Shimizu S-Pulse vs Tokyo Verdy – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
25/10/2025 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • J1 League - Round 35
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaK-Ball
japanJapanDAZN Japan

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.160.82
Ball Possession
41%59%
Total shots
611
Shots on target
13
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
511
Passes
76% (301/396)83% (459/552)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
0.160.82
xG on target (xGOT)
0.170.45
Total shots
611
Shots on target
13
Shots off target
54
Blocked Shots
04
Shots inside the Box
48
Shots outside the Box
23
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
511
Touches in opposition box
829
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
157
Passes
76% (301/396)83% (459/552)
Long passes
28% (19/67)47% (21/45)
Passes in final third
60% (59/99)72% (124/173)
Crosses
25% (4/16)27% (8/30)
Expected assists (xA)
0.400.76
Throw-ins
2019
Fouls
715
Tackles
69% (11/16)69% (11/16)
Duels won
5338
Clearances
2921
Interceptions
1410
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
31
xGOT faced
0.450.17
Goals prevented
0.450.17

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 4', Saito K. 🟨,
  • 18', 1 - 0, Hayashi N. (Own goal),
  • 39', Morita K. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 56', Yoshida Y. 🟨,
  • 60', Arai Y. , Matsuhashi Y. ,
  • 67', Matsuzaki K. , Inui T. ,
  • 67', Capixaba , Kitazume K. ,
  • 68', Matheus Bueno 🟨,
  • 72', Saito K. , Hirakawa R. ,
  • 72', Fukuda Y. , Shirai R. ,
  • 73', Yoshida Y. , Takagi S. ,
  • 73', Kitagawa K. , Yajima S. ,
  • 79', Miyahara K. , Toyama S. ,
  • 79', Uchida Y. , Yoshida T. ,
  • 90', Uno Z. , Shimamoto Y. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Shimizu S-Pulse
37.6%
Draw
31%
Tokyo Verdy
31.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.7% 32.2% 32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.4% 33.8% 30.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Shimizu S-Pulse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
  • Tokyo Verdy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shimizu S-Pulse than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tokyo Verdy than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
  • Shimizu S-Pulse - Tokyo Verdy Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.54
    (2.65)
    3.05
    (2.94)
    3.03
    (2.94)
    5.2%
    (5.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Shimizu S-Pulse - Tokyo Verdy?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Shimizu will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Tokyo Verdy will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 60%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29.6%90.4%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tokyo Verdy (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • DC - Shimizu (1.37) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Shimizu (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tokyo Verdy (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 14 and 12).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shimizu won 3.
    • Shimizu has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Tokyo Verdy is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Shimizu: Takahashi Y. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Tokyo Verdy: Yamada G. (Knee Injury) Yamami H. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Shimizu won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 1:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Shimizu won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Shimizu S-Pulse - Tokyo Verdy were as follows:
    16.02.2025 Tokyo Verdy - Shimizu S-Pulse 0:1
    02.12.2023 Tokyo Verdy - Shimizu S-Pulse 1:1
    06.08.2023 Tokyo Verdy - Shimizu S-Pulse 0:1
    08.04.2023 Shimizu S-Pulse - Tokyo Verdy 2:1
    Latest results of Shimizu S-Pulse
    Latest results of Tokyo Verdy
    Japan J1 League Table
    2026

    East
    PlWWLLPts
    1Kashima Antlers141012123:1034
    2FC Tokyo14832129:1332
    3Machida13542221:2025
    4Verdy13630420:1624
    5Kawasaki Frontale14521620:2520
    6Urawa Reds14503620:1918
    7Mito14244421:2818
    8Yokohama F. Marinos14501821:2616
    9Kashiwa Reysol143101016:2111
    10Chiba14203913:269


    West
    PlWWLLPts
    1Vissel Kobe13713223:1826
    2Gamba Osaka15453328:2125
    3Nagoya Grampus14623325:2025
    4Cerezo Osaka14441517:1421
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima14521621:1920
    6Shimizu S-Pulse14424418:1920
    7Okayama14424418:2420
    8Kyoto13431520:1819
    9Avispa Fukuoka15333618:2718
    10V-Varen Nagasaki14501814:2216

          Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )
          Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
          Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
          Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
          Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)