Result
1:2
23/09/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 31
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
China | K-Ball |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.58 | 2.82 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (324/407) | 77% (264/342) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.58 | 2.82 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 2.05 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 12 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 35 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (324/407) | 77% (264/342) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 56% (33/59) | 24% (13/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (93/136) | 71% (85/119) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (6/22) | 29% (4/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 1.44 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 55% (11/20) | 62% (8/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.05 | 0.93 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.05 | -0.07 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 28', 0 - 1, Wakizaka Y. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 61', Erison (Pen),
- 62', Marcinho ↓, Miyagi T. ↑,
- 65', Okuno K. 🟨,
- 65', Nitta R. ↓, Luiz Phellype ↑,
- 69', Uremovic F. 🟨,
- 70', Erison 🟨,
- 71', van Wermeskerken S. 🟨,
- 74', Suzuki Y. ↓, Fujii T. ↑,
- 74', Okuno K. ↓, Barada A. ↑,
- 78', Erison ↓, Kobayashi Y. ↑,
- 78', Matsumoto H. 🟨,
- 80', 0 - 2, Ito T. ⚽,
- 82', 1 - 2, Tachi K. ⚽, Ikeda M. (A),
- 84', Nakano S. ↓, Ishibashi S. ↑,
- 84', Ikeda M. ↓, Hiraoka T. ↑,
- 90+1', van Wermeskerken S. ↓, Kamihashi R. ↑,
- 90+1', Yamamoto Y. ↓, Tachibanada K. ↑,
- 90+2', Ito T. ↓, Tanabe S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Shonan Bellmare 19.2% | Draw 22.4% | Kawasaki Frontale 58.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Shonan Bellmare - Kawasaki Frontale Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
4.9 ↑ (3.76) |
4.24 ↑ (3.79) |
1.63 ↓ (1.87) |
5.5% (6.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Shonan Bellmare - Kawasaki Frontale?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Kawasaki (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Kawasaki Frontale will win
(17 of 20 users predict this - 85%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.35% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League and 7).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shonan Bellmare won 0.
- Recent form of Shonan Bellmare has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Kawasaki is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, Kawasaki is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Shonan Bellmare: Kamifukumoto N.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Nagai T.
(Calf Injury)
Tamura S.
(Thigh Injury)
- There will not play in Kawasaki: Jesiel
(Inactive)
Kurumaya S.
(Calf Injury)
Lee G.
(Knee Injury)
Maruyama Y.
(Knee Injury)
Oshima R.
(Calf Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Shonan Bellmare won 2 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 22:37. (average 1.1:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Shonan Bellmare won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 8:18. (average 0.9:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Shonan Bellmare won against Kawasaki Frontale?
Shonan Bellmare has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kawasaki Frontale won against Shonan Bellmare?
Kawasaki Frontale has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Shonan Bellmare - Kawasaki Frontale were as follows:
02.04.2025
Kawasaki Frontale
-
Shonan Bellmare
2:0
26.06.2024
Kawasaki Frontale
-
Shonan Bellmare
1:1
24.02.2024
Shonan Bellmare
-
Kawasaki Frontale
1:2
24.09.2023
Shonan Bellmare
-
Kawasaki Frontale
0:2
18.06.2023
Shonan Bellmare
-
Kawasaki Frontale
2:3
Latest results of Shonan Bellmare
Latest results of Kawasaki Frontale
Japan J1 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 36 | 21 | 7 | 8 | 55:30 | 25 | 70 |
| 2 | Kashiwa Reysol | 36 | 19 | 12 | 5 | 56:33 | 23 | 69 |
| 3 | Kyoto | 35 | 17 | 11 | 7 | 59:37 | 22 | 62 |
| 4 | Vissel Kobe | 35 | 18 | 8 | 9 | 45:30 | 15 | 62 |
| 5 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 35 | 17 | 8 | 10 | 39:26 | 13 | 59 |
| 6 | Kawasaki Frontale | 36 | 15 | 12 | 9 | 66:51 | 15 | 57 |
| 7 | Machida | 35 | 16 | 9 | 10 | 49:35 | 14 | 57 |
| 8 | Urawa Reds | 35 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 40:36 | 4 | 53 |
| 9 | Gamba Osaka | 35 | 16 | 5 | 14 | 48:52 | -4 | 53 |
| 10 | Cerezo Osaka | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 54:50 | 4 | 49 |
| 11 | Avispa Fukuoka | 36 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 33:37 | -4 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tokyo | 35 | 12 | 9 | 14 | 39:47 | -8 | 45 |
| 13 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 35 | 11 | 11 | 13 | 39:44 | -5 | 44 |
| 14 | Verdy | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 22:36 | -14 | 43 |
| 15 | Okayama | 36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 32:41 | -9 | 42 |
| 16 | Nagoya Grampus | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 42:53 | -11 | 40 |
| 17 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 39:44 | -5 | 37 |
| 18 | Yokohama FC | 36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 24:43 | -19 | 32 |
| 19 | Shonan Bellmare | 36 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 34:61 | -27 | 29 |
| 20 | Albirex Niigata ✔ | 36 | 4 | 11 | 21 | 34:63 | -29 | 23 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ J2 League
Clinched Spots for Teams
Albirex Niigata is Relegated to J2 League