Albirex Niigata vs Shonan Bellmare – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Japan J1 League Albirex Niigata - Shonan Bellmare
Result
2:1
25/05/2025 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • J1 League - Round 18
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaQQ Sports
japanJapanDAZN Japan

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.760.43
Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
109
Shots on target
42
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
35
Passes
86% (430/501)86% (472/551)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.760.43
xG on target (xGOT)
1.690.24
Total shots
109
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
52
Blocked Shots
15
Shots inside the Box
75
Shots outside the Box
34
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
35
Touches in opposition box
1726
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
23
Free Kicks
66
Passes
86% (430/501)86% (472/551)
Long passes
48% (26/54)51% (19/37)
Passes in final third
62% (56/91)73% (122/166)
Crosses
30% (3/10)0% (0/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.800.65
Throw-ins
1811
Fouls
66
Tackles
67% (8/12)71% (10/14)
Duels won
3839
Clearances
3913
Interceptions
116
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
0.241.69
Goals prevented
-0.84-0.31

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 20', 0 - 1, Luiz Phellype , Hata T. (A),
  • 31', 1 - 1, Taniguchi K. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 57', Luiz Phellype , Oda Y. ,
  • 71', 2 - 1, Komi Y. , Taniguchi K. (A),
  • 80', Okumura J. , Danilo Gomes ,
  • 80', Hiraoka T. , Barada A. ,
  • 81', Okuno K. , Matsumura S. ,
  • 81', Hata T. , Ishibashi S. ,
  • 83', Taniguchi K. , Kasai K. ,
  • 89', Komi Y. , Yamura K. ,
  • 89', Horigome Y. , Hayakawa F. ,
  • 90+1', Ikeda M. , Nemoto R. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Albirex Niigata
40.6%
Draw
28.6%
Shonan Bellmare
30.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39% 29.2% 31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5% 28.8% 32.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Albirex Niigata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • Shonan Bellmare has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Albirex Niigata than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shonan Bellmare than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
  • Albirex Niigata - Shonan Bellmare Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.35
    (2.42)
    3.28
    (3.23)
    3.06
    (2.96)
    5.8%
    (6.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Albirex Niigata - Shonan Bellmare?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Niigata will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Shonan Bellmare will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Niigata (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League and 14).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Niigata won 1.
    • Niigata is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Shonan Bellmare has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Shonan Bellmare may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Niigata: Akiyama H. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Shonan Bellmare: Matsumoto K. (Knee Injury) Nagai T. (Calf Injury) Tamura S. (Thigh Injury) Ze Ricardo (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Niigata won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 20:14. (average 1.8:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Niigata won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 1.7:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Albirex Niigata - Shonan Bellmare were as follows:
    14.09.2024 Albirex Niigata - Shonan Bellmare 3:1
    19.05.2024 Shonan Bellmare - Albirex Niigata 2:1
    12.08.2023 Albirex Niigata - Shonan Bellmare 2:2
    03.06.2023 Shonan Bellmare - Albirex Niigata 2:2
    Latest results of Albirex Niigata
    Latest results of Shonan Bellmare
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vissel Kobe24144634:221246
    2Kashima Antlers24142836:241244
    3Kashiwa Reysol24128433:231044
    4Kyoto24126640:291142
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima24133829:181142
    6Machida24124834:25940
    7Kawasaki Frontale24108638:261238
    8Urawa Reds23107632:24837
    9Cerezo Osaka2497837:33434
    10Gamba Osaka241041029:31-234
    11Avispa Fukuoka2387821:23-231
    12Okayama24861020:22-230
    13Shimizu S-Pulse24861029:32-330
    14FC Tokyo24851127:34-729
    15Nagoya Grampus24771028:33-528
    16Verdy24771015:24-928
    17Shonan Bellmare24661220:37-1724
    18Yokohama F. Marinos24561323:32-921
    19Yokohama FC24541514:30-1619
    20Albirex Niigata24471324:41-1719

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League