Fagiano Okayama vs Shonan Bellmare – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
23/08/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • J1 League - Round 27
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaK-Ball
japanJapanDAZN Japan

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.870.33
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
146
Shots on target
21
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
74
Passes
73% (239/329)71% (236/332)
Yellow Cards
24
Expected Goals (xG)
0.870.33
xG on target (xGOT)
0.460.04
Total shots
146
Shots on target
21
Shots off target
53
Blocked Shots
72
Shots inside the Box
93
Shots outside the Box
53
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
74
Touches in opposition box
3121
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
914
Passes
73% (239/329)71% (236/332)
Long passes
31% (17/54)27% (15/56)
Passes in final third
59% (72/122)55% (54/98)
Crosses
16% (4/25)38% (3/8)
Expected assists (xA)
0.680.38
Throw-ins
2924
Fouls
1410
Tackles
44% (4/9)50% (9/18)
Duels won
5255
Clearances
2745
Interceptions
610
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
11
xGOT faced
0.040.46
Goals prevented
0.04-0.54

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 21', Ono K. 🟨,
  • 32', Miyamoto E. 🟨,
  • 41', Suzuki Y. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Iwabuchi H. , Lucao ,
  • 46', Hiraoka T. , Barada A. ,
  • 46', Okuno K. , Okuno H. ,
  • 55', Miyamoto E. , Kamiya Yuta ,
  • 56', Matsumoto M. , Yanagi T. ,
  • 65', Ichimi K. , Kimura T. ,
  • 65', 1 - 0, Sato R. , Esaka A. (A),
  • 71', Oda Y. , Ishii H. ,
  • 75', Esaka A. , Kato H. ,
  • 78', Onose K. , Luiz Phellype ,
  • 81', Matsumura S. , Ishibashi S. ,
  • 82', Tachi K. 🟨,
  • 84', Suzuki A. 🟨,
  • 87', Luiz Phellype 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Fagiano Okayama
47%
Draw
27.5%
Shonan Bellmare
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.1% 26.3% 26.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fagiano Okayama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • Shonan Bellmare has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • Fagiano Okayama - Shonan Bellmare Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.02
    (1.96)
    3.42
    (3.51)
    3.66
    (3.46)
    6.1%
    (8.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Fagiano Okayama - Shonan Bellmare?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Fagiano Okayama will win (14 of 17 users predict this - 82.35%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 64.23%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Fagiano Okayama will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 10 and 17).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Okayama won 0.
    • Okayama has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Shonan Bellmare's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Okayama will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Shonan Bellmare: Kamifukumoto N. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Nagai T. (Calf Injury) Takahashi N. (Shoulder Injury) Tamura S. (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in Okayama: Motoyama H. (Inactive) Tatsuta Y. (Injury)
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Okayama won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:8. (average 0.3:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Okayama won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Fagiano Okayama - Shonan Bellmare were as follows:
    01.06.2025 Shonan Bellmare - Fagiano Okayama 1:1
    12.07.2023 Shonan Bellmare - Fagiano Okayama 2:0
    Latest results of Fagiano Okayama
    Latest results of Shonan Bellmare
    Japan J1 League Table
    2026

    East
    PlWWLLPts
    1Kashima Antlers7601013:419
    2FC Tokyo7330113:715
    3Machida6311111:1112
    4Urawa Reds7302210:811
    5Verdy7310311:1111
    6Kawasaki Frontale6220212:810
    7Mito711329:148
    8Yokohama F. Marinos720057:126
    9Kashiwa Reysol711059:135
    10Chiba710245:125


    West
    PlWWLLPts
    1Gamba Osaka7231112:1013
    2Vissel Kobe6311111:612
    3Kyoto7311210:812
    4Nagoya Grampus7311211:1012
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima6310211:711
    6Okayama721319:1011
    7Shimizu S-Pulse712318:910
    8Cerezo Osaka721137:79
    9V-Varen Nagasaki730049:119
    10Avispa Fukuoka701155:153

          Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )
          Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
          Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
          Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
          Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)