Bastia vs Sochaux – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football French Ligue 2 Bastia - Sochaux
Result
3:2
01/04/2023 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • FRANCE: LIGUE 2 - ROUND 29
  • Referee: Thual O. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
franceFranceAmazon Prime Video

Chances of winning


Bastia
42.4%
Draw
29.8%
Sochaux
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36% 30.4% 33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1% 30.3% 33.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bastia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bastia's performance.
  • Sochaux has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sochaux might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bastia than the current prediction. (-6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bastia that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sochaux than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sochaux could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Bastia - Sochaux Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.21
    (2.59)
    3.12
    (3.08)
    3.4
    (2.78)
    6.8%
    (7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Bastia - Sochaux?
  • Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Bastia will win (votes: 5 - 29.4%). Sochaux will win (votes: 2 - 11.8%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 58.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.4%82.2%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 5 and 3).
    • Bastia has the most likely position - 5 (22.41%), project points - 59, currently - 45, a very small chance of relegated (<1%), a very small chance of promoted (3%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).
    • Sochaux has the most likely position - 2 (29.31%), project points - 67, currently - 49, a very small chance of relegated (<1%), a chance of promoted (42%), a small chance of win league (10%).
    • This event has quality 39, importance 50, match rating 45. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Bastia won 0.
    • At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.
    • The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
    • Last 8 head-to-head matches Bastia won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10-12.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Bastia won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-6.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Bastia - Sochaux were as follows:
    12.11.2022 Sochaux - Bastia 1:0
    Latest results of Bastia
    18.03.2023 Paris FC - Bastia 0:1
    11.03.2023 Valenciennes - Bastia 2:2
    04.03.2023 Bastia - Nîmes 4:2
    25.02.2023 Rodez - Bastia 0:2
    18.02.2023 Bastia - Guingamp 1:1
    Latest results of Sochaux
    18.03.2023 Sochaux - Grenoble 1:0
    11.03.2023 Sochaux - Bordeaux 1:1
    06.03.2023 Caen - Sochaux 0:0
    25.02.2023 Sochaux - Annecy 5:1
    18.02.2023 Quevilly - Sochaux 0:0
    French Ligue 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Grenoble00000:000
    2Le Mans00000:000
    3Nancy00000:000
    4St Etienne00000:000
    5Amiens00000:000
    6Bastia00000:000
    7Clermont00000:000
    8Guingamp00000:000
    9Montpellier00000:000
    10Reims00000:000
    11Troyes00000:000
    12Laval00000:000
    13Pau FC00000:000
    14Rodez00000:000
    15Annecy00000:000
    16Dunkerque00000:000
    17Red Star00000:000

          Promotion ~ Ligue 1
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Ligue 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ National