Union Berlin vs Schalke 04 – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German Bundesliga Union Berlin - Schalke 04
Result
0:0
19/02/2023 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • GERMANY: BUNDESLIGA - ROUND 21
  • Referee: Reichel T. (Ger)

Chances of winning


Union Berlin
60.5%
Draw
25.1%
Schalke 04
14.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.7% 23.9% 15.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.7% 23.1% 15%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Union Berlin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • Schalke 04 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Union Berlin than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Schalke 04 than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
  • Union Berlin - Schalke 04 Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.58
    (1.56)
    3.82
    (3.97)
    6.66
    (6.13)
    4.5%
    (5.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Union Berlin - Schalke 04?
  • Users Predictions: 140 users predict this event. Union Berlin will win (votes: 129 - 92.1%). Schalke will win (votes: 8 - 5.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 2.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Union Berlin: 87.6%96.6%. The data is statistically significant.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Group Stage) and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga).
    • Union Berlin has the most likely position - 4 (21.93%), has project points - 62, has currently - 42, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of qualify for ucl (64%), has a very small chance of win league (5%).
    • Schalke has the most likely position - 18 (62.85%), has project points - 26, has currently - 12, has a good chance of relegated (83%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
    • This event has quality 64, importance 60, match rating 62. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Union Berlin won 1.
    • Union Berlin in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Schalke is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Schalke could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Union Berlin is certain favorite.
    • There will not play in Union Berlin: Schafer A. (Foot Injury)
    • There will not play in Schalke: Heekeren J. (Knee Injury) Kaminski M. (Illness) Polter S. (Knee Injury) Schwolow A. (Injury) Skarke T. (Leg Injury) van den Berg S. (Ankle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Union Berlin: Busk J. (Illness)
    • There are questionable in Schalke: Latza D. (Lacking Match Fitness) Tauer N. (Lacking Match Fitness)
    • Our prediction for today's Union Berlin to win the game is with odds 1.56.
    • Last 6 head-to-head matches Union Berlin won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-5.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Union Berlin won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Union Berlin - Schalke 04 were as follows:
    27.08.2022 Schalke 04 - Union Berlin 1:6
    Latest results of Union Berlin
    16.02.2023 Ajax - Union Berlin 0:0
    11.02.2023 RB Leipzig - Union Berlin 1:2
    04.02.2023 Union Berlin - Mainz 2:1
    31.01.2023 Union Berlin - Wolfsburg 2:1
    Latest results of Schalke 04
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Union Berlin00000:000
    2Eintracht Frankfurt00000:000
    3Bayern Munich00000:000
    4Bayer Leverkusen00000:000
    5Werder Bremen00000:000
    6Hamburger SV00000:000
    7Wolfsburg00000:000
    8Dortmund00000:000
    9B. Monchengladbach00000:000
    10Hoffenheim00000:000
    11FC Koln00000:000
    12Mainz00000:000
    13Freiburg00000:000
    14St. Pauli00000:000
    15Augsburg00000:000
    16Stuttgart00000:000
    17Heidenheim00000:000
    18RB Leipzig00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga