LDU Quito vs SD Aucas – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Ecuadorian Liga Pro LDU Quito - SD Aucas
Result
3:1
18/04/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Pro - Round 9
  • Where to Watch on TV:
ecuadorEcuadorCanal del Futbol, Ecuavisa, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping
peruPeruZapping Sports
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.082.03
Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
917
Shots on target
53
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
54
Passes
85% (305/360)87% (372/428)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
1.082.03
xG on target (xGOT)
2.210.19
Total shots
917
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
310
Blocked Shots
14
Shots inside the Box
511
Shots outside the Box
36
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
54
Touches in opposition box
1730
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
817
Passes
85% (305/360)87% (372/428)
Long passes
67% (35/52)67% (35/52)
Passes in final third
77% (76/99)75% (77/102)
Crosses
18% (3/17)35% (13/37)
Expected assists (xA)
0.481.73
Fouls
178
Tackles
88% (14/16)50% (10/20)
Duels won
4163
Clearances Total
2519
Interceptions
48
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
0.192.21
Goals prevented
-0.81-0.79

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 6', 1 - 0, Ramirez Leon B. J. , Arce A. (A),
  • 31', Ciccioli U. 🟨,
  • 35', Villamil G. 🟨,
  • 40', Carcelen Carabali M. A. (Pen),
  • 43', 2 - 0, Villamil G. , Arce A. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Almagro A. , Vazquez J. ,
  • 59', Pastran L. , Alvarado A. ,
  • 59', Cornejo F. , Gruezo C. ,
  • 65', Briones R. , Rolon C. ,
  • 65', Mina A. , Porozo D. ,
  • 65', Segura E. , Zambrano C. ,
  • 70', Quintero J. , de la Cruz D. I. ,
  • 71', Ramirez Leon B. J. , Alzugaray L. ,
  • 73', 2 - 1, Montenegro B. , Mina J. (A),
  • 77', Villamil G. , Estrada M. ,
  • 84', Minda K. 🟨,
  • 85', Pereyra G. 🟨,
  • 88', 3 - 1, Estrada M. , Arce A. (A),
  • 90+2', Sanchez P. 🟨,

Chances of winning


LDU Quito
47.7%
Draw
27.9%
SD Aucas
24.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.1% 23.3% 14.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.9% 22.6% 14.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • LDU Quito has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that LDU Quito's form might have worsened.
  • SD Aucas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting SD Aucas's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for LDU Quito than the current prediction. (+16.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for LDU Quito, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for SD Aucas than the current prediction. (-10.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for SD Aucas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • LDU Quito - SD Aucas Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.94
    (1.49)
    3.33
    (3.98)
    3.83
    (6.35)
    7.6%
    (8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for LDU Quito - SD Aucas?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. LDU Quito will win (votes: 5 - 83.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches LDU Quito won 1.
    • Both teams are now playing unstable.
    • Aucas could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Recently LDU Quito have a series of guest games.
    • In this match LDU Quito is a favorite.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches LDU Quito won 7 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 27:22 (average 1.4:1.1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams LDU Quito won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 16:14 (average 1.6:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between LDU Quito - SD Aucas were as follows:
    17.08.2024 SD Aucas - LDU Quito 0:1
    16.03.2024 LDU Quito - SD Aucas 1:2
    13.08.2023 SD Aucas - LDU Quito 0:0
    04.03.2023 LDU Quito - SD Aucas 1:1
    04.02.2023 LDU Quito - SD Aucas 0:0
    Latest results of LDU Quito
    Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. del Valle21127239:192043
    2Barcelona SC21115533:25838
    3LDU Quito21107437:211637
    4Dep. Cuenca21104726:20634
    5Orense21104724:24034
    6Libertad2196631:26533
    7Aucas2195728:26232
    8U. Catolica2177734:28628
    9Delfin2168720:29-926
    10Emelec2167816:24-825
    11EL Nacional2166924:30-624
    12Vinotinto21651026:29-323
    13Manta2158827:34-723
    14Macara2157919:21-222
    15Mushuc Runa21451224:38-1417
    16Tecnico U21371119:33-1416

          Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
          Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
          Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )