Result
3:2
01/04/2023 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- FRANCE: LIGUE 2 - ROUND 29
- Referee: Thual O. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 France | Amazon Prime Video |
Chances of winning
Bastia
42.4% | Draw
29.8% | Sochaux
27.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bastia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bastia's performance.Sochaux has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sochaux might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bastia than the current prediction. (-6.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bastia that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sochaux than the current prediction. (+5.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sochaux could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Bastia - Sochaux Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.21 ↓
(2.59) |
3.12 ↑
(3.08) |
3.4 ↑
(2.78) |
6.8%
(7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Bastia - Sochaux?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Bastia will win (votes: 5 - 29.4%). Sochaux will win (votes: 2 - 11.8%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 58.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.4% – 82.2%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 5 and 3).
- Bastia has the most likely position - 5 (22.41%), project points - 59, currently - 45, a very small chance of relegated (<1%), a very small chance of promoted (3%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).
- Sochaux has the most likely position - 2 (29.31%), project points - 67, currently - 49, a very small chance of relegated (<1%), a chance of promoted (42%), a small chance of win league (10%).
- This event has quality 39, importance 50, match rating 45. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Bastia won 0.
- At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.
- The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
- Last 8 head-to-head matches Bastia won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10-12.
- Including matches at home between the teams Bastia won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-6.
How many head-to-head matches has Bastia won against Sochaux?
Bastia has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sochaux won against Bastia?
Sochaux has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bastia - Sochaux were as follows:
12.11.2022
Sochaux
-
Bastia
1:0
Latest results of Sochaux
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Red Star | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10:4 | 6 | 10 |
| 2 | Troyes | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 | 10 |
| 3 | St Etienne | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9:4 | 5 | 8 |
| 4 | Pau FC | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7:6 | 1 | 8 |
| 5 | Nancy | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 8 |
| 6 | Rodez | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3:5 | -2 | 8 |
| 7 | Laval | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 7:6 | 1 | 7 |
| 8 | Reims | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 7 |
| 9 | Amiens | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 6 |
| 10 | Clermont | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4:3 | 1 | 6 |
| 11 | Dunkerque | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7:7 | 0 | 5 |
| 12 | Montpellier | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 5 |
| 13 | Le Mans | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 4 |
| 14 | Annecy | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 4 |
| 15 | Guingamp | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:9 | -3 | 4 |
| 16 | Grenoble | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 2 |
| 17 | Bastia | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 2 |
| 18 | Boulogne | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National
