Result
0:2
26/02/2026 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 22
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 13', 0 - 1, Koutiama Y. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 54', 0 - 2, Omar A. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Sofapaka
19.8% | Draw
29.6% | Police FC
50.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sofapaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sofapaka's form might have worsened.Police FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Police FC's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sofapaka than the current prediction. (+7.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sofapaka, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Police FC than the current prediction. (-8.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Police FC, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Sofapaka - Police FC Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.62 ↑
(3.22) |
3.08 ↑
(2.95) |
1.81 ↓
(2.25) |
9.4%
(9.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Sofapaka - Police FC?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Police (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Super League and 6).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sofapaka won 0.
- Sofapaka has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Police has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Police might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Sofapaka won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:13. (average 0.7:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sofapaka won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 0.8:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Sofapaka won against Police FC?
Sofapaka has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Police FC won against Sofapaka?
Police FC has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sofapaka - Police FC were as follows:
05.11.2025
Police FC
-
Sofapaka
1:0
02.02.2025
Police FC
-
Sofapaka
1:1
06.11.2024
Sofapaka
-
Police FC
1:1
27.04.2024
Police FC
-
Sofapaka
4:0
20.04.2024
Police FC
-
Sofapaka
2:1
Latest results of Sofapaka
Latest results of Police FC
Kenyan Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gor Mahia | 26 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 44:18 | 26 | 57 |
| 2 | Leopards | 27 | 16 | 7 | 4 | 36:18 | 18 | 55 |
| 3 | Kakamega Homeboyz | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 42:28 | 14 | 46 |
| 4 | Police FC | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 23:17 | 6 | 43 |
| 5 | Shabana | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 31:30 | 1 | 43 |
| 6 | KCB | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 27:27 | 0 | 40 |
| 7 | Nairobi United | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 34:27 | 7 | 39 |
| 8 | Muranga | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 33:30 | 3 | 38 |
| 9 | Bandari | 27 | 8 | 14 | 5 | 21:18 | 3 | 38 |
| 10 | Tusker | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 23:26 | -3 | 37 |
| 11 | Mara Sugar | 27 | 7 | 13 | 7 | 25:25 | 0 | 34 |
| 12 | Posta Rangers | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 23:32 | -9 | 31 |
| 13 | Mathare Utd | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 22:27 | -5 | 30 |
| 14 | Kariobangi Sharks | 27 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 18:29 | -11 | 26 |
| 15 | Ulinzi Stars | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 24:31 | -7 | 25 |
| 16 | APS Bomet | 27 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 25:33 | -8 | 25 |
| 17 | Bidco United | 27 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 16:30 | -14 | 22 |
| 18 | Sofapaka | 27 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 15:36 | -21 | 16 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Super League
