Result
2:4
07/12/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 18
- Referee: Kukulyak E. (Rus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Croatia | Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go |
 Russia | Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.92 | 3.41 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (382/452) | 85% (402/474) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.92 | 3.41 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.20 | 3.69 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 14 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 33 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (382/452) | 85% (402/474) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (18/39) | 41% (22/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 83% (65/78) | 67% (74/111) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (4/17) | 31% (4/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.57 | 1.71 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 7 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (9/15) | 75% (9/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 35 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 10 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.69 | 2.20 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.31 | 0.20 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 3)
- 7', 0 - 1, Batrakov A. ⚽, Komlichenko N. (A),
- 25', 1 - 1, Kramaric M. ⚽, Saavedra I. (A),
- 29', 1 - 2, Rudenko A. ⚽,
- 31', Komlichenko N. 🟨,
- 34', 1 - 3, Rudenko A. ⚽, Batrakov A. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Komlichenko N. ↓, Vorobyev D. ↑,
- 46', Kramaric M. ↓, Bart R. ↑,
- 56', Vasiljev D. ↓, Osipov A. ↑,
- 57', Volkov S. ↓, Zaika K. ↑,
- 62', Prutsev D. ↓, Bakaev Z. ↑,
- 68', 1 - 4, Vorobyev D. (Penalty Awarded),
- 69', Rudenko A. ↓, Pinyaev S. ↑,
- 72', Kovalenko A. ↓, Fedorov Z. ↑,
- 85', Zinkovskiy A. ↓, Kamano F. ↑,
- 86', Barinov D. ↓, Timofeev A. ↑,
- 86', Montes C. ↓, Pogostnov E. ↑,
- 88', 2 - 4, Kamano F. ⚽,
- 90', Ignatov M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Sochi
17% | Draw
23.6% | Lokomotiv Moscow
59.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Sochi - Lokomotiv Moscow Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.59 ↑
(4.4) |
4.03 ↑
(3.65) |
1.6 ↓
(1.74) |
5.1%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Sochi - Lokomotiv Moscow?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Lokomotiv (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Lokomotiv Moscow will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ FNL and 4).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sochi won 0.
- Sochi is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Lokomotiv has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Sochi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Lokomotiv is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Sochi: Meleshin P.
(Knee Injury)
Rudakov M.
(Inactive)
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Sochi won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 13:23. (average 1:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sochi won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.5:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Sochi won against Lokomotiv Moscow?
Sochi has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lokomotiv Moscow won against Sochi?
Lokomotiv Moscow has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sochi - Lokomotiv Moscow were as follows:
19.07.2025
Lokomotiv Moscow
-
Sochi
3:0
10.03.2024
Lokomotiv Moscow
-
Sochi
2:2
27.08.2023
Sochi
-
Lokomotiv Moscow
0:1
08.05.2023
Lokomotiv Moscow
-
Sochi
3:0
29.01.2023
Lokomotiv Moscow
-
Sochi
2:0
Latest results of Lokomotiv Moscow
Russian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Krasnodar | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 37:12 | 25 | 40 |
| 2 | Zenit | 18 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 34:12 | 22 | 39 |
| 3 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 18 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 39:23 | 16 | 37 |
| 4 | CSKA Moscow | 18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 30:17 | 13 | 36 |
| 5 | Baltika | 18 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 24:7 | 17 | 35 |
| 6 | Spartak Moscow | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 26:23 | 3 | 29 |
| 7 | Rubin Kazan | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 16:22 | -6 | 23 |
| 8 | Akhmat Grozny | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 22:25 | -3 | 22 |
| 9 | Akron Togliatti | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 22:26 | -4 | 21 |
| 10 | Dynamo Moscow | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 27:26 | 1 | 21 |
| 11 | FK Rostov | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 15:20 | -5 | 21 |
| 12 | Krylya Sovetov | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 20:33 | -13 | 17 |
| 13 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 8:21 | -13 | 15 |
| 14 | Pari NN | 18 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 12:28 | -16 | 14 |
| 15 | Orenburg | 18 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 17:29 | -12 | 12 |
| 16 | Sochi | 18 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 16:41 | -25 | 9 |
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ FNL
