Sochi vs Dynamo Makhachkala – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

01/12/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Fisht Olympic Stadium (Sochi).

Premier League - Round 17
Referee: Egorov E. (Rus)
Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	Q Sport Asia
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Kosovo	Arena Premium 2
Russia	Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Premium 2

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.48	0.61
Ball Possession
54%	46%
Total shots
11	12
Shots on target
3	1
Big Chances
0	2
Corner Kicks
6	6
Passes
74% (359/484)	70% (276/397)
Yellow Cards
1	0
Expected Goals (xG)
0.48	0.61
xG on target (xGOT)
0.46	0.07
Total shots
11	12
Shots on target
3	1
Shots off target
4	6
Blocked Shots
4	5
Shots inside the Box
5	8
Shots outside the Box
6	4
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
0	2
Corner Kicks
6	6
Touches in opposition box
10	26
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	2
Free Kicks
16	9
Passes
74% (359/484)	70% (276/397)
Long passes
42% (33/78)	24% (15/63)
Passes in final third
69% (72/104)	46% (60/130)
Crosses
20% (3/15)	27% (7/26)
Expected assists (xA)
0.43	0.54
Throw-ins
25	21
Fouls
9	16
Tackles
69% (9/13)	88% (15/17)
Duels won
57	57
Clearances
42	22
Interceptions
6	12
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	3
xGOT faced
0.07	0.46
Goals prevented
-0.93	0.46

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
3', Vasiljev D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Alibekov M. ↓, Alarcon A. ↑,
62', Kamano F. ↓, Zaika K. ↑,
62', Bart R. ↓, Kovalenko A. ↑,
70', Agalarov G. ↓, Mastouri H. ↑,
81', Vasiljev D. ↓, Osipov A. ↑,
81', Volkov S. ↓, Fedorov Z. ↑,
86', Hosseinnejad M. ↓, Miro ↑,
90+5', Glushkov N. ↓, Gadzhiev S. ↑,

Chances of winning

Sochi
28.7%

Draw
33.4%

Dynamo Makhachkala
37.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.9%

31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1%

30.4%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sochi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sochi's form might have worsened.

Dynamo Makhachkala has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dynamo Makhachkala's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sochi than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sochi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dynamo Makhachkala than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dynamo Makhachkala, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Sochi - Dynamo Makhachkala Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.31 ↑ (2.46)	2.84 ↓ (3)	2.51 ↓ (3)	5.3% (7.3%)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

What is the prediction for Sochi - Dynamo Makhachkala?

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Sochi will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Dynamo Makhachkala will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sochi: 4% – 71%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Dynamo Makhachkala (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.

Preview Facts

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ FNL and 13 in the zone Premier League (Relegation)).
Recent form of Sochi has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
In recent matches, Dynamo Makhachkala has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Dynamo Makhachkala may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Sochi has had a series of away games.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
There will not play in Sochi: Meleshin P. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Dynamo Makhachkala: Azzi I. (Red Card) Dapo J. (Injury) Sandrachuk A. (Knee Injury)
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Sochi won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
Including home match between the teams, Sochi won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

How many head-to-head matches has Sochi won against Dynamo Makhachkala?

Sochi has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Dynamo Makhachkala won against Sochi?

Dynamo Makhachkala has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Sochi - Dynamo Makhachkala were as follows:

28.09.2025 Dynamo Makhachkala - Sochi 0:0

27.11.2024 Sochi - Dynamo Makhachkala 1:2

Latest results of Sochi

21.11.2025 Akron Tolyatti - Sochi 3:2 ✺

08.11.2025 Sochi - Rostov 0:1 ✺

02.11.2025 Orenburg - Sochi 3:1 ✺

27.10.2025 Akhmat Grozny - Sochi 2:4 ✺

23.10.2025 Krasnodar - Sochi 3:0 ✺

Latest results of Dynamo Makhachkala

26.11.2025 CSKA Moscow - Dynamo Makhachkala 3:1 ✺

23.11.2025 Dynamo Moscow - Dynamo Makhachkala 3:0 ✺

08.11.2025 Dynamo Makhachkala - CSKA Moscow 0:1 ✺

05.11.2025 Dynamo Makhachkala - CSKA Moscow 1:0 ✺

01.11.2025 Dynamo Makhachkala - Krylya Sovetov 2:0 ✺

Russian Premier League Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Krasnodar	19	13	4	2	39:13	26	43
2	Zenit	19	12	6	1	35:12	23	42
3	Lokomotiv Moscow	19	11	7	1	41:24	17	40
4	CSKA Moscow	19	11	3	5	30:18	12	36
5	Baltika	19	9	8	2	24:8	16	35
6	Spartak Moscow	19	9	5	5	29:25	4	32
7	Akhmat Grozny	19	7	4	8	23:25	-2	25
8	Dynamo Moscow	19	6	6	7	31:26	5	24
9	Rubin Kazan	19	6	5	8	17:24	-7	23
10	Akron Togliatti	19	5	6	8	22:28	-6	21
11	FK Rostov	19	5	6	8	16:22	-6	21
12	Dynamo Makhachkala	19	4	6	9	10:22	-12	18
13	Krylya Sovetov	19	4	5	10	20:37	-17	17
14	Orenburg	19	3	6	10	19:29	-10	15
15	Pari NN	19	4	2	13	13:30	-17	14
16	Sochi	19	2	3	14	18:44	-26	9

Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ FNL