Result
3:1
18/04/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 9
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, Ecuavisa, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping |
Peru | Zapping Sports |
Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.08 | 2.03 |
Ball Possession |
---|
45% | 55% |
Total shots |
---|
9 | 17 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 3 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 4 |
Passes |
---|
85% (305/360) | 87% (372/428) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.08 | 2.03 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
2.21 | 0.19 |
Total shots |
---|
9 | 17 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 3 |
Shots off target |
---|
3 | 10 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
1 | 4 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
5 | 11 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
3 | 6 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 1 |
Headed Goals |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 4 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
17 | 30 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
8 | 17 |
Passes |
---|
85% (305/360) | 87% (372/428) |
Long passes |
---|
67% (35/52) | 67% (35/52) |
Passes in final third |
---|
77% (76/99) | 75% (77/102) |
Crosses |
---|
18% (3/17) | 35% (13/37) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.48 | 1.73 |
Fouls |
---|
17 | 8 |
Tackles |
---|
88% (14/16) | 50% (10/20) |
Duels won |
---|
41 | 63 |
Clearances Total |
---|
25 | 19 |
Interceptions |
---|
4 | 8 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.19 | 2.21 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.81 | -0.79 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 6', 1 - 0, Ramirez Leon B. J. ⚽, Arce A. (A),
- 31', Ciccioli U. 🟨,
- 35', Villamil G. 🟨,
- 40', Carcelen Carabali M. A. (Pen),
- 43', 2 - 0, Villamil G. ⚽, Arce A. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Almagro A. ↓, Vazquez J. ↑,
- 59', Pastran L. ↓, Alvarado A. ↑,
- 59', Cornejo F. ↓, Gruezo C. ↑,
- 65', Briones R. ↓, Rolon C. ↑,
- 65', Mina A. ↓, Porozo D. ↑,
- 65', Segura E. ↓, Zambrano C. ↑,
- 70', Quintero J. ↓, de la Cruz D. I. ↑,
- 71', Ramirez Leon B. J. ↓, Alzugaray L. ↑,
- 73', 2 - 1, Montenegro B. ⚽, Mina J. (A),
- 77', Villamil G. ↓, Estrada M. ↑,
- 84', Minda K. 🟨,
- 85', Pereyra G. 🟨,
- 88', 3 - 1, Estrada M. ⚽, Arce A. (A),
- 90+2', Sanchez P. 🟨,
Chances of winning
LDU Quito 47.7% | Draw 27.9% | SD Aucas 24.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
LDU Quito has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that LDU Quito's form might have worsened.SD Aucas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting SD Aucas's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for LDU Quito than the current prediction. (+16.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for LDU Quito, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for SD Aucas than the current prediction. (-10.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for SD Aucas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
LDU Quito - SD Aucas Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.94 ↑ (1.49) |
3.33 ↓ (3.98) |
3.83 ↓ (6.35) |
7.6% (8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for LDU Quito - SD Aucas?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. LDU Quito will win (votes: 5 - 83.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches LDU Quito won 1.
- Both teams are now playing unstable.
- Aucas could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Recently LDU Quito have a series of guest games.
- In this match LDU Quito is a favorite.
- Last 20 head-to-head matches LDU Quito won 7 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 27:22 (average 1.4:1.1).
- Including matches at home between the teams LDU Quito won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 16:14 (average 1.6:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has LDU Quito won against SD Aucas?
LDU Quito has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has SD Aucas won against LDU Quito?
SD Aucas has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between LDU Quito - SD Aucas were as follows:
17.08.2024
SD Aucas
-
LDU Quito
0:1
16.03.2024
LDU Quito
-
SD Aucas
1:2
13.08.2023
SD Aucas
-
LDU Quito
0:0
04.03.2023
LDU Quito
-
SD Aucas
1:1
04.02.2023
LDU Quito
-
SD Aucas
0:0
Latest results of LDU Quito
Latest results of SD Aucas
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Ind. del Valle | 21 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 39:19 | 20 | 43 |
2 | Barcelona SC | 21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 33:25 | 8 | 38 |
3 | LDU Quito | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 37:21 | 16 | 37 |
4 | Dep. Cuenca | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 26:20 | 6 | 34 |
5 | Orense | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 24:24 | 0 | 34 |
6 | Libertad | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 31:26 | 5 | 33 |
7 | Aucas | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 28:26 | 2 | 32 |
8 | U. Catolica | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 34:28 | 6 | 28 |
9 | Delfin | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 20:29 | -9 | 26 |
10 | Emelec | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 16:24 | -8 | 25 |
11 | EL Nacional | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 24:30 | -6 | 24 |
12 | Vinotinto | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 26:29 | -3 | 23 |
13 | Manta | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 27:34 | -7 | 23 |
14 | Macara | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 19:21 | -2 | 22 |
15 | Mushuc Runa | 21 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 24:38 | -14 | 17 |
16 | Tecnico U | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 19:33 | -14 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )