Sarmiento de Junín vs Gimnasia La Plata – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
04/10/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 11
  • Referee: Echavarria P. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaESPN Premium
chinaChinaK-Ball
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
usaUsaFanatiz
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.741.36
Ball Possession
70%30%
Total shots
189
Shots on target
33
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
93
Passes
83% (354/425)61% (112/184)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
1.741.36
xG on target (xGOT)
1.341.05
Total shots
189
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
92
Blocked Shots
64
Shots inside the Box
125
Shots outside the Box
64
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
93
Touches in opposition box
2611
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1214
Passes
83% (354/425)61% (112/184)
Long passes
52% (34/66)21% (12/56)
Passes in final third
69% (100/145)44% (26/59)
Crosses
21% (7/33)14% (1/7)
Expected assists (xA)
0.770.10
Throw-ins
2716
Fouls
1412
Tackles
38% (6/16)58% (7/12)
Duels won
5644
Clearances
1446
Interceptions
511
Errors leading to shot
20
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
1.051.34
Goals prevented
0.051.34

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 25', Contrera J. 🟨,
  • 42', Villalba C. 🟨,
  • 45+3', 0 - 1, Torres M. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Villalba C. , Pratto L. ,
  • 52', Gimenez E. 🟨,
  • 57', Merlini B. , Martinez E. ,
  • 57', Torres M. , Jan Hurtado ,
  • 58', Contrera J. , Rodriguez S. ,
  • 58', Arismendi Y. , Suhr L. ,
  • 63', Morales I. (Pen),
  • 68', Panaro M. , Sosa A. ,
  • 72', Yangali J. , Garayalde N. ,
  • 72', Piedrahita A. , Mamut L. ,
  • 81', Gimenez E. , Frias F. ,
  • 85', Gomez J. , Garcia M. ,
  • 88', Max A. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Sarmiento de Junín
44.3%
Draw
31.9%
Gimnasia La Plata
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.6% 29.5% 27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7% 28.8% 27.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sarmiento de Junín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
  • Gimnasia La Plata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarmiento de Junín than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnasia La Plata than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
  • Sarmiento de Junín - Gimnasia La Plata Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.14
    (2.2)
    2.91
    (3.18)
    3.94
    (3.35)
    6.5%
    (6.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Sarmiento de Junín - Gimnasia La Plata?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Sarmiento will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Sarmiento (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sarmiento won 1.
    • Recent performances by Sarmiento have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Gimnasia La Plata has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Sarmiento may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Sarmiento could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Sarmiento: Magnin P. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Gimnasia La Plata: Castro L. (Muscle Injury) Corbalan F. (Red Card) Mammini I. (Knee Injury) Sosa A. (Inactive) Torres F. (Knee Injury) Villalba J. (International duty) Villarreal S. (Inactive) Zalazar M. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Sarmiento: Ardaiz J. (Muscle Injury) Gonzalez G. (Injury) Villalba C. (Injury)
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Sarmiento won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 0.6:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Sarmiento won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 0.5:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sarmiento de Junín - Gimnasia La Plata were as follows:
    30.03.2025 Gimnasia La Plata - Sarmiento de Junín 0:0
    18.10.2024 Sarmiento de Junín - Gimnasia La Plata 1:1
    27.05.2023 Gimnasia La Plata - Sarmiento de Junín 0:0
    28.08.2022 Sarmiento de Junín - Gimnasia La Plata 0:0
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Apertura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Velez Sarsfield1064012:5722
    2Estudiantes L.P105329:5418
    3Union de Santa Fe1044216:10616
    4Defensa y Justicia1037013:8516
    5Lanus943215:12315
    6Talleres Cordoba1043310:9115
    7Boca Juniors1035211:7414
    8Independiente1035216:13314
    9Platense103526:6014
    10San Lorenzo1034310:11-113
    11Central Cordoba103345:7-212
    12Instituto1032511:13-211
    13Gimnasia Mendoza102356:12-69
    14Dep. Riestra100642:6-46
    15Newells Old Boys100376:22-163


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia1062216:12420
    2Belgrano1054111:7419
    3Rosario Central1053212:7518
    4Tigre1045116:9717
    5River Plate1052312:9317
    6Racing Club1043313:9415
    7Barracas Central1043310:9115
    8Gimnasia L.P1042413:14-114
    9Huracan103439:9013
    10Argentinos Jrs82515:4111
    11Banfield1031611:13-210
    12Sarmiento Junin103166:11-510
    13Atl. Tucuman1013611:16-56
    14Aldosivi90543:9-65
    15Estudiantes Rio Cuarto101183:15-124

          Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)