Shakhtar Donetsk vs Brest: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

22/01/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Veltins Arena (Gelsenkirchen).

EUROPE: Champions League - League phase - Round 7
Referee: Scharer S. (Sui)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.95	0.43
Ball Possession
47%	53%
Goal Attempts
9	10
Shots on Goal
5	4
Shots off Goal
3	5
Blocked Shots
1	1
Big Chances
4	0
Corner Kicks
3	4
Shots inside the Box
7	5
Shots outside the Box
2	5
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
4	3
Free Kicks
11	17
Offsides
2	0
Fouls
17	11
Yellow Cards
1	1
Throw-ins
8	14
Touches in the Opposition Box
16	15
Passes
85% (379/448)	82% (407/497)
Passes in the final third
79% (59/75)	64% (109/169)
Crosses
9% (1/11)	14% (3/21)
Tackles
60% (9/15)	61% (11/18)
Clearances Total
40	15
Interceptions
8	4

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Kevin ⚽,
22', Ndiaye A. 🟨,
37', 2 - 0, Sudakov G. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', Eguinaldo ↓, Traore L. ↑,
60', Ajorque L. ↓, Sima A. ↑,
60', Camara M. ↓, Del Castillo R. ↑,
60', Doumbia K. ↓, Faivre R. ↑,
71', Marlon Gomes ↓, Stepanenko T. ↑,
71', Tobias V. ↓, Konoplya Y. ↑,
71', Balde M. ↓, Salah I. ↑,
77', Stepanenko T. 🟨,
83', Pedrinho ↓, Zubkov O. ↑,
83', Sudakov G. ↓, Bondarenko A. ↑,
85', Fernandes E. ↓, Coulibaly S. ↑,

Chances of winning

Shakhtar Donetsk
34.3%

Draw
28.5%

Brest
37.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38%

27.9%

34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.5%

29.7%

31.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shakhtar Donetsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Brest has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shakhtar Donetsk than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Shakhtar Donetsk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brest than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Brest, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Shakhtar Donetsk - Brest Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.78 ↑ (2.52)	3.35 ↓ (3.44)	2.56 ↓ (2.82)	4.9% (4.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Shakhtar Donetsk - Brest?

Users Predictions: 62 users predict this event. Shakhtar will win (votes: 17 - 27.4%). Brest will win (votes: 30 - 48.4%). It will Tie (votes: 15 - 24.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Brest: 36% – 60.8%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Playing home matches at a different stadium - Veltins Arena.
Shakhtar is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Brest is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Brest could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
There will not play in Shakhtar: Henrique P. (Red Card)
There will not play in Brest: Amavi J. (Hamstring Injury) Coulibaly S. (Groin Injury) Haidara M. (Calf Injury) Le Cardinal J. (Yellow Cards) Locko B. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Martin J. (Muscle Injury)
There are questionable in Brest: Faivre R. (Illness) Lees-Melou P. (Calf Injury)
Recently, the teams did not play each other.

How many head-to-head matches has Shakhtar Donetsk won against Brest?

Shakhtar Donetsk has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Brest won against Shakhtar Donetsk?

Brest has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Shakhtar Donetsk - Brest were as follows:

Latest results of Shakhtar Donetsk

15.12.2024 Polissya Zhytomyr - Shakhtar Donetsk 1:0 ✺

10.12.2024 Shakhtar Donetsk - Bayern Munich 1:5 ✺

05.12.2024 Shakhtar Donetsk - Vorskla Poltava 3:1 ✺

01.12.2024 Shakhtar Donetsk - Rukh Lviv 1:1 ✺

27.11.2024 PSV Eindhoven - Shakhtar Donetsk 3:2 ✺

Latest results of Brest

18.01.2025 Rennes - Brest 1:2 ✺

15.01.2025 Brest - Nantes 2:1 ✺

11.01.2025 Brest - Lyon 2:1 ✺

05.01.2025 Angers - Brest 2:0 ✺

21.12.2024 La Roche VF - Brest 0:1 ✺

Draw

2025/26

1/8-finals

1	Levadia	RFS
2	Iberia 1999	Malmo FF
3	Zalgiris	Hamrun
4	Bye	Dyn. Kyiv
5	Pafos	Bye
6	Bye	Maccabi Tel Aviv
7	Vikingur	Lincoln Red Imps
8	Bye	Crvena zvezda
9	Noah	Buducnost
10	Bye	Ferencvaros
11	Lech Poznan	Bye
12	Egnatia	Breidablik
13	FC Copenhagen	Bye
14	Drita	Differdange
15	Rijeka	Bye
16	Ludogorets	Din. Minsk
17	TNS	Shkendija
18	FCSB	Inter Escaldes
19	Slovan Bratislava	Bye
20	Virtus	Zrinjski
21	Shelbourne	Linfield
22	Bye	Qarabag
23	KuPS	Milsami
24	O. Ljubljana	Kairat Almaty
25	Brann	Bye
26	Bye	Salzburg
27	Plzen	Bye
28	Bye	Servette
29	Rangers	Bye
30	Bye	Panathinaikos

Quarter-finals

1	TBD #1	TBD #2
2	TBD #3	Dyn. Kyiv
3	Pafos	Maccabi Tel Aviv
4	TBD #7	Crvena zvezda
5	TBD #9	Ferencvaros
6	Lech Poznan	TBD #12
7	FC Copenhagen	TBD #14
8	Rijeka	TBD #16
9	TBD #17	TBD #18
10	Slovan Bratislava	TBD #20
11	TBD #21	Qarabag
12	TBD #23	TBD #24
13	Brann	Salzburg
14	Plzen	Servette
15	Rangers	Panathinaikos

Which TV channels are streaming of Shakhtar Donetsk - Brest?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football Plus ROA, SuperSport MaXimo 1
Argentina	ESPN 2
Armenia	Fast Sports 2, Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 4
Belgium	Pickx+ Sports 3, Pickx+ Sports 3, Play Sports 1, Play Sports 5
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1, Moja TV
Brazil	Claro TV+, Max, Sky+, Space, Space, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Ring, Voyo
Canada	DAZN Canada
China	iQIYI, QQ Sports
Colombia	ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 5
Denmark	TV3 MAX, Viaplay
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
France	CANAL+ Foot
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1, Silk Universal
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 3
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 1, Now Player
Hungary	RTL+, Sport 2
Iceland	Stod 2 Sport 3
India	Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 5
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN Sports 3, Vidio
Ireland	Virgin Media Player, Virgin Media Two
Israel	5 SPORT Israel
Italy	NOW TV, Sky Calcio 1, Sky Sport 253, Sky Sport Calcio
Kosovo	ART Motion Sport 1
Laos	beIN Connect
Macao	TDM TV
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 6
Mexico	Caliente TV App, Caliente TV
Myanmar	Canal+ Myanmar
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 3
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Norway	TV2 Play
Pakistan	Tapmad
Peru	ESPN
Philippines	beIN Connect
Poland	Canal+ Extra 3
Portugal	DAZN 1
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Singapore	beIN Sport 1, StarHub TV+
Slovakia	Voyo
South-america	ESPN 2 South, ESPN 5 South, ESPN South, ViX Latin America
South-korea	SPOTV Prime+
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 3
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 3, Blue Sport 3, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Taiwan	ELTA Sports 1
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1
United-kingdom	Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 9
Usa	Paramount+
Venezuela	ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	TV 360
World	Disney+, JioTV app, Prima+ app, Virgin TV Go app