Result
1:1
03/05/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 33
- Referee: Masiyev E. (Aze)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Azerbaijan | CBC Sport |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 13', Tircoveanu A. 🟨,
- 22', Veremeev V. 🟨,
- 29', Adilkhanov E. 🟨,
- 33', 1 - 0, Msanga A. ⚽, Mickels L. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 57', Tircoveanu A. ↓, Michael Thuique ↑,
- 58', Nikolic M. ↓, Maddi ↑,
- 66', 1 - 1, Abdullazada R. (Pen),
- 72', Nshuti I. ↓, Abbasov M. ↑,
- 73', Mammadov O. ↓, Sofir G. ↑,
- 73', Abdullazada R. ↓, Nabiyev F. ↑,
- 81', Mickels L. ↓, Mammadli F. ↑,
- 86', Gomis D. ↓, Abdullayev S. ↑,
- 90', Adilkhanov E. ↓, Bagirov S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Shamakhi
41.7% | Draw
30.1% | Səbail
28.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Shamakhi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)Səbail has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shamakhi than the current prediction. (+2.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Səbail than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
Shamakhi - Səbail Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.21 ↑
(2.09) |
3.06 ↓
(3.18) |
3.26 ↓
(3.32) |
8.7%
(9.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shamakhi won 1.
- In recent matches, Shamakhi has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Səbail is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Səbail may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Shamakhi will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Shamakhi won 6 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 20:20. (average 1:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Shamakhi won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 0.8:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Shamakhi won against Səbail?
Shamakhi has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Səbail won against Shamakhi?
Səbail has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Shamakhi - Səbail were as follows:
03.03.2025
Səbail
-
Shamakhi
0:2
14.12.2024
Shamakhi
-
Səbail
0:0
05.10.2024
Səbail
-
Shamakhi
2:0
20.12.2023
Səbail
-
Shamakhi
6:0
27.05.2023
Səbail
-
Shamakhi
1:0
Latest results of Shamakhi
Azerbaijan Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Turan Tovuz | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 13:7 | 6 | 18 |
| 2 | Qarabag | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 13:3 | 10 | 16 |
| 3 | Zira | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 15:10 | 5 | 16 |
| 4 | Araz | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 14:13 | 1 | 16 |
| 5 | Sabah Baku | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 12:5 | 7 | 15 |
| 6 | Sumqayit | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 13:9 | 4 | 14 |
| 7 | Imisli FK | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10:9 | 1 | 12 |
| 8 | Neftci Baku | 8 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 7:6 | 1 | 9 |
| 9 | Shamakhi | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10:11 | -1 | 9 |
| 10 | Gabala | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8:11 | -3 | 5 |
| 11 | Karvan | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6:19 | -13 | 5 |
| 12 | Kapaz | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 6:24 | -18 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ I Liqa
