Kyoto Sanga vs Shimizu S-Pulse – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Japan J1 League Kyoto Sanga - Shimizu S-Pulse
Result
0:1
20/09/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • J1 League - Round 30
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
brazilBrazilCanal GOAT
chinaChinaK-Ball
hong-kongHong-kongmyTV SUPER
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
japanJapanDAZN Japan

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.181.12
Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
208
Shots on target
84
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
72
Passes
79% (335/426)67% (210/313)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
1.181.12
xG on target (xGOT)
1.260.78
Total shots
208
Shots on target
84
Shots off target
52
Blocked Shots
72
Shots inside the Box
95
Shots outside the Box
113
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
72
Touches in opposition box
2711
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
1013
Passes
79% (335/426)67% (210/313)
Long passes
24% (11/45)25% (16/65)
Passes in final third
70% (114/163)59% (67/113)
Crosses
19% (7/36)22% (2/9)
Expected assists (xA)
1.690.28
Throw-ins
3520
Fouls
1310
Tackles
62% (8/13)78% (7/9)
Duels won
4653
Clearances
2251
Interceptions
96
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
38
xGOT faced
0.781.26
Goals prevented
-0.221.26

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 12', Takahashi T. (Pen),
  • 27', Sumiyoshi J. 🟨,
  • 43', Suzuki Y. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Leo Gomes , Takeda S. ,
  • 63', Nakahara H. , Kitagawa K. ,
  • 63', Yumiba M. , Yajima S. ,
  • 63', Matsuda T. , Okugawa M. ,
  • 70', Inui T. , Kozuka K. ,
  • 71', Hirato T. , Nakano R. ,
  • 71', Yoshida Y. , Takagi S. ,
  • 71', Nagasawa S. , Yamada F. ,
  • 75', 0 - 1, Yajima S. , Takagi S. (A),
  • 77', Fukuoka S. , Joao Pedro ,
  • 85', Hasukawa S. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Takahashi T. , Chiba K. ,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Kyoto Sanga
43.6%
Draw
28.3%
Shimizu S-Pulse
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.1% 25% 22.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.9% 24.2% 22%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Kyoto Sanga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kyoto Sanga's form might have worsened.
  • Shimizu S-Pulse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Shimizu S-Pulse's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kyoto Sanga than the current prediction. (+10.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kyoto Sanga, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shimizu S-Pulse than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Shimizu S-Pulse, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Kyoto Sanga - Shimizu S-Pulse Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.18
    (1.83)
    3.34
    (3.81)
    3.44
    (4.18)
    4.7%
    (4.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Kyoto Sanga - Shimizu S-Pulse?
  • Users Predictions: Kyoto Sanga will win (18 of 18 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Kyoto Sanga will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: ) and 13).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kyoto won 3.
    • Kyoto has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Shimizu has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Shimizu may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Kyoto might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Kyoto: Joao Pedro (Forearm injury) Rafael Elias (Yellow Cards) Yonemoto T. (Foot Injury)
    • There will not play in Shimizu: Takahashi Y. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Kyoto won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.3:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Kyoto won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1.7:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Kyoto Sanga - Shimizu S-Pulse were as follows:
    16.03.2025 Shimizu S-Pulse - Kyoto Sanga 1:2
    10.07.2024 Kyoto Sanga - Shimizu S-Pulse 3:1
    27.08.2022 Shimizu S-Pulse - Kyoto Sanga 1:0
    Latest results of Kyoto Sanga
    Latest results of Shimizu S-Pulse
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kashima Antlers33205852:282465
    2Kyoto33179757:352260
    3Kashiwa Reysol331612548:331560
    4Vissel Kobe33186943:281560
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima33177939:231658
    6Machida331671049:351455
    7Kawasaki Frontale331411860:451553
    8Urawa Reds331410940:32852
    9Gamba Osaka331551346:47-150
    10Cerezo Osaka3311101250:49143
    11Shimizu S-Pulse3310111235:39-441
    12Okayama331181429:35-641
    13FC Tokyo331181436:46-1041
    14Avispa Fukuoka3310101332:37-540
    15Nagoya Grampus331091440:48-839
    16Verdy331091421:35-1439
    17Yokohama F. Marinos33871832:44-1231
    18Yokohama FC33871821:37-1631
    19Shonan Bellmare33672028:57-2925
    20Albirex Niigata334101930:55-2522

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League