Result
0:0
19/02/2023 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- GERMANY: BUNDESLIGA - ROUND 21
- Referee: Reichel T. (Ger)
Chances of winning
Union Berlin
60.5% | Draw
25.1% | Schalke 04
14.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Union Berlin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)Schalke 04 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Union Berlin than the current prediction. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Schalke 04 than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
Union Berlin - Schalke 04 Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.58 ↑
(1.56) |
3.82 ↓
(3.97) |
6.66 ↑
(6.13) |
4.5%
(5.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Union Berlin - Schalke 04?
Users Predictions:
140 users predict this event. Union Berlin will win (votes: 129 - 92.1%). Schalke will win (votes: 8 - 5.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 2.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Union Berlin: 87.6% – 96.6%. The data is statistically significant. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Group Stage) and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga).
- Union Berlin has the most likely position - 4 (21.93%), has project points - 62, has currently - 42, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of qualify for ucl (64%), has a very small chance of win league (5%).
- Schalke has the most likely position - 18 (62.85%), has project points - 26, has currently - 12, has a good chance of relegated (83%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
- This event has quality 64, importance 60, match rating 62. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Union Berlin won 1.
- Union Berlin in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Schalke is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Schalke could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Union Berlin is certain favorite.
- There will not play in Union Berlin: Schafer A.
(Foot Injury)
- There will not play in Schalke: Heekeren J.
(Knee Injury)
Kaminski M.
(Illness)
Polter S.
(Knee Injury)
Schwolow A.
(Injury)
Skarke T.
(Leg Injury)
van den Berg S.
(Ankle Injury)
- There are questionable in Union Berlin: Busk J.
(Illness)
- There are questionable in Schalke: Latza D.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
Tauer N.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
- Our prediction for today's Union Berlin to win the game is with odds 1.56.
- Last 6 head-to-head matches Union Berlin won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-5.
- Including matches at home between the teams Union Berlin won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.
How many head-to-head matches has Union Berlin won against Schalke 04?
Union Berlin has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Schalke 04 won against Union Berlin?
Schalke 04 has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Union Berlin - Schalke 04 were as follows:
27.08.2022
Schalke 04
-
Union Berlin
1:6
Latest results of Union Berlin
Latest results of Schalke 04
German Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 30:4 | 26 | 24 |
| 2 | RB Leipzig | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 16:9 | 7 | 19 |
| 3 | Stuttgart | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 13:7 | 6 | 18 |
| 4 | Dortmund | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14:6 | 8 | 17 |
| 5 | Bayer Leverkusen | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 18:11 | 7 | 17 |
| 6 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 21:18 | 3 | 13 |
| 7 | Hoffenheim | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 15:13 | 2 | 13 |
| 8 | FC Koln | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12:11 | 1 | 11 |
| 9 | Werder Bremen | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12:16 | -4 | 11 |
| 10 | Union Berlin | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11:15 | -4 | 10 |
| 11 | Freiburg | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11:13 | -2 | 9 |
| 12 | Wolfsburg | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9:13 | -4 | 8 |
| 13 | Hamburger SV | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7:11 | -4 | 8 |
| 14 | St. Pauli | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8:14 | -6 | 7 |
| 15 | Augsburg | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 12:20 | -8 | 7 |
| 16 | Mainz | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9:16 | -7 | 4 |
| 17 | Heidenheim | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7:16 | -9 | 4 |
| 18 | B. Monchengladbach | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6:18 | -12 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga
