Result
1:1
01/06/2025 at 02:03 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 19
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.50 | 0.80 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (360/449) | 73% (271/372) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.50 | 0.80 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 0.56 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 26 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (360/449) | 73% (271/372) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (20/52) | 32% (19/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (92/131) | 63% (86/137) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 7% (1/15) | 21% (4/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.24 | 0.74 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 61% (11/18) | 88% (14/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 56 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.56 | 0.82 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.44 | -0.18 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 33', Luiz Phellype 🟨,
- 37', 0 - 1, Sato R. ⚽, Tabei R. (A),
- 45+2', Okuno K. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Okuno K. ↓, Barada A. ↑,
- 61', Hiraoka T. ↓, Okuno H. ↑,
- 64', Ichimi K. ↓, Lucao ↑,
- 66', 1 - 1, Luiz Phellype ⚽, Hata T. (A),
- 74', Kimura T. ↓, Yanagi T. ↑,
- 74', Kato H. ↓, Matsumoto M. ↑,
- 80', Tachi K. 🟨,
- 81', Luiz Phellype ↓, Oda Y. ↑,
- 87', Tabei R. ↓, Kamiya Yuta ↑,
- 87', Esaka A. ↓, Browne N. ↑,
Chances of winning
Shonan Bellmare
37.3% | Draw
30.4% | Fagiano Okayama
32.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Shonan Bellmare has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)Fagiano Okayama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shonan Bellmare than the current prediction. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fagiano Okayama than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
Shonan Bellmare - Fagiano Okayama Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.51 ↑
(2.38) |
3.1 ↑
(2.88) |
2.92 ↓
(3) |
6.4%
(10.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Shonan Bellmare - Fagiano Okayama?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Shonan Bellmare will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Okayama will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shonan Bellmare: 11.9% – 76.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 and 13).
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Shonan Bellmare: Matsumoto K.
(Knee Injury)
Nagai T.
(Calf Injury)
Tamura S.
(Thigh Injury)
Ze Ricardo
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shonan Bellmare won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:1. (average 1.4:0.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Shonan Bellmare won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 1.7:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Shonan Bellmare won against Fagiano Okayama?
Shonan Bellmare has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fagiano Okayama won against Shonan Bellmare?
Fagiano Okayama has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Shonan Bellmare - Fagiano Okayama were as follows:
12.07.2023
Shonan Bellmare
-
Fagiano Okayama
2:0
Latest results of Shonan Bellmare
Latest results of Fagiano Okayama
Japan J1 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 34:22 | 12 | 46 |
| 2 | Kashima Antlers | 24 | 14 | 2 | 8 | 36:24 | 12 | 44 |
| 3 | Kashiwa Reysol | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 33:23 | 10 | 44 |
| 4 | Kyoto | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 40:29 | 11 | 42 |
| 5 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 24 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 29:18 | 11 | 42 |
| 6 | Machida | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 34:25 | 9 | 40 |
| 7 | Kawasaki Frontale | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 38:26 | 12 | 38 |
| 8 | Urawa Reds | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 32:24 | 8 | 37 |
| 9 | Cerezo Osaka | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 37:33 | 4 | 34 |
| 10 | Gamba Osaka | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 29:31 | -2 | 34 |
| 11 | Avispa Fukuoka | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 21:23 | -2 | 31 |
| 12 | Okayama | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 20:22 | -2 | 30 |
| 13 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 29:32 | -3 | 30 |
| 14 | FC Tokyo | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 27:34 | -7 | 29 |
| 15 | Nagoya Grampus | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 28:33 | -5 | 28 |
| 16 | Verdy | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 15:24 | -9 | 28 |
| 17 | Shonan Bellmare | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 20:37 | -17 | 24 |
| 18 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 23:32 | -9 | 21 |
| 19 | Yokohama FC | 24 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 14:30 | -16 | 19 |
| 20 | Albirex Niigata | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 24:41 | -17 | 19 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ J2 League
