Shonan Bellmare vs Kyoto Sanga – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

19/10/2025 at 02:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Lemon Gas Stadium (Hiratsuka).

J1 League - Round 34
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Sporty TV, StarTimes App
Brazil	Canal GOAT
China	K-Ball
India	FanCode, FanCode
Japan	DAZN Japan

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.61	2.19
Ball Possession
38%	62%
Total shots
10	18
Shots on target
4	6
Big Chances
1	5
Corner Kicks
3	9
Passes
57% (124/218)	67% (231/345)
Yellow Cards
3	1
Red Cards
0	1
Expected Goals (xG)
0.61	2.19
xG on target (xGOT)
0.48	2.47
Total shots
10	18
Shots on target
4	6
Shots off target
4	7
Blocked Shots
2	5
Shots inside the Box
6	13
Shots outside the Box
4	5
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
1	5
Corner Kicks
3	9
Touches in opposition box
23	32
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
0	1
Free Kicks
15	12
Passes
57% (124/218)	67% (231/345)
Long passes
33% (20/61)	32% (21/65)
Passes in final third
55% (52/95)	66% (86/131)
Crosses
56% (5/9)	18% (5/28)
Expected assists (xA)
1.11	1.18
Throw-ins
31	41
Fouls
12	15
Tackles
56% (9/16)	75% (9/12)
Duels won
50	53
Clearances
52	14
Interceptions
5	2
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	1
Goalkeeper Saves
5	3
xGOT faced
2.47	0.48
Goals prevented
1.47	-0.52

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
29', 1 - 0, Suzuki A. ⚽, Nakano S. (A),
38', Hara T. (Pen),
45+1', Suzuki Y. 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Matsuda T. ↓, Nakano R. ↑,
46', Takeda S. ↓, Sato K. ↑,
64', Marco Tulio ↓, Okugawa M. ↑,
64', Hirato T. ↓, Nagasawa S. ↑,
71', Onose K. ↓, Ikeda M. ↑,
75', Fukuda S. ↓, Yamada F. ↑,
79', Oda Y. 🟨,
82', Oda Y. ↓, Nitta R. ↑,
82', Suzuki A. ↓, Watanabe K. ↑,
90+2', Joao Pedro 🟨,
90+3', Suzuki A. 🟨,
90+4', Okuno H. ↓, Hiraoka T. ↑,
90+6', Ikeda M. 🟨,
90+10', 1 - 1, Sugai H. ⚽, Yamada F. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning

Shonan Bellmare
23.1%

Draw
24.8%

Kyoto Sanga
52.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.1%

24.7%

50.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25%

24.6%

50.4%

Shonan Bellmare - Kyoto Sanga Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.04 ↑ (3.84)	3.81 ↓ (3.91)	1.87 ↓ (1.92)	4.4% (3.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Shonan Bellmare - Kyoto Sanga?

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Shonan Bellmare will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Kyoto will win (votes: 9 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kyoto: 50.5% – 99.5%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Shonan Bellmare (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH +0.75 - Shonan Bellmare (1.71) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.

Preview Facts

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League and 4).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shonan Bellmare won 2.
Shonan Bellmare has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Kyoto has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, Kyoto is a strong favorite.
There will not play in Shonan Bellmare: Kamifukumoto N. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Nagai T. (Calf Injury) Tamura S. (Broken ankle)
There will not play in Kyoto: Yonemoto T. (Foot Injury)
There are questionable in Kyoto: Fukuoka S. (Injury)
We predict that Kyoto will win today's game, with odds of 1.87.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Shonan Bellmare won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 1:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Shonan Bellmare won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 1:0.8).

How many head-to-head matches has Shonan Bellmare won against Kyoto Sanga?

Shonan Bellmare has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Kyoto Sanga won against Shonan Bellmare?

Kyoto Sanga has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Shonan Bellmare - Kyoto Sanga were as follows:

12.04.2025 Kyoto Sanga - Shonan Bellmare 2:0

30.06.2024 Shonan Bellmare - Kyoto Sanga 0:1

02.03.2024 Kyoto Sanga - Shonan Bellmare 1:2

21.10.2023 Kyoto Sanga - Shonan Bellmare 0:1

12.03.2023 Shonan Bellmare - Kyoto Sanga 0:2

Latest results of Shonan Bellmare

03.10.2025 Shonan Bellmare - Tokyo Verdy 0:1 ✺

28.09.2025 Yokohama FC - Shonan Bellmare 1:0 ✺

23.09.2025 Shonan Bellmare - Kawasaki Frontale 1:2 ✺

20.09.2025 Nagoya Grampus - Shonan Bellmare 3:1 ✺

13.09.2025 Kashima Antlers - Shonan Bellmare 3:0 ✺

Latest results of Kyoto Sanga

04.10.2025 Kyoto Sanga - Kawasaki Frontale 1:1 ✺

28.09.2025 Cerezo Osaka - Kyoto Sanga 1:2 ✺

23.09.2025 Kyoto Sanga - Machida Zelvia 1:1 ✺

20.09.2025 Kyoto Sanga - Shimizu S-Pulse 0:1 ✺

12.09.2025 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Kyoto Sanga 1:1 ✺

Japan J1 League Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Kashima Antlers	38	23	7	8	58:31	27	76
2	Kashiwa Reysol	38	21	12	5	60:34	26	75
3	Kyoto	38	19	11	8	62:40	22	68
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	38	20	8	10	46:28	18	68
5	Vissel Kobe	38	18	10	10	46:33	13	64
6	Machida	38	17	9	12	52:38	14	60
7	Urawa Reds	38	16	11	11	45:39	6	59
8	Kawasaki Frontale	38	15	12	11	67:57	10	57
9	Gamba Osaka	38	17	6	15	53:55	-2	57
10	Cerezo Osaka	38	14	10	14	60:57	3	52
11	FC Tokyo	38	13	11	14	41:48	-7	50
12	Avispa Fukuoka	38	12	12	14	34:38	-4	48
13	Okayama	38	12	9	17	34:43	-9	45
14	Shimizu S-Pulse	38	11	11	16	41:51	-10	44
15	Yokohama F. Marinos	38	12	7	19	46:47	-1	43
16	Nagoya Grampus	38	11	10	17	44:56	-12	43
17	Verdy	38	11	10	17	23:41	-18	43
18	Yokohama FC	38	9	8	21	27:45	-18	35
19	Shonan Bellmare	38	8	8	22	36:63	-27	32
20	Albirex Niigata	38	4	12	22	36:67	-31	24

      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
      Relegation ~ J2 League