Result
5:2
08/11/2025 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 36
- Where to Watch on TV:
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|---|
China | K-Ball |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.23 | 1.41 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 34% | 66% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (268/334) | 88% (587/664) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.23 | 1.41 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.11 | 1.29 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (268/334) | 88% (587/664) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 37% (16/43) | 48% (30/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (76/110) | 78% (107/137) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (3/17) | 33% (3/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.18 | 0.60 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 86% (12/14) | 67% (6/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 35 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.29 | 2.11 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.71 | -2.89 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 35', 1 - 0, Suzuki A. ⚽,
- 38', 2 - 0, Hiraoka T. ⚽, Nitta R. (A),
- 43', Shimamura T. ↓, Moraes ↑,
- 2nd Half (3 - 2)
- 48', Onose K. 🟨,
- 52', 3 - 0, Onose K. ⚽, Nitta R. (A),
- 57', Takagi Y. ↓, Arai T. ↑,
- 57', Okumura J. ↓, Wakatsuki Y. ↑,
- 57', Geria J. ↓, Hayakawa F. ↑,
- 63', Onose K. ↓, Ikeda M. ↑,
- 64', Nitta R. ↓, Luiz Phellype ↑,
- 70', 4 - 0, Suzuki A. ⚽, Nakano S. (A),
- 72', Barada A. ↓, Okuno K. ↑,
- 72', Hiraoka T. ↓, Ishii H. ↑,
- 73', 5 - 0, Okuno K. ⚽,
- 76', Moraes 🟨,
- 77', Taniguchi K. ↓, Ohara M. ↑,
- 79', Ota S. ↓, Fujii T. ↑,
- 85', 5 - 1, Hasegawa M. (Pen),
- 90+1', 5 - 2, Moraes ⚽, Fujiwara S. (A),
Chances of winning
Shonan Bellmare 32.9% | Draw 28.6% | Albirex Niigata 38.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Shonan Bellmare - Albirex Niigata Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.87 ↑ (2.82) |
3.31 ↓ (3.32) |
2.47 ↓ (2.49) |
5.5% (5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Shonan Bellmare - Albirex Niigata?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Shonan Bellmare will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Niigata will win (votes: 2 - 40%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Niigata (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League).
- Niigata is Relegated to J2 League
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shonan Bellmare won 1.
- Shonan Bellmare has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Niigata is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Shonan Bellmare: Kamifukumoto N.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Nagai T.
(Calf Injury)
- There will not play in Niigata: Danilo Gomes
(Knee Injury)
Hoshi Y.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Shonan Bellmare won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 15:22. (average 1.3:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Shonan Bellmare won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 1.2:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Shonan Bellmare won against Albirex Niigata?
Shonan Bellmare has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Albirex Niigata won against Shonan Bellmare?
Albirex Niigata has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Shonan Bellmare - Albirex Niigata were as follows:
25.05.2025
Albirex Niigata
-
Shonan Bellmare
2:1
14.09.2024
Albirex Niigata
-
Shonan Bellmare
3:1
19.05.2024
Shonan Bellmare
-
Albirex Niigata
2:1
12.08.2023
Albirex Niigata
-
Shonan Bellmare
2:2
03.06.2023
Shonan Bellmare
-
Albirex Niigata
2:2
Latest results of Shonan Bellmare
Latest results of Albirex Niigata
Japan J1 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 36 | 21 | 7 | 8 | 55:30 | 25 | 70 |
| 2 | Kashiwa Reysol | 36 | 19 | 12 | 5 | 56:33 | 23 | 69 |
| 3 | Kyoto | 35 | 17 | 11 | 7 | 59:37 | 22 | 62 |
| 4 | Vissel Kobe | 35 | 18 | 8 | 9 | 45:30 | 15 | 62 |
| 5 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 35 | 17 | 8 | 10 | 39:26 | 13 | 59 |
| 6 | Kawasaki Frontale | 36 | 15 | 12 | 9 | 66:51 | 15 | 57 |
| 7 | Machida | 35 | 16 | 9 | 10 | 49:35 | 14 | 57 |
| 8 | Urawa Reds | 35 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 40:36 | 4 | 53 |
| 9 | Gamba Osaka | 35 | 16 | 5 | 14 | 48:52 | -4 | 53 |
| 10 | Cerezo Osaka | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 54:50 | 4 | 49 |
| 11 | Avispa Fukuoka | 36 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 33:37 | -4 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tokyo | 35 | 12 | 9 | 14 | 39:47 | -8 | 45 |
| 13 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 35 | 11 | 11 | 13 | 39:44 | -5 | 44 |
| 14 | Verdy | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 22:36 | -14 | 43 |
| 15 | Okayama | 36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 32:41 | -9 | 42 |
| 16 | Nagoya Grampus | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 42:53 | -11 | 40 |
| 17 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 39:44 | -5 | 37 |
| 18 | Yokohama FC | 36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 24:43 | -19 | 32 |
| 19 | Shonan Bellmare | 36 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 34:61 | -27 | 29 |
| 20 | Albirex Niigata ✔ | 36 | 4 | 11 | 21 | 34:63 | -29 | 23 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ J2 League
Clinched Spots for Teams
Albirex Niigata is Relegated to J2 League