Imbabura vs SD Aucas – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Ecuadorian Liga Pro Imbabura - SD Aucas
Result
1:2
30/11/2024 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ECUADOR: Liga Pro - Second stage - Round 30
  • Referee: Guerrero G. (Ecu)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
ecuadorEcuadorEl Canal del Futbol, Zapping
peruPeruZapping Sports
worldWorldFanatiz

Match Stats

Ball Possession
47%53%
Goal Attempts
2212
Shots on Goal
108
Shots off Goal
124
Free Kicks
1615
Corner Kicks
73
Offsides
02
Throw-ins
1811
Goalkeeper Saves
69
Fouls
1612
Yellow Cards
34

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 12', Olaya Campos M. V. 🟨,
  • 17', 0 - 1, Zambrano C. , Mina J. (A),
  • 45+2', Pita J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Medina E. A. , Chavez R. ,
  • 46', Pita J. , Pantoja L. ,
  • 47', 0 - 2, Cano L. , Carcelen Carabali M. A. (A),
  • 61', Caicedo R. , Cevallos G. ,
  • 61', Mendoza E. , Paz F. ,
  • 62', Cevallos G. 🟨,
  • 64', 1 - 2, Pantoja L. , Espinoza T. (A),
  • 68', Carcelen Carabali M. A. , Caicedo E. ,
  • 69', Briones R. , Batalla H. ,
  • 73', Luna Tobar C. , Burbano D. ,
  • 76', Zambrano C. , Callejo F. ,
  • 77', Mina A. 🟨,
  • 81', Olaya Campos M. V. , Carabali B. ,
  • 88', Mina J. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Resendez E. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Pepinos O. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Imbabura
52.2%
Draw
23.8%
SD Aucas
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.4% 26.8% 31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.3% 27.4% 31.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Imbabura has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Imbabura's performance.
  • SD Aucas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and SD Aucas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Imbabura than the current prediction. (-9.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Imbabura that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for SD Aucas than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that SD Aucas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Imbabura - SD Aucas Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.77
    (2.21)
    3.88
    (3.42)
    3.84
    (2.88)
    8.2%
    (9.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Imbabura - SD Aucas?
  • Users Predictions: Imbabura will win (20 of 22 users predict this - 90.91%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 78.9%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 and 13).
    • Imbabura has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Aucas is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Imbabura will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Imbabura won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:2
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Imbabura - SD Aucas were as follows:
    01.06.2024 SD Aucas - Imbabura 2:2
    Latest results of Imbabura
    Latest results of SD Aucas
    Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
    Placement Group
    PlWDLDiffPts
    7Dep. Cuenca311371136:32446
    8Emelec311291033:35-245
    9Macara3110111035:32341
    10Aucas311181240:44-441
    11EL Nacional31981434:48-1435
    12Delfin316141128:44-1632

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