Bristol City vs Southampton – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

21/10/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Ashton Gate Stadium (Bristol).

Championship - Round 11
Referee: Backhouse A. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, SupeSport ESPN 1
Albania	SuperSport 2
Argentina	Disney+, FOX Sports 2, FOX Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
Australia	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free
Hong-kong	myTV SUPER
Hungary	Match 4
Iceland	Viaplay
Ireland	NOW
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kenya	Gotv
Malaysia	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN 2
Netherlands	Viaplay
Nigeria	SupeSport ESPN 1
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Portugal	Sport TV4
Serbia	Arena Sport 7
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
South-africa	SupeSport ESPN
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Football, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports UHD
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.49	1.84
Ball Possession
33%	67%
Total shots
13	14
Shots on target
4	7
Big Chances
3	3
Corner Kicks
2	3
Passes
68% (177/262)	84% (443/529)
Yellow Cards
1	2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.49	1.84
xG on target (xGOT)
2.60	1.25
Total shots
13	14
Shots on target
4	7
Shots off target
8	6
Blocked Shots
1	1
Shots inside the Box
7	10
Shots outside the Box
6	4
Hit the Woodwork
1	1
Big Chances
3	3
Corner Kicks
2	3
Touches in opposition box
15	16
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
0	3
Free Kicks
11	10
Passes
68% (177/262)	84% (443/529)
Long passes
35% (17/48)	37% (15/41)
Passes in final third
58% (48/83)	69% (100/145)
Crosses
10% (1/10)	20% (3/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.32	0.86
Throw-ins
24	26
Fouls
10	11
Tackles
67% (12/18)	69% (11/16)
Duels won
52	51
Clearances
28	16
Interceptions
9	11
Errors leading to shot
1	1
Errors leading to goal
0	2
Goalkeeper Saves
6	1
xGOT faced
1.25	2.60
Goals prevented
0.25	-0.40

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
30', 0 - 1, Armstrong A. ⚽, Charles S. (A),
33', 1 - 1, Mehmeti A. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
53', Riis E. ↓, Armstrong S. ↑,
57', 2 - 1, Twine S. ⚽,
64', 3 - 1, Twine S. ⚽,
65', Charles S. ↓, Manning R. ↑,
65', Fraser R. ↓, Fellows T. ↑,
65', Archer C. ↓, Robinson J. ↑,
70', Vitek R. 🟨,
72', Sykes M. ↓, McCrorie R. ↑,
72', Twine S. ↓, Pecover L. ↑,
78', Jander C. ↓, Downes F. ↑,
83', Harwood-Bellis T. 🟨,
90+1', Mehmeti A. ↓, Hirakawa Y. ↑,
90+2', Atkinson R. ↓, Roberts H. ↑,
90+5', Fellows T. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Bristol City
37.2%

Draw
29.3%

Southampton
33.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.6%

27.5%

35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9%

26.6%

34.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bristol City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Southampton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bristol City than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Southampton than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Bristol City - Southampton Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↑ (2.55)	3.24 ↓ (3.4)	2.86 ↑ (2.6)	4.4% (7.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Bristol City - Southampton?

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Bristol City will win (votes: 9 - 47.4%). S`hampton will win (votes: 5 - 26.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 26.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bristol City: 24.9% – 69.9%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Bristol City (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 7 and 15).
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
There will not play in Bristol City: Bird M. (Calf Injury) Knight J. (Injury) Pring C. (Ankle Injury) Stokes J. (Foot Injury) Williams J. (Ankle Injury)
There will not play in S`hampton: Edozie S. (Inactive)
There are questionable in S`hampton: Jelert E. (Injury)
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Bristol City won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 0.8:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Bristol City won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Bristol City won against Southampton?

Bristol City has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Southampton won against Bristol City?

Southampton has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Bristol City - Southampton were as follows:

13.02.2024 Bristol City - Southampton 3:1

29.11.2023 Southampton - Bristol City 1:0

Latest results of Bristol City

18.10.2025 Norwich City - Bristol City 0:1 ✺

04.10.2025 Bristol City - Queens Park Rangers 1:2 ✺

30.09.2025 Bristol City - Ipswich Town 1:1 ✺

27.09.2025 Preston North End - Bristol City 0:0 ✺

21.09.2025 Bristol City - Oxford United 1:3 ✺

Latest results of Southampton

18.10.2025 Southampton - Swansea City 0:0 ✺

04.10.2025 Derby County - Southampton 1:1 ✺

30.09.2025 Sheffield United - Southampton 1:2 ✺

27.09.2025 Southampton - Middlesbrough 1:1 ✺

23.09.2025 Liverpool - Southampton 2:1 ✺

English League Championship Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Coventry	35	21	8	6	72:38	34	71
2	Middlesbrough	35	19	9	7	54:35	19	66
3	Ipswich	34	18	9	7	60:34	26	63
4	Millwall	35	18	8	9	47:40	7	62
5	Hull	35	18	6	11	56:49	7	60
6	Wrexham	35	15	12	8	54:45	9	57
7	Southampton	35	14	11	10	57:46	11	53
8	Derby	35	14	9	12	52:46	6	51
9	Watford	35	13	12	10	45:41	4	51
10	Bristol City	35	14	8	13	48:44	4	50
11	Preston	35	12	13	10	41:40	1	49
12	Birmingham	35	13	10	12	46:46	0	49
13	Sheffield Utd	35	15	3	17	50:48	2	48
14	Stoke	35	13	8	14	39:34	5	47
15	QPR	35	13	8	14	46:54	-8	47
16	Swansea	35	13	7	15	40:43	-3	46
17	Norwich	35	13	6	16	47:44	3	45
18	Charlton	35	10	11	14	33:44	-11	41
19	Portsmouth	34	10	9	15	34:44	-10	39
20	Blackburn	35	10	8	17	33:46	-13	38
21	West Brom	35	9	8	18	34:52	-18	35
22	Leicester	35	10	10	15	47:56	-9	34
23	Oxford Utd	35	7	11	17	31:47	-16	32
24	Sheffield Wed ✔	35	1	8	26	21:71	-50	-7

      Promotion ~ Premier League
      Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ League One

Clinched Spots for Teams

Sheffield Wed is Relegated to League One