Shinnik vs Fakel – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
11/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • FNL - Round 14
  • Referee: Kaplenkov I. (Rus)

Match Stats

Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
28
Shots on target
05
Corner Kicks
43
Yellow Cards
10
Total shots
28
Shots on target
05
Shots off target
23
Corner Kicks
43
Free Kicks
715

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 18', Stefanovich I. 🟨,
  • 31', Bagamaev A. , Simonov K. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 58', 0 - 1, Giorgobiani N. ,
  • 58', Stefanovich I. , Gongapshev A. ,
  • 69', Kul R. , Nafikov V. ,
  • 69', Malyarov K. , Malakhov A. ,
  • 71', Pusi B. , Uridia M. ,
  • 79', Gongadze G. , Turishchev M. ,
  • 79', Alshin I. , Magomedov B. ,
  • 79', Samoilov D. , Mironov D. ,
  • 81', Golubev A. , Porokhov I. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Shinnik
25.7%
Draw
32.2%
Fakel
42.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
26.9% 31.9% 41.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.4% 31.3% 42%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Shinnik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • Fakel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shinnik than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fakel than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
  • Shinnik - Fakel Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.72
    (3.53)
    2.98
    (2.98)
    2.28
    (2.31)
    4.5%
    (5.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Shinnik - Fakel?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shinnik won 2.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Recently, Shinnik has had a series of away games.
    • Fakel will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Shinnik won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 9:18. (average 0.8:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Shinnik won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.4:1.4).
    Latest results of Shinnik
    05.10.2025 SKA Khabarovsk - Shinnik 3:1
    28.09.2025 Shinnik - Rotor 2:0
    24.09.2025 Cherepovets - Shinnik 1:4
    20.09.2025 KAMAZ - Shinnik 0:0
    14.09.2025 Sokol Saratov - Shinnik 0:0
    Latest results of Fakel
    Russian FNL Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Fakel Voronezh24164430:121852
    2Rodina Moscow251210339:211846
    3Ural25136635:241145
    4S. Kostroma25911536:30638
    5Kamaz25910641:281337
    6Chelyabinsk25910633:26737
    7R. Volgograd2599728:20836
    8Neftekhimik24810630:27334
    9SKA Khabarovsk2589827:30-333
    10Arsenal Tula25711733:30332
    11Shinnik Yaroslavl25710822:23-131
    12Yenisey25710821:29-831
    13Torpedo Moscow25861123:31-830
    14Chernomorets Novorossijsk25771129:32-328
    15Ulyanovsk25761229:39-1027
    16Ufa25681128:33-526
    17FK Chayka25371523:53-3016
    18Saratov252101310:29-1916

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