Kyoto Sanga vs Shonan Bellmare – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

12/04/2025 at 03:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Sanga Stadium by Kyocera (Kameoka).

J1 League - Round 10
Where to Watch on TV:


China	QQ Sports
Japan	DAZN Japan

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.59	0.90
Ball Possession
48%	52%
Total shots
16	12
Shots on target
7	4
Big Chances
4	2
Corner Kicks
4	4
Passes
73% (282/385)	78% (331/426)
Yellow Cards
1	0
Expected Goals (xG)
1.59	0.90
xG on target (xGOT)
1.90	0.45
Total shots
16	12
Shots on target
7	4
Shots off target
4	7
Blocked Shots
5	1
Shots inside the Box
12	9
Shots outside the Box
4	2
Hit the Woodwork
1	1
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
4	2
Corner Kicks
4	4
Touches in opposition box
37	18
Offsides
1	4
Free Kicks
9	13
Passes
73% (282/385)	78% (331/426)
Long passes
36% (22/61)	44% (31/71)
Passes in final third
67% (110/164)	63% (68/108)
Crosses
25% (6/24)	36% (4/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.47	0.76
Fouls
13	9
Tackles
55% (11/20)	79% (11/14)
Duels won
65	59
Clearances Total
19	40
Interceptions
13	7
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
4	5
xGOT faced
0.45	1.90
Goals prevented
0.45	-0.10

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
29', Rafael Elias 🟨,
40', 1 - 0, Kawasaki S. ⚽, Sugai H. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Fukuoka S. ↓, Yonemoto T. ↑,
59', Marco Tulio ↓, Okugawa M. ↑,
63', 2 - 0, Kawasaki S. ⚽, Hara T. (A),
66', Okuno K. ↓, Oda Y. ↑,
78', Hirato T. ↓, Matsuda T. ↑,
80', Fukuda S. ↓, Barada A. ↑,
80', Okuno H. ↓, Ikeda M. ↑,
86', Suzuki A. ↓, Luiz Phellype ↑,
87', Sato K. ↓, Fukuda S. ↑,
87', Rafael Elias ↓, Patrick William ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Kyoto Sanga
39.5%

Draw
29.2%

Shonan Bellmare
31.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.3%

26.2%

31.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

25.5%

30.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kyoto Sanga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Shonan Bellmare has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kyoto Sanga than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shonan Bellmare than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Kyoto Sanga - Shonan Bellmare Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↑ (2.2)	3.22 ↓ (3.55)	2.97 ↑ (2.95)	7% (7.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Kyoto Sanga - Shonan Bellmare?

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Kyoto will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Shonan Bellmare will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kyoto: 25.1% – 83.9%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Kyoto (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

You will have a great opportunity to watch a game between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 7 and 9).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Kyoto won 2.
Kyoto in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Recent matches Shonan Bellmare is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recently Shonan Bellmare have a series of guest games.
The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
There will not play in Kyoto: Joao Pedro (Yellow Cards)
There will not play in Shonan Bellmare: Hiraoka T. (Hamstring Injury) Ishibashi S. (Ankle Injury) Matsumoto K. (Knee Injury) Nagai T. (Calf Injury) Tamura S. (Thigh Injury) Ze Ricardo (Knee Injury)
Last 10 head-to-head matches Kyoto won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 7:11 (average 0.7:1.1).
Including matches at home between the teams Kyoto won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3:6 (average 0.6:1.2).

How many head-to-head matches has Kyoto Sanga won against Shonan Bellmare?

Kyoto Sanga has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Shonan Bellmare won against Kyoto Sanga?

Shonan Bellmare has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Kyoto Sanga - Shonan Bellmare were as follows:

30.06.2024 Shonan Bellmare - Kyoto Sanga 0:1

02.03.2024 Kyoto Sanga - Shonan Bellmare 1:2

21.10.2023 Kyoto Sanga - Shonan Bellmare 0:1

12.03.2023 Shonan Bellmare - Kyoto Sanga 0:2

Latest results of Kyoto Sanga

09.04.2025 Montedio Yamagata - Kyoto Sanga 0:1 ✺

06.04.2025 Kashima Antlers - Kyoto Sanga 3:4 ✺

02.04.2025 Kyoto Sanga - Kashiwa Reysol 1:1 ✺

29.03.2025 Kyoto Sanga - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1:0 ✺

20.03.2025 Gainare Tottori - Kyoto Sanga 0:2 ✺

Latest results of Shonan Bellmare

09.04.2025 V-Varen Nagasaki - Shonan Bellmare 1:2 ✺

06.04.2025 Shonan Bellmare - Nagoya Grampus 2:1 ✺

02.04.2025 Kawasaki Frontale - Shonan Bellmare 2:0 ✺

29.03.2025 Shimizu S-Pulse - Shonan Bellmare 3:0 ✺

20.03.2025 Zweigen Kanazawa - Shonan Bellmare 0:1 ✺

Japan J1 League Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Kyoto	27	15	6	6	47:30	17	51
2	Kashima Antlers	27	16	3	8	40:26	14	51
3	Machida	28	15	5	8	42:26	16	50
4	Kashiwa Reysol	27	14	8	5	40:27	13	50
5	Vissel Kobe	28	15	5	8	36:26	10	50
6	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	28	15	4	9	33:19	14	49
7	Urawa Reds	27	12	8	7	38:30	8	44
8	Kawasaki Frontale	27	11	9	7	45:35	10	42
9	Okayama	27	11	6	10	26:23	3	39
10	Cerezo Osaka	27	10	8	9	41:38	3	38
11	Avispa Fukuoka	27	9	10	8	27:26	1	37
12	Gamba Osaka	28	11	4	13	33:40	-7	37
13	Shimizu S-Pulse	27	8	8	11	30:35	-5	32
14	Verdy	27	8	7	12	16:28	-12	31
15	FC Tokyo	27	8	6	13	29:41	-12	30
16	Nagoya Grampus	27	7	7	13	33:41	-8	28
17	Yokohama F. Marinos	27	6	7	14	26:34	-8	25
18	Shonan Bellmare	27	6	7	14	22:42	-20	25
19	Yokohama FC	27	6	4	17	18:35	-17	22
20	Albirex Niigata	27	4	8	15	27:47	-20	20

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      Relegation ~ J2 League