Səbail vs Shamakhi – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
29/10/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Azerbaijan Cup - 1/16-finals

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 49', 0 - 1, ,
  • 57', (Pen),

Official Live

Chances of winning


Səbail
34.7%
Draw
30.9%
Shamakhi
34.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.4% 27.6% 38%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5% 26% 35.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Səbail has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • Shamakhi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Səbail than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shamakhi than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
  • Səbail - Shamakhi Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.62
    (2.65)
    2.94
    (3.3)
    2.64
    (2.4)
    10.2%
    (9.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Səbail won 2.
    • Səbail is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Shamakhi's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Shamakhi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Səbail won 5 matches, drew 10 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 20:17. (average 1:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Səbail won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:9. (average 1.2:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Səbail - Shamakhi were as follows:
    03.05.2025 Shamakhi - Səbail 1:1
    03.03.2025 Səbail - Shamakhi 0:2
    14.12.2024 Shamakhi - Səbail 0:0
    05.10.2024 Səbail - Shamakhi 2:0
    20.12.2023 Səbail - Shamakhi 6:0
    Latest results of Səbail
    23.10.2025 Şəfa - Səbail 2:2
    15.10.2025 Səbail - Zagatala 1:0
    02.10.2025 Shimal - Səbail 0:0
    24.09.2025 Səbail - Shahdag Qusar 2:0
    18.09.2025 Difai Ağsu - Səbail 1:2
    Latest results of Shamakhi
    26.10.2025 Qarabağ Agdam - Shamakhi 0:0
    17.10.2025 Shamakhi - Kapaz 1:4
    05.10.2025 Gabala - Shamakhi 0:1
    27.09.2025 Shamakhi - Araz Naxçıvan 1:1
    19.09.2025 Zira - Shamakhi 2:1
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/16-finals
    1SabailShamakhi0 : 1
    2GoygolBaku Sporting0 : 2
    3QarabagBye
    4KarvanSheki City3 : 1
    5LokbatanImisli FK2 : 3
    6ByeSabah Baku
    7GabalaMingachevir5 : 1
    8CebrayilSafa Baku0 : 3
    9ShimalSahdag Qusar0 : 2
    10Dinamo BakiTuran Tovuz0 : 5
    11ArazBye
    12KapazAgstafa Gencleri6 : 1
    13KhankendiDifai Agsu1 : 2
    14ZaqatalaSumqayit0 : 3
    15ZiraBye
    16Neftci BakuMOIK Baku6 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1ShamakhiBaku Sporting1 : 0
    2QarabagKarvan3 : 0
    3Imisli FKSabah Baku1 : 2
    4GabalaSafa Baku2 : 1
    5Sahdag QusarTuran Tovuz1 : 2
    6ArazKapaz0 : 1
    7Difai AgsuSumqayit1 : 3
    8ZiraNeftci Baku1 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1ShamakhiQarabag2 : 1
    2Sabah BakuGabala0 : 0
    3Turan TovuzKapaz1 : 0
    4SumqayitZira0 : 2, 0 : 0