Result
1:1
19/10/2025 at 02:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 34
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | Sporty TV, StarTimes App |
 Brazil | Canal GOAT |
 China | K-Ball |
 India | FanCode, FanCode |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.61 | 2.19 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 38% | 62% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 57% (124/218) | 67% (231/345) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.61 | 2.19 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.48 | 2.47 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 13 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 32 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 57% (124/218) | 67% (231/345) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 33% (20/61) | 32% (21/65) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 55% (52/95) | 66% (86/131) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 56% (5/9) | 18% (5/28) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.11 | 1.18 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 31 | 41 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (9/16) | 75% (9/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 52 | 14 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.47 | 0.48 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.47 | -0.52 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 29', 1 - 0, Suzuki A. ⚽, Nakano S. (A),
- 38', Hara T. (Pen),
- 45+1', Suzuki Y. 🟥,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Matsuda T. ↓, Nakano R. ↑,
- 46', Takeda S. ↓, Sato K. ↑,
- 64', Marco Tulio ↓, Okugawa M. ↑,
- 64', Hirato T. ↓, Nagasawa S. ↑,
- 71', Onose K. ↓, Ikeda M. ↑,
- 75', Fukuda S. ↓, Yamada F. ↑,
- 79', Oda Y. 🟨,
- 82', Oda Y. ↓, Nitta R. ↑,
- 82', Suzuki A. ↓, Watanabe K. ↑,
- 90+2', Joao Pedro 🟨,
- 90+3', Suzuki A. 🟨,
- 90+4', Okuno H. ↓, Hiraoka T. ↑,
- 90+6', Ikeda M. 🟨,
- 90+10', 1 - 1, Sugai H. ⚽, Yamada F. (A),
Chances of winning
Shonan Bellmare
23.1% | Draw
24.8% | Kyoto Sanga
52.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Shonan Bellmare has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)Kyoto Sanga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shonan Bellmare than the current prediction. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kyoto Sanga than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
Shonan Bellmare - Kyoto Sanga Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.04 ↑
(3.84) |
3.81 ↓
(3.91) |
1.87 ↓
(1.92) |
4.4%
(3.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Shonan Bellmare - Kyoto Sanga?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Shonan Bellmare will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Kyoto will win (votes: 9 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kyoto: 50.5% – 99.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Shonan Bellmare (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +0.75 - Shonan Bellmare (votes: 3 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League and 4).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shonan Bellmare won 2.
- Shonan Bellmare has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Kyoto has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Kyoto is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Shonan Bellmare: Kamifukumoto N.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Nagai T.
(Calf Injury)
Tamura S.
(Broken ankle)
- There will not play in Kyoto: Yonemoto T.
(Foot Injury)
- There are questionable in Kyoto: Fukuoka S.
(Injury)
- We predict that Kyoto will win today's game, with odds of 1.87.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Shonan Bellmare won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 1:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Shonan Bellmare won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 1:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Shonan Bellmare won against Kyoto Sanga?
Shonan Bellmare has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kyoto Sanga won against Shonan Bellmare?
Kyoto Sanga has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Shonan Bellmare - Kyoto Sanga were as follows:
12.04.2025
Kyoto Sanga
-
Shonan Bellmare
2:0
30.06.2024
Shonan Bellmare
-
Kyoto Sanga
0:1
02.03.2024
Kyoto Sanga
-
Shonan Bellmare
1:2
21.10.2023
Kyoto Sanga
-
Shonan Bellmare
0:1
12.03.2023
Shonan Bellmare
-
Kyoto Sanga
0:2
Latest results of Shonan Bellmare
Latest results of Kyoto Sanga
Japan J1 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 35 | 20 | 7 | 8 | 53:29 | 24 | 67 |
| 2 | Kashiwa Reysol | 35 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 55:33 | 22 | 66 |
| 3 | Kyoto | 35 | 17 | 11 | 7 | 59:37 | 22 | 62 |
| 4 | Vissel Kobe | 35 | 18 | 8 | 9 | 45:30 | 15 | 62 |
| 5 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 35 | 17 | 8 | 10 | 39:26 | 13 | 59 |
| 6 | Machida | 35 | 16 | 9 | 10 | 49:35 | 14 | 57 |
| 7 | Kawasaki Frontale | 35 | 15 | 11 | 9 | 65:50 | 15 | 56 |
| 8 | Urawa Reds | 35 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 40:36 | 4 | 53 |
| 9 | Gamba Osaka | 35 | 16 | 5 | 14 | 48:52 | -4 | 53 |
| 10 | Cerezo Osaka | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 54:50 | 4 | 49 |
| 11 | FC Tokyo | 35 | 12 | 9 | 14 | 39:47 | -8 | 45 |
| 12 | Avispa Fukuoka | 35 | 11 | 11 | 13 | 33:37 | -4 | 44 |
| 13 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 35 | 11 | 11 | 13 | 39:44 | -5 | 44 |
| 14 | Verdy | 35 | 11 | 9 | 15 | 22:36 | -14 | 42 |
| 15 | Okayama | 35 | 11 | 8 | 16 | 31:40 | -9 | 41 |
| 16 | Nagoya Grampus | 35 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 42:52 | -10 | 40 |
| 17 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 39:44 | -5 | 37 |
| 18 | Yokohama FC | 35 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 23:41 | -18 | 32 |
| 19 | Shonan Bellmare | 35 | 6 | 8 | 21 | 29:59 | -30 | 26 |
| 20 | Albirex Niigata ✔ | 35 | 4 | 11 | 20 | 32:58 | -26 | 23 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ J2 League
Clinched Spots for Teams
Albirex Niigata is Relegated to J2 League
