Result
0:1
20/09/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 30
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Australia | Stan Sport |
Brazil | Canal GOAT |
China | K-Ball |
Hong-kong | myTV SUPER |
India | FanCode, FanCode |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.18 | 1.12 |
Ball Possession |
---|
59% | 41% |
Total shots |
---|
20 | 8 |
Shots on target |
---|
8 | 4 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
7 | 2 |
Passes |
---|
79% (335/426) | 67% (210/313) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.18 | 1.12 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.26 | 0.78 |
Total shots |
---|
20 | 8 |
Shots on target |
---|
8 | 4 |
Shots off target |
---|
5 | 2 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
7 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
9 | 5 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
11 | 3 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
7 | 2 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
27 | 11 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
10 | 13 |
Passes |
---|
79% (335/426) | 67% (210/313) |
Long passes |
---|
24% (11/45) | 25% (16/65) |
Passes in final third |
---|
70% (114/163) | 59% (67/113) |
Crosses |
---|
19% (7/36) | 22% (2/9) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.69 | 0.28 |
Throw-ins |
---|
35 | 20 |
Fouls |
---|
13 | 10 |
Tackles |
---|
62% (8/13) | 78% (7/9) |
Duels won |
---|
46 | 53 |
Clearances |
---|
22 | 51 |
Interceptions |
---|
9 | 6 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
3 | 8 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.78 | 1.26 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.22 | 1.26 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 12', Takahashi T. (Pen),
- 27', Sumiyoshi J. 🟨,
- 43', Suzuki Y. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Leo Gomes ↓, Takeda S. ↑,
- 63', Nakahara H. ↓, Kitagawa K. ↑,
- 63', Yumiba M. ↓, Yajima S. ↑,
- 63', Matsuda T. ↓, Okugawa M. ↑,
- 70', Inui T. ↓, Kozuka K. ↑,
- 71', Hirato T. ↓, Nakano R. ↑,
- 71', Yoshida Y. ↓, Takagi S. ↑,
- 71', Nagasawa S. ↓, Yamada F. ↑,
- 75', 0 - 1, Yajima S. ⚽, Takagi S. (A),
- 77', Fukuoka S. ↓, Joao Pedro ↑,
- 85', Hasukawa S. 🟨,
- 90+2', Takahashi T. ↓, Chiba K. ↑,
Chances of winning
Kyoto Sanga 43.6% | Draw 28.3% | Shimizu S-Pulse 28.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kyoto Sanga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kyoto Sanga's form might have worsened.Shimizu S-Pulse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Shimizu S-Pulse's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kyoto Sanga than the current prediction. (+10.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kyoto Sanga, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shimizu S-Pulse than the current prediction. (-6.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Shimizu S-Pulse, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Kyoto Sanga - Shimizu S-Pulse Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.18 ↑ (1.83) |
3.34 ↓ (3.81) |
3.44 ↓ (4.18) |
4.7% (4.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Kyoto Sanga - Shimizu S-Pulse?
Users Predictions:
Kyoto Sanga will win
(18 of 18 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Kyoto Sanga will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: ) and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kyoto won 3.
- Kyoto has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Shimizu has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Shimizu may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Kyoto might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Kyoto: Joao Pedro
(Forearm injury)
Rafael Elias
(Yellow Cards)
Yonemoto T.
(Foot Injury)
- There will not play in Shimizu: Takahashi Y.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Kyoto won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.3:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Kyoto won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1.7:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Kyoto Sanga won against Shimizu S-Pulse?
Kyoto Sanga has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Shimizu S-Pulse won against Kyoto Sanga?
Shimizu S-Pulse has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kyoto Sanga - Shimizu S-Pulse were as follows:
16.03.2025
Shimizu S-Pulse
-
Kyoto Sanga
1:2
10.07.2024
Kyoto Sanga
-
Shimizu S-Pulse
3:1
27.08.2022
Shimizu S-Pulse
-
Kyoto Sanga
1:0
Latest results of Kyoto Sanga
Latest results of Shimizu S-Pulse
Japan J1 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Kashima Antlers | 33 | 20 | 5 | 8 | 52:28 | 24 | 65 |
2 | Kyoto | 33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 57:35 | 22 | 60 |
3 | Kashiwa Reysol | 33 | 16 | 12 | 5 | 48:33 | 15 | 60 |
4 | Vissel Kobe | 33 | 18 | 6 | 9 | 43:28 | 15 | 60 |
5 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 33 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 39:23 | 16 | 58 |
6 | Machida | 33 | 16 | 7 | 10 | 49:35 | 14 | 55 |
7 | Kawasaki Frontale | 33 | 14 | 11 | 8 | 60:45 | 15 | 53 |
8 | Urawa Reds | 33 | 14 | 10 | 9 | 40:32 | 8 | 52 |
9 | Gamba Osaka | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 46:47 | -1 | 50 |
10 | Cerezo Osaka | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 50:49 | 1 | 43 |
11 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 35:39 | -4 | 41 |
12 | Okayama | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 29:35 | -6 | 41 |
13 | FC Tokyo | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 36:46 | -10 | 41 |
14 | Avispa Fukuoka | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 32:37 | -5 | 40 |
15 | Nagoya Grampus | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 40:48 | -8 | 39 |
16 | Verdy | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 21:35 | -14 | 39 |
17 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 32:44 | -12 | 31 |
18 | Yokohama FC | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 21:37 | -16 | 31 |
19 | Shonan Bellmare | 33 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 28:57 | -29 | 25 |
20 | Albirex Niigata | 33 | 4 | 10 | 19 | 30:55 | -25 | 22 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ J2 League