LDU Quito vs SD Aucas – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

18/04/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado (Quito).

Liga Pro - Round 9
Where to Watch on TV:


Ecuador	Canal del Futbol, Ecuavisa, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping
Peru	Zapping Sports
Usa	Fanatiz

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.08	2.03
Ball Possession
45%	55%
Total shots
9	17
Shots on target
5	3
Big Chances
2	2
Corner Kicks
5	4
Passes
85% (305/360)	87% (372/428)
Yellow Cards
2	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.08	2.03
xG on target (xGOT)
2.21	0.19
Total shots
9	17
Shots on target
5	3
Shots off target
3	10
Blocked Shots
1	4
Shots inside the Box
5	11
Shots outside the Box
3	6
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
2	2
Corner Kicks
5	4
Touches in opposition box
17	30
Offsides
0	1
Free Kicks
8	17
Passes
85% (305/360)	87% (372/428)
Long passes
67% (35/52)	67% (35/52)
Passes in final third
77% (76/99)	75% (77/102)
Crosses
18% (3/17)	35% (13/37)
Expected assists (xA)
0.48	1.73
Fouls
17	8
Tackles
88% (14/16)	50% (10/20)
Duels won
41	63
Clearances Total
25	19
Interceptions
4	8
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	2
xGOT faced
0.19	2.21
Goals prevented
-0.81	-0.79

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Ramirez Leon B. J. ⚽, Arce A. (A),
31', Ciccioli U. 🟨,
35', Villamil G. 🟨,
40', Carcelen Carabali M. A. (Pen),
43', 2 - 0, Villamil G. ⚽, Arce A. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Almagro A. ↓, Vazquez J. ↑,
59', Pastran L. ↓, Alvarado A. ↑,
59', Cornejo F. ↓, Gruezo C. ↑,
65', Briones R. ↓, Rolon C. ↑,
65', Mina A. ↓, Porozo D. ↑,
65', Segura E. ↓, Zambrano C. ↑,
70', Quintero J. ↓, de la Cruz D. I. ↑,
71', Ramirez Leon B. J. ↓, Alzugaray L. ↑,
73', 2 - 1, Montenegro B. ⚽, Mina J. (A),
77', Villamil G. ↓, Estrada M. ↑,
84', Minda K. 🟨,
85', Pereyra G. 🟨,
88', 3 - 1, Estrada M. ⚽, Arce A. (A),
90+2', Sanchez P. 🟨,

Chances of winning

LDU Quito
47.7%

Draw
27.9%

SD Aucas
24.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.1%

23.3%

14.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.9%

22.6%

14.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

LDU Quito has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that LDU Quito's form might have worsened.

SD Aucas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting SD Aucas's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for LDU Quito than the current prediction. (+16.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for LDU Quito, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SD Aucas than the current prediction. (-10.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for SD Aucas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

LDU Quito - SD Aucas Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↑ (1.49)	3.33 ↓ (3.98)	3.83 ↓ (6.35)	7.6% (8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for LDU Quito - SD Aucas?

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. LDU Quito will win (votes: 5 - 83.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )).
Last 5 head-to-head matches LDU Quito won 1.
Both teams are now playing unstable.
Aucas could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently LDU Quito have a series of guest games.
In this match LDU Quito is a favorite.
Last 20 head-to-head matches LDU Quito won 7 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 27:22 (average 1.4:1.1).
Including matches at home between the teams LDU Quito won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 16:14 (average 1.6:1.4).

How many head-to-head matches has LDU Quito won against SD Aucas?

LDU Quito has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has SD Aucas won against LDU Quito?

SD Aucas has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between LDU Quito - SD Aucas were as follows:

17.08.2024 SD Aucas - LDU Quito 0:1

16.03.2024 LDU Quito - SD Aucas 1:2

13.08.2023 SD Aucas - LDU Quito 0:0

04.03.2023 LDU Quito - SD Aucas 1:1

04.02.2023 LDU Quito - SD Aucas 0:0

Latest results of LDU Quito

14.04.2025 Mushuc Runa - LDU Quito 1:0 ✺

09.04.2025 LDU Quito - Deportivo Táchira 2:0 ✺

03.04.2025 Central Córdoba - LDU Quito 0:0 ✺

29.03.2025 Deportivo Cuenca - LDU Quito 1:2 ✺

08.03.2025 LDU Quito - Delfín 3:0 ✺

Latest results of SD Aucas

15.04.2025 SD Aucas - Universidad Católica del Ecuador 2:1 ✺

05.04.2025 Delfín - SD Aucas 1:1 ✺

28.03.2025 SD Aucas - Independiente del Valle 1:2 ✺

09.03.2025 Deportivo Macará - SD Aucas 1:1 ✺

06.03.2025 Universidad Católica del Ecuador - SD Aucas 1:0 ✺

Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Ind. del Valle	21	12	7	2	39:19	20	43
2	Barcelona SC	21	11	5	5	33:25	8	38
3	LDU Quito	21	10	7	4	37:21	16	37
4	Dep. Cuenca	21	10	4	7	26:20	6	34
5	Orense	21	10	4	7	24:24	0	34
6	Libertad	21	9	6	6	31:26	5	33
7	Aucas	21	9	5	7	28:26	2	32
8	U. Catolica	21	7	7	7	34:28	6	28
9	Delfin	21	6	8	7	20:29	-9	26
10	Emelec	21	6	7	8	16:24	-8	25
11	EL Nacional	21	6	6	9	24:30	-6	24
12	Vinotinto	21	6	5	10	26:29	-3	23
13	Manta	21	5	8	8	27:34	-7	23
14	Macara	21	5	7	9	19:21	-2	22
15	Mushuc Runa	21	4	5	12	24:38	-14	17
16	Tecnico U	21	3	7	11	19:33	-14	16

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