Mainz vs Schalke 04 – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German Bundesliga Mainz - Schalke 04
Result
2:3
05/05/2023 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • GERMANY: BUNDESLIGA - ROUND 31
  • Referee: Jollenbeck M. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bulgariaBulgariaNova Sport
cyprusCyprusNova Sports
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFrancebeIN Sports
greeceGreeceNova Sports
hungaryHungaryArena 4
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
norwayNorwayViaplay
polandPolandViaplay
portugalPortugalEleven Sports
romaniaRomaniaOrange Sport
sloveniaSloveniaSport TV
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Fotbool
ukraineUkraineSetanta Sports
worldWorldSetanta Sports Eurasia

Chances of winning


Mainz
55.9%
Draw
23.5%
Schalke 04
20.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.9% 23.5% 17.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.6% 23.2% 17.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mainz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
  • Schalke 04 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mainz than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Schalke 04 than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
  • Mainz - Schalke 04 Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.71
    (1.61)
    4.06
    (4.02)
    4.67
    (5.38)
    4.6%
    (5.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Mainz - Schalke 04?
  • Users Predictions: 60 users predict this event. Mainz will win (votes: 43 - 71.7%). Schalke will win (votes: 11 - 18.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 10%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Mainz: 60.3%83.1%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Mainz has the most likely position - 8 (37.54%), project points - 51, currently - 45, not chance of relegated, a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), not chance of win league.
    • Schalke has the most likely position - 17 (52.89%), project points - 30, currently - 27, a good chance of relegated (71%), not chance of qualify for ucl.
    • This event has quality 66, importance 45, match rating 55. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Mainz won 0.
    • One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
    • In this match Mainz is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Mainz: Burkardt J. (Knee Injury) Widmer S. (Ankle Injury)
    • There will not play in Schalke: Balanta E. (Knee Injury) Fahrmann R. (Groin Injury) Heekeren J. (Knee Injury) Jenz M. (Thigh Injury) Kozuki S. (Ankle Injury)
    • Last 21 head-to-head matches Mainz won 4 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 17-28.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Mainz won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11-8.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mainz - Schalke 04 were as follows:
    09.11.2022 Schalke 04 - Mainz 1:0
    Latest results of Mainz
    22.04.2023 Mainz - Bayern Munich 3:1
    15.04.2023 Köln - Mainz 1:1
    08.04.2023 Mainz - Werder Bremen 2:2
    01.04.2023 RB Leipzig - Mainz 0:3
    19.03.2023 Mainz - Freiburg 1:1
    Latest results of Schalke 04
    23.04.2023 Freiburg - Schalke 04 4:0
    14.04.2023 Schalke 04 - Hertha Berlin 5:2
    09.04.2023 Hoffenheim - Schalke 04 2:0
    18.03.2023 Augsburg - Schalke 04 1:1
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Union Berlin00000:000
    2Eintracht Frankfurt00000:000
    3Bayern Munich00000:000
    4Bayer Leverkusen00000:000
    5Werder Bremen00000:000
    6Hamburger SV00000:000
    7Wolfsburg00000:000
    8Dortmund00000:000
    9B. Monchengladbach00000:000
    10Hoffenheim00000:000
    11FC Koln00000:000
    12Mainz00000:000
    13Freiburg00000:000
    14St. Pauli00000:000
    15Augsburg00000:000
    16Stuttgart00000:000
    17Heidenheim00000:000
    18RB Leipzig00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
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          Bundesliga (Relegation)
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