SKA Khabarovsk vs Fakel – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
26/10/2025 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • FNL - Round 16
  • Referee: Novikov N. (Rus)

Match Stats

Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
67
Shots on target
23
Corner Kicks
06
Yellow Cards
31
Total shots
67
Shots on target
23
Shots off target
44
Corner Kicks
06
Free Kicks
2123

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 4', Bagiev S. 🟨,
  • 29', 1 - 0, Bragin V. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Bagatelia L. , Simonov K. ,
  • 47', Magkeev S. 🟨,
  • 70', Bragin V. 🟨,
  • 75', Bragin V. , Alcalde J. ,
  • 76', Motpan N. , Uridia M. ,
  • 90+2', Pusi B. , Gabaraev A. ,
  • 90+2', Alshin I. , Kovalev A. ,
  • 90+3', Tur J. A. , Emeljanov R. ,
  • 90+4', Masternoy V. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


SKA Khabarovsk
27.7%
Draw
31.1%
Fakel
41.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.1% 32.4% 38.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.5% 32.8% 38%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • SKA Khabarovsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • Fakel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for SKA Khabarovsk than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fakel than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
  • SKA Khabarovsk - Fakel Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.4
    (3.26)
    3.02
    (2.93)
    2.28
    (2.47)
    6.5%
    (5.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, SKA Khabarovsk won 4.
    • SKA Khabarovsk has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Fakel is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Fakel may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Fakel has had a series of home games.
    • Fakel could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, SKA Khabarovsk won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:8. (average 1.2:0.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, SKA Khabarovsk won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:4. (average 1.1:0.6).
    Latest results of SKA Khabarovsk
    Latest results of Fakel
    20.10.2025 Fakel - Rotor 4:0
    16.10.2025 Fakel - Ural 1:0
    11.10.2025 Shinnik - Fakel 0:1
    04.10.2025 Fakel - Volga Ulyanovsk 2:1
    Russian FNL Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Fakel Voronezh24164430:121852
    2Rodina Moscow251210339:211846
    3Ural25136635:241145
    4S. Kostroma25911536:30638
    5Kamaz25910641:281337
    6Chelyabinsk25910633:26737
    7R. Volgograd2599728:20836
    8Neftekhimik24810630:27334
    9SKA Khabarovsk2589827:30-333
    10Arsenal Tula25711733:30332
    11Shinnik Yaroslavl25710822:23-131
    12Yenisey25710821:29-831
    13Torpedo Moscow25861123:31-830
    14Chernomorets Novorossijsk25771129:32-328
    15Ulyanovsk25761229:39-1027
    16Ufa25681128:33-526
    17FK Chayka25371523:53-3016
    18Saratov252101310:29-1916

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