Result
2:3
15/02/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 20
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 4', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 25', 1 - 1, Ntamba M. ⚽,
- 30', 1 - 2, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 64', 2 - 2, ⚽,
- 77', 2 - 3, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Sofapaka
33.6% | Draw
32.5% | Muranga Seal
33.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sofapaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)Muranga Seal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sofapaka than the current prediction. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Muranga Seal than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
Sofapaka - Muranga Seal Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.69 ↓
(2.7) |
2.78 ↓
(2.9) |
2.66 ↑
(2.65) |
10.7%
(9.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Super League and 5).
- Sofapaka has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Muranga is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Muranga may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Sofapaka won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.8:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sofapaka won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Sofapaka won against Muranga Seal?
Sofapaka has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Muranga Seal won against Sofapaka?
Muranga Seal has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sofapaka - Muranga Seal were as follows:
15.10.2025
Muranga Seal
-
Sofapaka
1:2
14.05.2025
Muranga Seal
-
Sofapaka
2:0
28.11.2024
Sofapaka
-
Muranga Seal
0:1
09.03.2024
Sofapaka
-
Muranga Seal
1:2
Latest results of Sofapaka
Latest results of Muranga Seal
Kenyan Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gor Mahia | 25 | 17 | 5 | 3 | 44:18 | 26 | 56 |
| 2 | Leopards | 25 | 14 | 7 | 4 | 33:18 | 15 | 49 |
| 3 | Police FC | 25 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 22:17 | 5 | 40 |
| 4 | Shabana | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 30:27 | 3 | 40 |
| 5 | Kakamega Homeboyz | 24 | 10 | 9 | 5 | 35:26 | 9 | 39 |
| 6 | Muranga | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 33:27 | 6 | 38 |
| 7 | Tusker | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 23:25 | -2 | 37 |
| 8 | Bandari | 25 | 7 | 13 | 5 | 20:18 | 2 | 34 |
| 9 | KCB | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 25:27 | -2 | 34 |
| 10 | Nairobi United | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 28:24 | 4 | 33 |
| 11 | Posta Rangers | 25 | 7 | 10 | 8 | 23:29 | -6 | 31 |
| 12 | Mara Sugar | 24 | 6 | 12 | 6 | 23:23 | 0 | 30 |
| 13 | Mathare Utd | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 22:24 | -2 | 30 |
| 14 | Kariobangi Sharks | 25 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 18:28 | -10 | 25 |
| 15 | Ulinzi Stars | 25 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 22:30 | -8 | 22 |
| 16 | Bidco United | 25 | 4 | 10 | 11 | 16:28 | -12 | 22 |
| 17 | APS Bomet | 25 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 24:33 | -9 | 21 |
| 18 | Sofapaka | 25 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 15:34 | -19 | 15 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Super League
