Result
1:2
23/09/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 31
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.58 | 2.82 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (324/407) | 77% (264/342) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.58 | 2.82 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 2.05 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 12 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 35 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (324/407) | 77% (264/342) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 56% (33/59) | 24% (13/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (93/136) | 71% (85/119) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (6/22) | 29% (4/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 1.44 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 55% (11/20) | 62% (8/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.05 | 0.93 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.05 | -0.07 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 28', 0 - 1, Wakizaka Y. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 61', Erison (Pen),
- 62', Marcinho ↓, Miyagi T. ↑,
- 65', Okuno K. 🟨,
- 65', Nitta R. ↓, Luiz Phellype ↑,
- 69', Uremovic F. 🟨,
- 70', Erison 🟨,
- 71', van Wermeskerken S. 🟨,
- 74', Suzuki Y. ↓, Fujii T. ↑,
- 74', Okuno K. ↓, Barada A. ↑,
- 78', Erison ↓, Kobayashi Y. ↑,
- 78', Matsumoto H. 🟨,
- 80', 0 - 2, Ito T. ⚽,
- 82', 1 - 2, Tachi K. ⚽, Ikeda M. (A),
- 84', Nakano S. ↓, Ishibashi S. ↑,
- 84', Ikeda M. ↓, Hiraoka T. ↑,
- 90+1', van Wermeskerken S. ↓, Kamihashi R. ↑,
- 90+1', Yamamoto Y. ↓, Tachibanada K. ↑,
- 90+2', Ito T. ↓, Tanabe S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Shonan Bellmare
19.2% | Draw
22.4% | Kawasaki Frontale
58.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Shonan Bellmare has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Shonan Bellmare's form might have worsened.Kawasaki Frontale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kawasaki Frontale's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shonan Bellmare than the current prediction. (+4.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kawasaki Frontale than the current prediction. (-5.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kawasaki Frontale, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Shonan Bellmare - Kawasaki Frontale Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.9 ↑
(3.76) |
4.24 ↑
(3.79) |
1.63 ↓
(1.87) |
5.5%
(6.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Shonan Bellmare - Kawasaki Frontale?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Shonan Bellmare (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Kawasaki (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.75 - Kawasaki (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Kawasaki Frontale will win
(17 of 20 users predict this - 85%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.35% – 100%.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Shonan Bellmare (votes: 1 - 25%). Kawasaki (votes: 3 - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League and 7).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shonan Bellmare won 0.
- Recent form of Shonan Bellmare has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Kawasaki is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, Kawasaki is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Shonan Bellmare: Kamifukumoto N.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Nagai T.
(Calf Injury)
Tamura S.
(Thigh Injury)
- There will not play in Kawasaki: Jesiel
(Inactive)
Kurumaya S.
(Calf Injury)
Lee G.
(Knee Injury)
Maruyama Y.
(Knee Injury)
Oshima R.
(Calf Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Shonan Bellmare won 2 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 22:37. (average 1.1:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Shonan Bellmare won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 8:18. (average 0.9:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Shonan Bellmare won against Kawasaki Frontale?
Shonan Bellmare has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kawasaki Frontale won against Shonan Bellmare?
Kawasaki Frontale has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Shonan Bellmare - Kawasaki Frontale were as follows:
02.04.2025
Kawasaki Frontale
-
Shonan Bellmare
2:0
26.06.2024
Kawasaki Frontale
-
Shonan Bellmare
1:1
24.02.2024
Shonan Bellmare
-
Kawasaki Frontale
1:2
24.09.2023
Shonan Bellmare
-
Kawasaki Frontale
0:2
18.06.2023
Shonan Bellmare
-
Kawasaki Frontale
2:3
Latest results of Shonan Bellmare
Latest results of Kawasaki Frontale
Japan J1 League Table
2026East | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Verdy | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8:4 | 8 |
| 2 | FC Tokyo | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:3 | 7 |
| 3 | Urawa Reds | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | 7 |
| 4 | Kashima Antlers | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 7 |
| 5 | Machida | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8:7 | 6 |
| 6 | Kawasaki Frontale | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7:5 | 5 |
| 7 | Mito | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:7 | 3 |
| 8 | Chiba | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:5 | 2 |
| 9 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:6 | 0 |
| 10 | Kashiwa Reysol | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4:9 | 0 |
West | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7:3 | 8 |
| 2 | Kyoto | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:3 | 6 |
| 3 | Gamba Osaka | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 6 |
| 4 | Vissel Kobe | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 5 |
| 5 | Nagoya Grampus | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 5 |
| 6 | Cerezo Osaka | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 4 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | 4 |
| 8 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4:6 | 3 |
| 9 | Okayama | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:6 | 2 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | 2 |
Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)
