Sarmiento de Junín vs Lanús – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Argentinian Liga Profesional Sarmiento de Junín - Lanús
Result
0:2
25/07/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 3
  • Referee: Arasa N. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaESPN Premium
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaK-Ball
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+, Fanatiz
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.170.87
Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
149
Shots on target
63
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
88
Passes
73% (286/393)73% (254/349)
Yellow Cards
33
Expected Goals (xG)
1.170.87
xG on target (xGOT)
0.661.50
Total shots
149
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
56
Blocked Shots
30
Shots inside the Box
96
Shots outside the Box
53
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
88
Touches in opposition box
2524
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1013
Passes
73% (286/393)73% (254/349)
Long passes
31% (22/72)34% (19/56)
Passes in final third
52% (55/106)68% (72/106)
Crosses
22% (6/27)30% (6/20)
Expected assists (xA)
1.050.92
Throw-ins
2525
Fouls
1310
Tackles
60% (15/25)59% (13/22)
Duels won
6363
Clearances
2543
Interceptions
65
Errors leading to shot
02
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
16
xGOT faced
1.500.66
Goals prevented
-0.500.66

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 8', Contrera J. 🟨,
  • 10', 0 - 1, Castillo R. , Watson F. N. (A),
  • 44', 0 - 2, Castillo R. , Pena Biafore F. (A),
  • 45+2', Carrera R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 54', Gimenez E. 🟨,
  • 57', Rodriguez S. , Morales I. ,
  • 57', Gimenez E. , Gomez J. ,
  • 57', Vallejos J. , Vigo A. ,
  • 72', Castillo R. , Canelo A. ,
  • 74', Cardozo A. 🟨,
  • 75', 🟨,
  • 80', Cardozo A. , Medina A. ,
  • 80', Watson F. N. , Ramirez J. ,
  • 81', Godoy J. , Diaz G. ,
  • 84', Contrera J. , Suhr L. ,
  • 90', Salvio E. , Acosta L. ,
  • 90', Carrera R. , Aquino D. ,
  • 90+4', Gomez J. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Sarmiento de Junín
27.1%
Draw
34.2%
Lanús
38.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.3% 29.8% 32%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sarmiento de Junín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sarmiento de Junín's form might have worsened.
  • Lanús has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lanús's recent form is better than expected.
  • Sarmiento de Junín - Lanús Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.49
    (2.47)
    2.8
    (3.18)
    2.46
    (2.96)
    5.1%
    (5.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.50
  • What is the prediction for Sarmiento de Junín - Lanús?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Sarmiento will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). Lanús will win (votes: 8 - 53.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Lanús: 28.1%78.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Sarmiento (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sarmiento won 0.
    • Lanús is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Sarmiento: Magnin P. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Lanús: Izquierdoz C. (Red Card) Loaiza R. (Knee Injury) Ortellado F. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Sarmiento won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 0.7:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Sarmiento won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 0.8:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sarmiento de Junín - Lanús were as follows:
    01.02.2025 Lanús - Sarmiento de Junín 2:0
    30.08.2024 Sarmiento de Junín - Lanús 0:0
    14.02.2024 Sarmiento de Junín - Lanús 0:1
    18.09.2023 Lanús - Sarmiento de Junín 0:0
    22.04.2023 Lanús - Sarmiento de Junín 2:1
    Latest results of Sarmiento de Junín
    Latest results of Lanús
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Clausura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Union de Santa Fe1145215:10517
    2Defensa y Justicia1144312:10216
    3Barracas Central1044212:10216
    4Tigre1144310:8216
    5Estudiantes L.P1051411:11016
    6Huracan114436:8-216
    7Argentinos Jrs1143412:8415
    8Central Cordoba1136212:9315
    9Boca Juniors1035213:8514
    10Banfield114259:14-514
    11Belgrano1034310:8213
    12Racing Club1032510:12-211
    13Ind. Rivadavia1024410:12-210
    14Newells Old Boys102449:12-310
    15Aldosivi111373:14-116


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Dep. Riestra1071214:6822
    2Velez Sarsfield1063114:5921
    3Lanus1162311:9220
    4River Plate1053217:9818
    5San Lorenzo114439:8116
    6Rosario Central93609:4515
    7Atl. Tucuman1143413:11215
    8Gimnasia L.P114167:12-513
    9Sarmiento Junin103348:11-312
    10Instituto112635:11-612
    11San Martin S.J112548:11-311
    12Talleres Cordoba102445:9-410
    13Platense1024410:15-510
    14Godoy Cruz101548:13-58
    15Independiente90545:9-45

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