SC Lusitânia vs SB Castelo Branco – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
01/11/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 8

Match Stats

Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
118
Shots on target
64
Corner Kicks
43
Total shots
118
Shots on target
64
Shots off target
54
Corner Kicks
43

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 23', 0 - 1, Sacra ,
  • 36', 0 - 2, Sacra (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 52', 1 - 2, Stankov I. ,

Chances of winning


SC Lusitânia
35.4%
Draw
31%
SB Castelo Branco
33.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36% 28.1% 36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.8% 28.7% 35.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • SC Lusitânia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • SB Castelo Branco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for SC Lusitânia than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for SB Castelo Branco than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
  • SC Lusitânia - SB Castelo Branco Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.56
    (2.5)
    2.92
    (3.2)
    2.71
    (2.5)
    10.2%
    (11.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 11 in the zone Relegation and 3).
    • SC Lusitânia is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • SB Castelo Branco is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • SC Lusitânia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, SC Lusitânia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 2:2.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, SC Lusitânia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between SC Lusitânia - SB Castelo Branco were as follows:
    25.02.2024 SC Lusitânia - SB Castelo Branco 3:1
    01.11.2023 SB Castelo Branco - SC Lusitânia 4:1
    Latest results of SC Lusitânia
    Latest results of SB Castelo Branco
    Campeonato de Portugal - Group C Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vitoria Sernache19135128:72144
    2SB Castelo Branco19112635:191635
    3Naval 18931995526:19732
    4Mortagua1995519:18132
    5Oliveira Hospital1987423:111231
    6Uniao Da Serra1987429:191031
    7Os Marialvas1873825:22324
    8Peniche1966721:26-524
    9Fatima1957717:21-422
    10Lajense2057826:28-222
    11Marinhense1747611:20-919
    12Samora Correia19451013:25-1217
    13SC Lusitania20441220:34-1416
    14Electrico20341323:47-2413

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