Albirex Niigata vs Shonan Bellmare – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

25/05/2025 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Denka Big Swan Stadium (Niigata).

J1 League - Round 18
Where to Watch on TV:


China	QQ Sports
Japan	DAZN Japan

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.76	0.43
Ball Possession
47%	53%
Total shots
10	9
Shots on target
4	2
Big Chances
3	0
Corner Kicks
3	5
Passes
86% (430/501)	86% (472/551)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.76	0.43
xG on target (xGOT)
1.69	0.24
Total shots
10	9
Shots on target
4	2
Shots off target
5	2
Blocked Shots
1	5
Shots inside the Box
7	5
Shots outside the Box
3	4
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
3	0
Corner Kicks
3	5
Touches in opposition box
17	26
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	3
Free Kicks
6	6
Passes
86% (430/501)	86% (472/551)
Long passes
48% (26/54)	51% (19/37)
Passes in final third
62% (56/91)	73% (122/166)
Crosses
30% (3/10)	0% (0/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.80	0.65
Throw-ins
18	11
Fouls
6	6
Tackles
67% (8/12)	71% (10/14)
Duels won
38	39
Clearances
39	13
Interceptions
11	6
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	2
xGOT faced
0.24	1.69
Goals prevented
-0.84	-0.31

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
20', 0 - 1, Luiz Phellype ⚽, Hata T. (A),
31', 1 - 1, Taniguchi K. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', Luiz Phellype ↓, Oda Y. ↑,
71', 2 - 1, Komi Y. ⚽, Taniguchi K. (A),
80', Okumura J. ↓, Danilo Gomes ↑,
80', Hiraoka T. ↓, Barada A. ↑,
81', Okuno K. ↓, Matsumura S. ↑,
81', Hata T. ↓, Ishibashi S. ↑,
83', Taniguchi K. ↓, Kasai K. ↑,
89', Komi Y. ↓, Yamura K. ↑,
89', Horigome Y. ↓, Hayakawa F. ↑,
90+1', Ikeda M. ↓, Nemoto R. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Albirex Niigata
40.6%

Draw
28.6%

Shonan Bellmare
30.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39%

29.2%

31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5%

28.8%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Albirex Niigata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Shonan Bellmare has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Albirex Niigata than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shonan Bellmare than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Albirex Niigata - Shonan Bellmare Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↓ (2.42)	3.28 ↑ (3.23)	3.06 ↑ (2.96)	5.8% (6.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Albirex Niigata - Shonan Bellmare?

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Niigata will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Shonan Bellmare will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Niigata (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League and 14).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Niigata won 1.
Niigata is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Shonan Bellmare has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Shonan Bellmare may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
There will not play in Niigata: Akiyama H. (Injury)
There will not play in Shonan Bellmare: Matsumoto K. (Knee Injury) Nagai T. (Calf Injury) Tamura S. (Thigh Injury) Ze Ricardo (Knee Injury)
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Niigata won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 20:14. (average 1.8:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Niigata won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 1.7:1.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Albirex Niigata won against Shonan Bellmare?

Albirex Niigata has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Shonan Bellmare won against Albirex Niigata?

Shonan Bellmare has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Albirex Niigata - Shonan Bellmare were as follows:

14.09.2024 Albirex Niigata - Shonan Bellmare 3:1

19.05.2024 Shonan Bellmare - Albirex Niigata 2:1

12.08.2023 Albirex Niigata - Shonan Bellmare 2:2

03.06.2023 Shonan Bellmare - Albirex Niigata 2:2

Latest results of Albirex Niigata

21.05.2025 Albirex Niigata - Tokyo Verdy 0:2 ✺

18.05.2025 Fagiano Okayama - Albirex Niigata 2:1 ✺

11.05.2025 Albirex Niigata - Urawa Red Diamonds 1:1 ✺

03.05.2025 Albirex Niigata - Tokyo 2:3 ✺

29.04.2025 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Albirex Niigata 0:1 ✺

Latest results of Shonan Bellmare

21.05.2025 Shonan Bellmare - Tokyo 1:0 ✺

17.05.2025 Shonan Bellmare - Yokohama FC 0:1 ✺

11.05.2025 Tokyo Verdy - Shonan Bellmare 0:2 ✺

07.05.2025 Shonan Bellmare - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0:1 ✺

03.05.2025 Gamba Osaka - Shonan Bellmare 4:0 ✺

Japan J1 League Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Kashima Antlers	32	20	4	8	52:28	24	64
2	Vissel Kobe	32	18	6	8	43:27	16	60
3	Kyoto	32	17	8	7	56:34	22	59
4	Kashiwa Reysol	32	15	12	5	47:33	14	57
5	Machida	32	16	7	9	48:33	15	55
6	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	32	16	7	9	37:22	15	55
7	Kawasaki Frontale	32	14	10	8	59:44	15	52
8	Urawa Reds	32	13	10	9	39:32	7	49
9	Gamba Osaka	32	15	4	13	46:47	-1	49
10	Cerezo Osaka	32	11	10	11	49:47	2	43
11	Shimizu S-Pulse	32	10	10	12	34:38	-4	40
12	Okayama	32	11	7	14	28:34	-6	40
13	FC Tokyo	32	11	7	14	35:45	-10	40
14	Avispa Fukuoka	32	9	10	13	31:37	-6	37
15	Nagoya Grampus	32	9	9	14	38:47	-9	36
16	Verdy	32	9	9	14	20:35	-15	36
17	Yokohama F. Marinos	32	8	7	17	32:43	-11	31
18	Yokohama FC	32	8	7	17	21:36	-15	31
19	Shonan Bellmare	32	6	7	19	28:56	-28	25
20	Albirex Niigata	32	4	9	19	29:54	-25	21

      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
      Relegation ~ J2 League