SKA Khabarovsk vs Fakel – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
26/10/2025 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • FNL - Round 16
  • Referee: Novikov N. (Rus)

Match Stats

Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
67
Shots on target
23
Corner Kicks
06
Yellow Cards
31
Total shots
67
Shots on target
23
Shots off target
44
Corner Kicks
06
Free Kicks
2123

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 4', Bagiev S. 🟨,
  • 29', 1 - 0, Bragin V. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Bagatelia L. , Simonov K. ,
  • 47', Magkeev S. 🟨,
  • 70', Bragin V. 🟨,
  • 75', Bragin V. , Alcalde J. ,
  • 76', Motpan N. , Uridia M. ,
  • 90+2', Pusi B. , Gabaraev A. ,
  • 90+2', Alshin I. , Kovalev A. ,
  • 90+3', Tur J. A. , Emeljanov R. ,
  • 90+4', Masternoy V. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


SKA Khabarovsk
27.7%
Draw
31.1%
Fakel
41.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.1% 32.4% 38.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.5% 32.8% 38%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • SKA Khabarovsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • Fakel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for SKA Khabarovsk than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fakel than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
  • SKA Khabarovsk - Fakel Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.4
    (3.26)
    3.02
    (2.93)
    2.28
    (2.47)
    6.5%
    (5.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, SKA Khabarovsk won 4.
    • SKA Khabarovsk has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Fakel is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Fakel may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Fakel has had a series of home games.
    • Fakel could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, SKA Khabarovsk won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:8. (average 1.2:0.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, SKA Khabarovsk won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:4. (average 1.1:0.6).
    Latest results of SKA Khabarovsk
    Latest results of Fakel
    20.10.2025 Fakel - Rotor 4:0
    16.10.2025 Fakel - Ural 1:0
    11.10.2025 Shinnik - Fakel 0:1
    04.10.2025 Fakel - Volga Ulyanovsk 2:1
    Russian FNL Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Fakel Voronezh22163330:111951
    2Ural22125530:191141
    3Rodina Moscow22109330:171339
    4S. Kostroma2298531:25635
    5Chelyabinsk2298528:20835
    6Kamaz2289537:251233
    7SKA Khabarovsk2288624:22232
    8R. Volgograd2287725:18731
    9Neftekhimik22710527:24331
    10Arsenal Tula22611530:26429
    11Shinnik Yaroslavl2268819:21-226
    12Yenisey2259815:26-1124
    13Torpedo Moscow22661019:29-1024
    14Chernomorets Novorossijsk22661025:29-424
    15Ulyanovsk22651125:35-1023
    16Ufa22481024:31-720
    17Saratov222101010:23-1316
    18FK Chayka22261419:47-2812

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