Sarmiento de Junín vs Independiente – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
13/07/2025 at 13:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 1
  • Referee: Zamora E. D. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaMax, TNT Sports
chinaChinaK-Ball
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaInter
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.821.43
Ball Possession
28%72%
Total shots
1214
Shots on target
44
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
22
Passes
63% (114/180)86% (410/479)
Yellow Cards
33
Expected Goals (xG)
0.821.43
xG on target (xGOT)
1.021.88
Total shots
1214
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
57
Blocked Shots
33
Shots inside the Box
810
Shots outside the Box
44
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
22
Touches in opposition box
1735
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1019
Passes
63% (114/180)86% (410/479)
Long passes
37% (19/51)51% (19/37)
Passes in final third
53% (32/60)69% (84/121)
Crosses
36% (5/14)23% (5/22)
Expected assists (xA)
0.672.01
Throw-ins
2522
Fouls
1910
Tackles
56% (9/16)65% (11/17)
Duels won
4158
Clearances
3424
Interceptions
514
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
1.881.02
Goals prevented
-0.12-0.98

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 23', Villalba C. 🟨,
  • 27', Cabral L. 🟨,
  • 31', Avalos G. 🟨,
  • 33', 1 - 0, Ardaiz J. , Gimenez E. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', 1 - 1, Avalos G. , Godoy L. (A),
  • 55', 2 - 1, Gimenez E. , Ardaiz J. (A),
  • 56', Vera F. , Tarzia D. ,
  • 65', Ardaiz J. , Frias F. ,
  • 65', Contrera J. , Suhr L. ,
  • 65', Rodriguez S. , Morales I. ,
  • 65', Morales I. 🟨,
  • 72', Marcone I. , Galdames P. ,
  • 77', Lomonaco K. 🟨,
  • 80', Mazzantti W. , Hidalgo S. ,
  • 80', Godoy L. , Mancuello F. ,
  • 83', 2 - 2, Loyola F. , Mancuello F. (A),
  • 84', Roncaglia F. , Seyral A. ,
  • 87', Villalba C. , Gomez J. ,
  • 90+2', Gomez J. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Sarmiento de Junín
22%
Draw
30.5%
Independiente
47.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
26.6% 31.4% 42%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sarmiento de Junín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
  • Independiente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Independiente's recent form is better than expected.
  • Sarmiento de Junín - Independiente Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.2
    (3.57)
    3.11
    (3.02)
    2.01
    (2.25)
    5.8%
    (5.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Sarmiento de Junín - Independiente?
  • Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Sarmiento will win (votes: 1 - 5%). Independiente will win (votes: 15 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 20%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Independiente: 56%94%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Independiente (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +0.5 - Sarmiento (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Independiente (1.34) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Sarmiento (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Independiente (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sarmiento won 0.
    • Independiente is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Independiente may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Independiente is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Sarmiento: Magnin P. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Independiente: Tarzia D. (Yellow Cards) Vera F. (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Sarmiento: Borasi B. (Inactive)
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Sarmiento won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 7:17. (average 0.6:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Sarmiento won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 0.6:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sarmiento de Junín - Independiente were as follows:
    24.01.2025 Independiente - Sarmiento de Junín 2:1
    31.10.2024 Sarmiento de Junín - Independiente 0:0
    09.06.2023 Independiente - Sarmiento de Junín 2:0
    12.09.2022 Sarmiento de Junín - Independiente 1:2
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Apertura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Estudiantes L.P74307:2515
    2Velez Sarsfield74308:4415
    3Platense73315:3212
    4San Lorenzo73227:5211
    5Defensa y Justicia72506:4211
    6Independiente72419:7210
    7Talleres Cordoba73138:9-110
    8Union de Santa Fe62226:338
    9Boca Juniors62225:418
    10Lanus52218:808
    11Instituto72238:808
    12Central Cordoba72233:4-18
    13Gimnasia Mendoza72144:9-57
    14Dep. Riestra70432:5-34
    15Newells Old Boys70255:14-92


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Belgrano74309:4515
    2Ind. Rivadavia650110:6415
    3Tigre742112:5714
    4Rosario Central73228:6211
    5Gimnasia L.P73137:8-110
    6Huracan62315:419
    7Argentinos Jrs52213:218
    8Barracas Central72235:6-18
    9Banfield62136:607
    10Racing Club62137:8-17
    11River Plate62134:6-27
    12Sarmiento Junin62044:6-26
    13Atl. Tucuman71249:10-15
    14Aldosivi60332:6-43
    15Estudiantes Rio Cuarto60151:11-101

          Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)