Sofapaka vs Nairobi City Stars – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
14/03/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • KENYA: Premier League - Round 24

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
01
Red Cards
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 14', 1 - 0, Onganya J. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 72', Ochoro E. 🟨,
  • 90+5', 2 - 0, Simiyu B. ,

Chances of winning


Sofapaka
45.7%
Draw
28.7%
Nairobi City Stars
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.9% 29.3% 17.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5% 29% 17.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sofapaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sofapaka's form might have worsened.
  • Nairobi City Stars has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nairobi City Stars's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sofapaka than the current prediction. (+7.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sofapaka, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nairobi City Stars than the current prediction. (-8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nairobi City Stars, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Sofapaka - Nairobi City Stars Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2
    (1.72)
    3.18
    (3.1)
    3.56
    (5.1)
    9.6%
    (10%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 9 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Super League).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Sofapaka won 1.
    • Two teams are playing changeable.
    • In this match Sofapaka is a favorite.
    • Last 10 head-to-head matches Sofapaka won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 17:10 (average 1.7:1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Sofapaka won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13:5 (average 2.2:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sofapaka - Nairobi City Stars were as follows:
    19.10.2024 Nairobi City Stars - Sofapaka 1:1
    30.09.2023 Sofapaka - Nairobi City Stars 1:2
    11.03.2023 Nairobi City Stars - Sofapaka 1:1
    14.01.2023 Sofapaka - Nairobi City Stars 1:2
    Latest results of Sofapaka
    01.03.2025 Sofapaka - Mara Sugar 1:1
    19.02.2025 AFC Leopards - Sofapaka 0:0
    15.02.2025 Sofapaka - Kenya CB 2:0
    08.02.2025 Bandari - Sofapaka 1:0
    02.02.2025 Police FC - Sofapaka 1:1
    Latest results of Nairobi City Stars
    Kenyan Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gor Mahia22154338:152349
    2Leopards22127330:141643
    3Shabana23117528:23540
    4Kakamega Homeboyz22108434:231138
    5Police FC23910420:14637
    6Muranga23106731:25636
    7Tusker23104921:24-334
    8Bandari23711519:17232
    9KCB2295822:23-132
    10Nairobi United1985625:20529
    11Mara Sugar22610623:23028
    12Mathare Utd23751117:22-526
    13Posta Rangers2259818:27-924
    14Kariobangi Sharks23410915:25-1022
    15Bidco United23481115:27-1220
    16Ulinzi Stars23471219:26-719
    17APS Bomet23471223:32-919
    18Sofapaka23351515:33-1814

          Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Super League