Result
0:1
20/09/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 30
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | Stan Sport |
 Brazil | Canal GOAT |
 China | K-Ball |
 Hong-kong | myTV SUPER |
 India | FanCode, FanCode |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.18 | 1.12 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (335/426) | 67% (210/313) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.18 | 1.12 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.26 | 0.78 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (335/426) | 67% (210/313) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 24% (11/45) | 25% (16/65) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (114/163) | 59% (67/113) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (7/36) | 22% (2/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.69 | 0.28 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 35 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 62% (8/13) | 78% (7/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 51 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.78 | 1.26 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.22 | 1.26 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 12', Takahashi T. (Pen),
- 27', Sumiyoshi J. 🟨,
- 43', Suzuki Y. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Leo Gomes ↓, Takeda S. ↑,
- 63', Nakahara H. ↓, Kitagawa K. ↑,
- 63', Yumiba M. ↓, Yajima S. ↑,
- 63', Matsuda T. ↓, Okugawa M. ↑,
- 70', Inui T. ↓, Kozuka K. ↑,
- 71', Hirato T. ↓, Nakano R. ↑,
- 71', Yoshida Y. ↓, Takagi S. ↑,
- 71', Nagasawa S. ↓, Yamada F. ↑,
- 75', 0 - 1, Yajima S. ⚽, Takagi S. (A),
- 77', Fukuoka S. ↓, Joao Pedro ↑,
- 85', Hasukawa S. 🟨,
- 90+2', Takahashi T. ↓, Chiba K. ↑,
Chances of winning
Kyoto Sanga
43.6% | Draw
28.3% | Shimizu S-Pulse
28.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kyoto Sanga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kyoto Sanga's form might have worsened.Shimizu S-Pulse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Shimizu S-Pulse's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kyoto Sanga than the current prediction. (+10.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kyoto Sanga, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shimizu S-Pulse than the current prediction. (-6.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Shimizu S-Pulse, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Kyoto Sanga - Shimizu S-Pulse Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.18 ↑
(1.83) |
3.34 ↓
(3.81) |
3.44 ↓
(4.18) |
4.7%
(4.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Kyoto Sanga - Shimizu S-Pulse?
Users Predictions:
Kyoto Sanga will win
(18 of 18 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Kyoto Sanga will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: ) and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kyoto won 3.
- Kyoto has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Shimizu has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Shimizu may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Kyoto might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Kyoto: Joao Pedro
(Forearm injury)
Rafael Elias
(Yellow Cards)
Yonemoto T.
(Foot Injury)
- There will not play in Shimizu: Takahashi Y.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Kyoto won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.3:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Kyoto won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1.7:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Kyoto Sanga won against Shimizu S-Pulse?
Kyoto Sanga has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Shimizu S-Pulse won against Kyoto Sanga?
Shimizu S-Pulse has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kyoto Sanga - Shimizu S-Pulse were as follows:
16.03.2025
Shimizu S-Pulse
-
Kyoto Sanga
1:2
10.07.2024
Kyoto Sanga
-
Shimizu S-Pulse
3:1
27.08.2022
Shimizu S-Pulse
-
Kyoto Sanga
1:0
Latest results of Kyoto Sanga
Latest results of Shimizu S-Pulse
Japan J1 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 35 | 20 | 7 | 8 | 53:29 | 24 | 67 |
| 2 | Kashiwa Reysol | 35 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 55:33 | 22 | 66 |
| 3 | Kyoto | 35 | 17 | 11 | 7 | 59:37 | 22 | 62 |
| 4 | Vissel Kobe | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 43:28 | 15 | 61 |
| 5 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 35 | 17 | 8 | 10 | 39:26 | 13 | 59 |
| 6 | Machida | 35 | 16 | 9 | 10 | 49:35 | 14 | 57 |
| 7 | Kawasaki Frontale | 35 | 15 | 11 | 9 | 65:50 | 15 | 56 |
| 8 | Urawa Reds | 35 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 40:36 | 4 | 53 |
| 9 | Gamba Osaka | 35 | 16 | 5 | 14 | 48:52 | -4 | 53 |
| 10 | Cerezo Osaka | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 54:50 | 4 | 49 |
| 11 | FC Tokyo | 35 | 12 | 9 | 14 | 39:47 | -8 | 45 |
| 12 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 35 | 11 | 11 | 13 | 39:44 | -5 | 44 |
| 13 | Verdy | 35 | 11 | 9 | 15 | 22:36 | -14 | 42 |
| 14 | Avispa Fukuoka | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 32:37 | -5 | 41 |
| 15 | Okayama | 35 | 11 | 8 | 16 | 31:40 | -9 | 41 |
| 16 | Nagoya Grampus | 35 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 42:52 | -10 | 40 |
| 17 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 39:44 | -5 | 37 |
| 18 | Yokohama FC | 35 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 23:41 | -18 | 32 |
| 19 | Shonan Bellmare | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 29:58 | -29 | 26 |
| 20 | Albirex Niigata | 34 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 30:56 | -26 | 22 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ J2 League
