Result
1:4
05/04/2026 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 9
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Japan | AbemaTV, DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.87 | 2.23 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (210/306) | 72% (272/379) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.87 | 2.23 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 3.41 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (210/306) | 72% (272/379) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (30/71) | 39% (32/82) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 54% (56/103) | 59% (81/138) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (5/24) | 15% (3/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.01 | 0.61 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 23 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 54% (7/13) | 69% (11/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 58 | 66 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.41 | 0.89 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.41 | -0.11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 2', Goke Y. 🟨,
- 8', 0 - 1, Tagami D. (Own goal),
- 11', Kudo K. ↓, Abe K. ↑,
- 24', Matsumoto M. 🟨,
- 45', 0 - 2, Nagato K. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Osako Y. ↓, Uchino K. ↑,
- 46', Fujii K. ↓, Lucao ↑,
- 46', Matsumoto M. ↓, Shirai K. ↑,
- 62', 1 - 2, Kimura T. ⚽, Shirai K. (A),
- 64', Ichimi K. ↓, Kawano K. ↑,
- 65', 1 - 3, Ogihara T. (Penalty Awarded),
- 77', Kimura T. ↓, Kamiya Yuta ↑,
- 81', Diego ↓, Jean Patric ↑,
- 82', Nduka B. 🟨,
- 84', Lucao ↓, Werik Popo ↑,
- 88', 1 - 4, Goke Y. ⚽, Ideguchi Y. (A),
- 90+1', Goke Y. ↓, Yamauchi K. ↑,
- 90+2', Caetano ↓, Yamada K. ↑,
- 90+5', Mitsuta M. ↓, Iino N. ↑,
- 90+5', Sakai G. ↓, Hamasaki K. ↑,
Chances of winning
Fagiano Okayama
29.7% | Draw
31.4% | Vissel Kobe
38.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fagiano Okayama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)Vissel Kobe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vissel Kobe might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fagiano Okayama than the current prediction. (-4.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vissel Kobe than the current prediction. (+6.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vissel Kobe could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Fagiano Okayama - Vissel Kobe Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.18 ↓
(3.63) |
2.99 ↓
(3.22) |
2.42 ↑
(2.06) |
6.2%
(7.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Fagiano Okayama - Vissel Kobe?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Okayama will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Vissel Kobe will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 17th place) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )).
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Vissel Kobe may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Vissel Kobe is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Vissel Kobe: Arai S.
(Knee Injury)
Muto Y.
(Surgery)
Sasaki D.
(Injury)
Yamada K.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Vissel Kobe: Hirose R.
(Injury)
Komatsu R.
(Injury)
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Okayama won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).
- Including home match between the teams, Okayama won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Fagiano Okayama won against Vissel Kobe?
Fagiano Okayama has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vissel Kobe won against Fagiano Okayama?
Vissel Kobe has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fagiano Okayama - Vissel Kobe were as follows:
20.07.2025
Fagiano Okayama
-
Vissel Kobe
1:2
03.05.2025
Vissel Kobe
-
Fagiano Okayama
2:0
Latest results of Fagiano Okayama
Latest results of Vissel Kobe
Japan J1 League Table
2026East | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 13 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 21:9 | 32 |
| 2 | FC Tokyo | 13 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 27:13 | 29 |
| 3 | Machida | 12 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 20:18 | 24 |
| 4 | Verdy | 12 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 19:16 | 21 |
| 5 | Kawasaki Frontale | 13 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 20:23 | 20 |
| 6 | Mito | 13 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 19:27 | 16 |
| 7 | Urawa Reds | 13 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 18:19 | 15 |
| 8 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 13 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 20:24 | 15 |
| 9 | Kashiwa Reysol | 13 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 16:20 | 11 |
| 10 | Chiba | 13 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 13:24 | 9 |
West | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 12 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 23:13 | 26 |
| 2 | Nagoya Grampus | 13 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 23:19 | 22 |
| 3 | Gamba Osaka | 14 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 23:21 | 22 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 13 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 21:18 | 20 |
| 5 | Kyoto | 12 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 19:16 | 19 |
| 6 | Cerezo Osaka | 13 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 15:13 | 19 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 13 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 16:18 | 17 |
| 8 | Okayama | 13 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 17:24 | 17 |
| 9 | Avispa Fukuoka | 14 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 17:25 | 17 |
| 10 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 13 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 13:20 | 16 |
Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)
