Result
2:0
08/03/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 21
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 43', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 53', 2 - 0, ⚽,
Chances of winning
SB Castelo Branco
66.3% | Draw
22.1% | SC Lusitânia
11.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
SB Castelo Branco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in SB Castelo Branco's performance.SC Lusitânia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for SB Castelo Branco than the current prediction. (-11.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with SB Castelo Branco that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for SC Lusitânia than the current prediction. (+6.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that SC Lusitânia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
SB Castelo Branco - SC Lusitânia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.36 ↓
(1.5) |
4.09 ↑
(3.93) |
7.74 ↑
(5.62) |
10.8%
(10.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group and 13 in the zone Relegation).
- In recent matches, SB Castelo Branco has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- SC Lusitânia's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- SB Castelo Branco may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, SB Castelo Branco is the undeniable favorite.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, SB Castelo Branco won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 2.3:1.7).
- Including home match between the teams, SB Castelo Branco won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1.
How many head-to-head matches has SB Castelo Branco won against SC Lusitânia?
SB Castelo Branco has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has SC Lusitânia won against SB Castelo Branco?
SC Lusitânia has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between SB Castelo Branco - SC Lusitânia were as follows:
01.11.2025
SC Lusitânia
-
SB Castelo Branco
1:2
25.02.2024
SC Lusitânia
-
SB Castelo Branco
3:1
01.11.2023
SB Castelo Branco
-
SC Lusitânia
4:1
Latest results of SB Castelo Branco
Latest results of SC Lusitânia
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vitoria Sernache | 22 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 30:8 | 22 | 50 |
| 2 | SB Castelo Branco | 22 | 13 | 3 | 6 | 39:20 | 19 | 42 |
| 3 | Naval 1893 | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 32:22 | 10 | 41 |
| 4 | Uniao Da Serra | 22 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 32:19 | 13 | 40 |
| 5 | Oliveira Hospital | 22 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 30:12 | 18 | 38 |
| 6 | Mortagua | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 20:22 | -2 | 33 |
| 7 | Os Marialvas | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 30:26 | 4 | 31 |
| 8 | Peniche | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 26:32 | -6 | 27 |
| 9 | Lajense | 23 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 30:31 | -1 | 26 |
| 10 | Fatima | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 18:24 | -6 | 25 |
| 11 | Marinhense | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 15:28 | -13 | 23 |
| 12 | Electrico | 23 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 31:55 | -24 | 19 |
| 13 | Samora Correia | 22 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 14:29 | -15 | 17 |
| 14 | SC Lusitania | 23 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 21:40 | -19 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group
Relegation
