Sarmiento de Junín vs Lanús – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
25/07/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 3
  • Referee: Arasa N. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaESPN Premium
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaK-Ball
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+, Fanatiz
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.170.87
Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
149
Shots on target
63
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
88
Passes
73% (286/393)73% (254/349)
Yellow Cards
33
Expected Goals (xG)
1.170.87
xG on target (xGOT)
0.661.50
Total shots
149
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
56
Blocked Shots
30
Shots inside the Box
96
Shots outside the Box
53
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
88
Touches in opposition box
2524
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1013
Passes
73% (286/393)73% (254/349)
Long passes
31% (22/72)34% (19/56)
Passes in final third
52% (55/106)68% (72/106)
Crosses
22% (6/27)30% (6/20)
Expected assists (xA)
1.050.92
Throw-ins
2525
Fouls
1310
Tackles
60% (15/25)59% (13/22)
Duels won
6363
Clearances
2543
Interceptions
65
Errors leading to shot
02
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
16
xGOT faced
1.500.66
Goals prevented
-0.500.66

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 8', Contrera J. 🟨,
  • 10', 0 - 1, Castillo R. , Watson F. N. (A),
  • 44', 0 - 2, Castillo R. , Pena Biafore F. (A),
  • 45+2', Carrera R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 54', Gimenez E. 🟨,
  • 57', Rodriguez S. , Morales I. ,
  • 57', Gimenez E. , Gomez J. ,
  • 57', Vallejos J. , Vigo A. ,
  • 72', Castillo R. , Canelo A. ,
  • 74', Cardozo A. 🟨,
  • 75', 🟨,
  • 80', Cardozo A. , Medina A. ,
  • 80', Watson F. N. , Ramirez J. ,
  • 81', Godoy J. , Diaz G. ,
  • 84', Contrera J. , Suhr L. ,
  • 90', Salvio E. , Acosta L. ,
  • 90', Carrera R. , Aquino D. ,
  • 90+4', Gomez J. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Sarmiento de Junín
27.1%
Draw
34.2%
Lanús
38.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.3% 29.8% 32%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sarmiento de Junín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sarmiento de Junín's form might have worsened.
  • Lanús has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lanús's recent form is better than expected.
  • Sarmiento de Junín - Lanús Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.49
    (2.47)
    2.8
    (3.18)
    2.46
    (2.96)
    5.1%
    (5.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.50
    What is the prediction for Sarmiento de Junín - Lanús?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Sarmiento will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). Lanús will win (votes: 8 - 53.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Lanús: 28.1%78.5%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Sarmiento (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sarmiento won 0.
    • Lanús is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Sarmiento: Magnin P. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Lanús: Izquierdoz C. (Red Card) Loaiza R. (Knee Injury) Ortellado F. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Sarmiento won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 0.7:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Sarmiento won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 0.8:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sarmiento de Junín - Lanús were as follows:
    01.02.2025 Lanús - Sarmiento de Junín 2:0
    30.08.2024 Sarmiento de Junín - Lanús 0:0
    14.02.2024 Sarmiento de Junín - Lanús 0:1
    18.09.2023 Lanús - Sarmiento de Junín 0:0
    22.04.2023 Lanús - Sarmiento de Junín 2:1
    Latest results of Sarmiento de Junín
    Latest results of Lanús
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Apertura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Estudiantes L.P1373316:7924
    2Velez Sarsfield1264214:9522
    3Boca Juniors1356215:8721
    4Union de Santa Fe1354419:14519
    5Defensa y Justicia1247115:10519
    6Lanus1254317:14319
    7Independiente1346319:16318
    8Talleres Cordoba1253412:11118
    9San Lorenzo1346312:12018
    10Instituto1352614:15-117
    11Platense133737:8-116
    12Gimnasia Mendoza1334610:16-613
    13Central Cordoba123366:15-912
    14Newells Old Boys1324710:23-1310
    15Dep. Riestra130763:10-77


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia ✔ 1392223:131029
    2River Plate1382319:91026
    3Argentinos Jrs1365214:10423
    4Belgrano1364313:12122
    5Rosario Central1363415:13221
    6Huracan1355315:10520
    7Barracas Central1354413:12119
    8Tigre1346316:12418
    9Racing Club1353515:13218
    10Sarmiento Junin1251610:12-216
    11Gimnasia L.P1242613:18-514
    12Banfield1241714:16-213
    13Atl. Tucuman1324713:18-510
    14Aldosivi130673:14-116
    15Estudiantes Rio Cuarto1312104:19-155

          Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Ind. Rivadavia is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)