Sarmiento de Junín vs Lanús – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
25/07/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 3
  • Referee: Arasa N. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaESPN Premium
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaK-Ball
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+, Fanatiz
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.170.87
Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
149
Shots on target
63
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
88
Passes
73% (286/393)73% (254/349)
Yellow Cards
33
Expected Goals (xG)
1.170.87
xG on target (xGOT)
0.661.50
Total shots
149
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
56
Blocked Shots
30
Shots inside the Box
96
Shots outside the Box
53
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
88
Touches in opposition box
2524
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1013
Passes
73% (286/393)73% (254/349)
Long passes
31% (22/72)34% (19/56)
Passes in final third
52% (55/106)68% (72/106)
Crosses
22% (6/27)30% (6/20)
Expected assists (xA)
1.050.92
Throw-ins
2525
Fouls
1310
Tackles
60% (15/25)59% (13/22)
Duels won
6363
Clearances
2543
Interceptions
65
Errors leading to shot
02
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
16
xGOT faced
1.500.66
Goals prevented
-0.500.66

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 8', Contrera J. 🟨,
  • 10', 0 - 1, Castillo R. , Watson F. N. (A),
  • 44', 0 - 2, Castillo R. , Pena Biafore F. (A),
  • 45+2', Carrera R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 54', Gimenez E. 🟨,
  • 57', Rodriguez S. , Morales I. ,
  • 57', Gimenez E. , Gomez J. ,
  • 57', Vallejos J. , Vigo A. ,
  • 72', Castillo R. , Canelo A. ,
  • 74', Cardozo A. 🟨,
  • 75', 🟨,
  • 80', Cardozo A. , Medina A. ,
  • 80', Watson F. N. , Ramirez J. ,
  • 81', Godoy J. , Diaz G. ,
  • 84', Contrera J. , Suhr L. ,
  • 90', Salvio E. , Acosta L. ,
  • 90', Carrera R. , Aquino D. ,
  • 90+4', Gomez J. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Sarmiento de Junín
27.1%
Draw
34.2%
Lanús
38.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.3% 29.8% 32%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sarmiento de Junín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sarmiento de Junín's form might have worsened.
  • Lanús has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lanús's recent form is better than expected.
  • Sarmiento de Junín - Lanús Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.49
    (2.47)
    2.8
    (3.18)
    2.46
    (2.96)
    5.1%
    (5.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.50
    What is the prediction for Sarmiento de Junín - Lanús?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Sarmiento will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). Lanús will win (votes: 8 - 53.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Lanús: 28.1%78.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Sarmiento (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sarmiento won 0.
    • Lanús is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Sarmiento: Magnin P. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Lanús: Izquierdoz C. (Red Card) Loaiza R. (Knee Injury) Ortellado F. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Sarmiento won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 0.7:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Sarmiento won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 0.8:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sarmiento de Junín - Lanús were as follows:
    01.02.2025 Lanús - Sarmiento de Junín 2:0
    30.08.2024 Sarmiento de Junín - Lanús 0:0
    14.02.2024 Sarmiento de Junín - Lanús 0:1
    18.09.2023 Lanús - Sarmiento de Junín 0:0
    22.04.2023 Lanús - Sarmiento de Junín 2:1
    Latest results of Sarmiento de Junín
    Latest results of Lanús
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Apertura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Velez Sarsfield1164112:6622
    2Estudiantes L.P1163214:5921
    3Defensa y Justicia1147015:8719
    4Lanus1053216:12418
    5Talleres Cordoba1153312:10218
    6Boca Juniors1145213:7617
    7Union de Santa Fe1144316:12416
    8Independiente1135317:15214
    9Platense113536:7-114
    10San Lorenzo1034310:11-113
    11Central Cordoba113355:12-712
    12Instituto1132611:15-411
    13Gimnasia Mendoza112366:13-79
    14Dep. Riestra100642:6-46
    15Newells Old Boys111377:22-156


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia1172218:12623
    2River Plate1162314:9520
    3Belgrano1154212:9319
    4Racing Club1153315:10518
    5Rosario Central1153312:9318
    6Tigre1145216:10617
    7Barracas Central1043310:9115
    8Argentinos Jrs93516:4214
    9Gimnasia L.P1142513:15-214
    10Huracan103439:9013
    11Banfield1141612:13-113
    12Sarmiento Junin114168:11-313
    13Atl. Tucuman1123612:16-49
    14Aldosivi100553:11-85
    15Estudiantes Rio Cuarto111193:17-144

          Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)