Shinnik vs Fakel – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
11/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • FNL - Round 14
  • Referee: Kaplenkov I. (Rus)

Match Stats

Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
28
Shots on target
05
Corner Kicks
43
Yellow Cards
10
Total shots
28
Shots on target
05
Shots off target
23
Corner Kicks
43
Free Kicks
715

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 18', Stefanovich I. 🟨,
  • 31', Bagamaev A. , Simonov K. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 58', 0 - 1, Giorgobiani N. ,
  • 58', Stefanovich I. , Gongapshev A. ,
  • 69', Kul R. , Nafikov V. ,
  • 69', Malyarov K. , Malakhov A. ,
  • 71', Pusi B. , Uridia M. ,
  • 79', Gongadze G. , Turishchev M. ,
  • 79', Alshin I. , Magomedov B. ,
  • 79', Samoilov D. , Mironov D. ,
  • 81', Golubev A. , Porokhov I. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Shinnik
25.7%
Draw
32.2%
Fakel
42.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
26.9% 31.9% 41.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.4% 31.3% 42%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Shinnik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • Fakel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shinnik than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fakel than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
  • Shinnik - Fakel Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.72
    (3.53)
    2.98
    (2.98)
    2.28
    (2.31)
    4.5%
    (5.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Shinnik - Fakel?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shinnik won 2.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Recently, Shinnik has had a series of away games.
    • Fakel will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Shinnik won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 9:18. (average 0.8:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Shinnik won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.4:1.4).
    Latest results of Shinnik
    05.10.2025 SKA Khabarovsk - Shinnik 3:1
    28.09.2025 Shinnik - Rotor 2:0
    24.09.2025 Cherepovets - Shinnik 1:4
    20.09.2025 KAMAZ - Shinnik 0:0
    14.09.2025 Sokol Saratov - Shinnik 0:0
    Latest results of Fakel
    Russian FNL Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Fakel Voronezh27185434:132159
    2Rodina Moscow271410345:232252
    3Ural28147741:271449
    4R. Volgograd28129736:221445
    5S. Kostroma281111640:33744
    6Kamaz28913641:281340
    7Chelyabinsk28912737:31639
    8Yenisey28910927:32-537
    9Neftekhimik28812831:32-136
    10Arsenal Tula28812838:34436
    11Shinnik Yaroslavl28812823:23036
    12Torpedo Moscow28981129:34-535
    13SKA Khabarovsk28811931:37-635
    14Ulyanovsk28871331:41-1031
    15Chernomorets Novorossijsk28781332:39-729
    16Ufa286101229:35-628
    17FK Chayka28471726:63-3719
    18Saratov282101612:36-2416

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