Result
1:0
16/03/2026 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier Division - Round 7
- Referee: Moran O. (Irl)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ireland | LOI TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.28 | 0.65 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (262/393) | 70% (303/432) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.28 | 0.65 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.76 | 0.84 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (262/393) | 70% (303/432) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 30% (32/106) | 42% (44/106) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 44% (53/120) | 54% (98/180) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 7% (1/15) | 25% (7/28) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.31 | 0.94 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 26 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (14/21) | 64% (7/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 50 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 18 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.84 | 0.76 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.84 | -0.24 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 45+7', O'Kane R. ↓, Meekison A. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Kavanagh C. ↓, Traore M. ↑,
- 51', McDaid D. ↓, Buckley K. ↑,
- 51', Wilson T. ↓, Mullen D. ↑,
- 59', Meekison A. 🟨,
- 62', McHugh C. ↓, Harkin C. ↑,
- 63', Arubi G. 🟨,
- 64', Arubi G. ↓, Groome H. ↑,
- 75', Buckley K. 🟨,
- 78', Harkin C. 🟨,
- 81', Fitzgerald W. 🟨,
- 82', 1 - 0, Horgan D. (Penalty Awarded),
- 83', Nolan A. ↓, Priosti G. ↑,
- 84', Dervin A. 🟥,
- 86', Groome H. ↓, Warren H. ↑,
Chances of winning
Dundalk
56% | Draw
24.6% | Sligo Rovers
19.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dundalk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)Sligo Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dundalk than the current prediction. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sligo Rovers than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
Dundalk - Sligo Rovers Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.68 ↑
(1.62) |
3.81 ↓
(4.12) |
4.81 ↓
(5.04) |
6.7%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Dundalk - Sligo Rovers?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Users Predictions:
Dundalk will win
(13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.47% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Dundalk will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 5 and 9 in the zone Premier Division (Relegation)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dundalk won 1.
- Recent performances by Dundalk have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Sligo Rovers is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Dundalk is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Dundalk: Gaxha L.
(Knee Injury)
Leonard V.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Sligo Rovers: Blaney S.
(Inactive)
Reynolds C.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Sligo Rovers: Hakiki J.
(Injury)
Stewart S.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Dundalk won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 21:28. (average 1.1:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Dundalk won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:17. (average 1.2:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Dundalk won against Sligo Rovers?
Dundalk has won 4 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sligo Rovers won against Dundalk?
Sligo Rovers has won 5 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Dundalk - Sligo Rovers were as follows:
18.07.2025
Dundalk
-
Sligo Rovers
0:2
21.09.2024
Sligo Rovers
-
Dundalk
2:1
13.06.2024
Dundalk
-
Sligo Rovers
1:0
19.04.2024
Sligo Rovers
-
Dundalk
1:1
04.03.2024
Dundalk
-
Sligo Rovers
0:5
Latest results of Dundalk
Latest results of Sligo Rovers
Irish Premier Division Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bohemians | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 11:3 | 8 | 18 |
| 2 | St. Patricks | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14:5 | 9 | 17 |
| 3 | Shamrock Rovers | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 12:6 | 6 | 15 |
| 4 | Shelbourne | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 11:9 | 2 | 13 |
| 5 | Dundalk | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 13:11 | 2 | 11 |
| 6 | Derry City | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11:11 | 0 | 9 |
| 7 | Drogheda | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 9 |
| 8 | Galway | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 8 |
| 9 | Sligo Rovers | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3:12 | -9 | 4 |
| 10 | Waterford | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6:19 | -13 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Premier Division (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Division 1
