Junin62044:6-26
    13Atl. Tucuman71249:10-15
    14Aldosivi60332:6-43
    15Estudiantes Rio Cuarto60151:11-101

          Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)