Shinnik vs Fakel – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Russian FNL Shinnik - Fakel
Result
0:1
11/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • FNL - Round 14
  • Referee: Kaplenkov I. (Rus)

Match Stats

Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
28
Shots on target
05
Corner Kicks
43
Yellow Cards
10
Total shots
28
Shots on target
05
Shots off target
23
Corner Kicks
43
Free Kicks
715

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 18', Stefanovich I. 🟨,
  • 31', Bagamaev A. , Simonov K. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 58', 0 - 1, Giorgobiani N. ,
  • 58', Stefanovich I. , Gongapshev A. ,
  • 69', Kul R. , Nafikov V. ,
  • 69', Malyarov K. , Malakhov A. ,
  • 71', Pusi B. , Uridia M. ,
  • 79', Gongadze G. , Turishchev M. ,
  • 79', Alshin I. , Magomedov B. ,
  • 79', Samoilov D. , Mironov D. ,
  • 81', Golubev A. , Porokhov I. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Shinnik
25.7%
Draw
32.2%
Fakel
42.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
26.9% 31.9% 41.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.4% 31.3% 42%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Shinnik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • Fakel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shinnik than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fakel than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
  • Shinnik - Fakel Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.72
    (3.53)
    2.98
    (2.98)
    2.28
    (2.31)
    4.5%
    (5.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shinnik won 2.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Recently, Shinnik has had a series of away games.
    • Fakel will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Shinnik won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 9:18. (average 0.8:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Shinnik won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.4:1.4).
    Latest results of Shinnik
    05.10.2025 SKA Khabarovsk - Shinnik 3:1
    28.09.2025 Shinnik - Rotor 2:0
    24.09.2025 Cherepovets - Shinnik 1:4
    20.09.2025 KAMAZ - Shinnik 0:0
    14.09.2025 Sokol Saratov - Shinnik 0:0
    Latest results of Fakel
    Russian FNL Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Fakel Voronezh16103317:9833
    2Ural1593324:16830
    3S. Kostroma1686224:16830
    4Rodina Moscow1676323:14927
    5R. Volgograd1675420:11926
    6Kamaz1675428:171126
    7Chelyabinsk1567220:12825
    8SKA Khabarovsk1665516:16023
    9Neftekhimik1647518:20-219
    10Shinnik Yaroslavl1647512:13-119
    11Yenisey1645712:21-917
    12Arsenal Tula1638523:22117
    13Chernomorets Novorossijsk1645719:20-117
    14Ufa1637618:20-216
    15Ulyanovsk1643917:28-1115
    16Saratov162869:16-714
    17Torpedo Moscow1635813:24-1114
    18FK Chayka1625914:32-1811

          Promotion ~ Premier League
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          Relegation