Result
2:3
05/05/2023 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- GERMANY: BUNDESLIGA - ROUND 31
- Referee: Jollenbeck M. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bulgaria | Nova Sport |
 Cyprus | Nova Sports |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 3 |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | beIN Sports |
 Greece | Nova Sports |
 Hungary | Arena 4 |
 Malaysia | Astro |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Poland | Viaplay |
 Portugal | Eleven Sports |
 Romania | Orange Sport |
 Slovenia | Sport TV |
 Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool |
 Ukraine | Setanta Sports |
 World | Setanta Sports Eurasia |
Chances of winning
Mainz
55.9% | Draw
23.5% | Schalke 04
20.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Mainz - Schalke 04 Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.71 ↑
(1.61) |
4.06 ↑
(4.02) |
4.67 ↓
(5.38) |
4.6%
(5.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Mainz - Schalke 04?
Users Predictions:
60 users predict this event. Mainz will win (votes: 43 - 71.7%). Schalke will win (votes: 11 - 18.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mainz: 60.3% – 83.1%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Mainz has the most likely position - 8 (37.54%), project points - 51, currently - 45, not chance of relegated, a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), not chance of win league.
- Schalke has the most likely position - 17 (52.89%), project points - 30, currently - 27, a good chance of relegated (71%), not chance of qualify for ucl.
- This event has quality 66, importance 45, match rating 55. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Mainz won 0.
- One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
- In this match Mainz is a favorite.
- There will not play in Mainz: Burkardt J.
(Knee Injury)
Widmer S.
(Ankle Injury)
- There will not play in Schalke: Balanta E.
(Knee Injury)
Fahrmann R.
(Groin Injury)
Heekeren J.
(Knee Injury)
Jenz M.
(Thigh Injury)
Kozuki S.
(Ankle Injury)
- Last 21 head-to-head matches Mainz won 4 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 17-28.
- Including matches at home between the teams Mainz won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11-8.
How many head-to-head matches has Mainz won against Schalke 04?
Mainz has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Schalke 04 won against Mainz?
Schalke 04 has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mainz - Schalke 04 were as follows:
09.11.2022
Schalke 04
-
Mainz
1:0
Latest results of Schalke 04
German Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 33:4 | 29 | 27 |
| 2 | RB Leipzig | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 19:10 | 9 | 22 |
| 3 | Dortmund | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 15:6 | 9 | 20 |
| 4 | Stuttgart | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 14:10 | 4 | 18 |
| 5 | Bayer Leverkusen | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 18:14 | 4 | 17 |
| 6 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 22:19 | 3 | 14 |
| 7 | Hoffenheim | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 15:13 | 2 | 13 |
| 8 | Werder Bremen | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13:17 | -4 | 12 |
| 9 | FC Koln | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12:11 | 1 | 11 |
| 10 | Union Berlin | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11:15 | -4 | 11 |
| 11 | Freiburg | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 11:13 | -2 | 10 |
| 12 | Wolfsburg | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9:13 | -4 | 8 |
| 13 | Hamburger SV | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7:11 | -4 | 8 |
| 14 | Augsburg | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 12:21 | -9 | 7 |
| 15 | St. Pauli | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 8:18 | -10 | 7 |
| 16 | B. Monchengladbach | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10:18 | -8 | 6 |
| 17 | Mainz | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10:17 | -7 | 5 |
| 18 | Heidenheim | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8:17 | -9 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga
