Southampton vs Swansea City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

18/10/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

St. Mary's Stadium (Southampton).

Championship - Round 10
Referee: Smith J. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+
Usa	CBS Sports Golazo, Paramount+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
3.26	0.22
Ball Possession
58%	42%
Total shots
21	7
Shots on target
8	2
Big Chances
4	0
Corner Kicks
5	3
Passes
86% (411/480)	76% (277/365)
Yellow Cards
0	4
Expected Goals (xG)
3.26	0.22
xG on target (xGOT)
1.63	0.10
Total shots
21	7
Shots on target
8	2
Shots off target
10	2
Blocked Shots
3	3
Shots inside the Box
17	6
Shots outside the Box
4	1
Hit the Woodwork
2	0
Big Chances
4	0
Corner Kicks
5	3
Touches in opposition box
41	9
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	3
Free Kicks
14	11
Passes
86% (411/480)	76% (277/365)
Long passes
45% (23/51)	22% (13/59)
Passes in final third
74% (84/113)	66% (57/87)
Crosses
27% (8/30)	25% (3/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.72	0.29
Throw-ins
22	13
Fouls
11	14
Tackles
76% (13/17)	69% (11/16)
Duels won
57	41
Clearances
25	32
Interceptions
8	8
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	8
xGOT faced
0.10	1.63
Goals prevented
0.10	1.63

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
34', Stamenic M. 🟨,
43', Cabango B. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
50', Vipotnik Z. 🟨,
63', Vipotnik Z. ↓, Idah A. ↑,
70', Jelert E. ↓, Fellows T. ↑,
70', Archer C. ↓, Robinson J. ↑,
71', Inoussa Z. ↓, Eom J. ↑,
71', Galbraith E. ↓, Yalcouye M. ↑,
84', Ronald ↓, Casey K. ↑,
84', Stamenic M. ↓, Fulton J. ↑,
85', Scienza L. ↓, Azaz F. ↑,
85', Welington ↓, Fraser R. ↑,
90+6', Fulton J. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Southampton
49.2%

Draw
26.3%

Swansea City
24.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.9%

26.1%

23%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50%

25.7%

23.4%

Southampton - Swansea City Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↑ (1.86)	3.61 ↓ (3.63)	3.93 ↓ (4.11)	4.8% (5.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Southampton - Swansea City?

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. S`hampton will win (votes: 12 - 60%). Swansea will win (votes: 2 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for S`hampton: 38.5% – 81.5%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -0.75 - S`hampton (2.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Southampton will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 10 high ROI users predict this event. S`hampton (votes: 9 - 90%). Swansea (votes: 1 - 10%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 17 and 12).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, S`hampton won 5.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Recently, S`hampton has had a series of away games.
In this match, S`hampton is the team to beat.
There will not play in S`hampton: Edozie S. (Inactive) Welington (Ankle Injury)
There will not play in Swansea: Santos R. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in S`hampton: Stewart R. (Injury)
There are questionable in Swansea: Eom J. (Injury)
In the last 17 head-to-head matches, S`hampton won 12 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 29:9. (average 1.7:0.5).
Including home matches between the teams, S`hampton won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:3. (average 1.9:0.4).

How many head-to-head matches has Southampton won against Swansea City?

Southampton has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Swansea City won against Southampton?

Swansea City has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Southampton - Swansea City were as follows:

12.01.2025 Southampton - Swansea City 3:0

20.01.2024 Swansea City - Southampton 1:3

26.12.2023 Southampton - Swansea City 5:0

Latest results of Southampton

04.10.2025 Derby County - Southampton 1:1 ✺

30.09.2025 Sheffield United - Southampton 1:2 ✺

27.09.2025 Southampton - Middlesbrough 1:1 ✺

23.09.2025 Liverpool - Southampton 2:1 ✺

20.09.2025 Hull City - Southampton 3:1 ✺

Latest results of Swansea City

04.10.2025 Swansea City - Leicester City 1:3 ✺

30.09.2025 Blackburn Rovers - Swansea City 1:2 ✺

27.09.2025 Swansea City - Millwall 1:1 ✺

20.09.2025 Birmingham City - Swansea City 1:0 ✺

17.09.2025 Swansea City - Nottingham Forest 3:2 ✺

English League Championship Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Middlesbrough	31	18	7	6	49:30	19	61
2	Coventry	31	17	8	6	63:35	28	59
3	Ipswich	30	15	9	6	51:29	22	54
4	Hull	31	16	6	9	50:43	7	54
5	Millwall	31	15	8	8	39:36	3	53
6	Wrexham	31	12	11	8	44:39	5	47
7	Preston	31	12	11	8	38:34	4	47
8	Bristol City	31	13	7	11	43:38	5	46
9	Southampton	32	12	10	10	48:44	4	46
10	Birmingham	32	12	10	10	43:39	4	46
11	Derby	31	12	9	10	45:39	6	45
12	Watford	31	11	11	9	39:36	3	44
13	QPR	31	12	8	11	42:43	-1	44
14	Stoke	31	12	7	12	34:28	6	43
15	Swansea	31	12	6	13	38:37	1	42
16	Norwich	32	11	6	15	42:42	0	39
17	Sheffield Utd	31	12	3	16	44:45	-1	39
18	Charlton	30	9	9	12	29:38	-9	36
19	West Brom	32	9	7	16	32:47	-15	34
20	Portsmouth	29	8	9	12	27:38	-11	33
21	Leicester	32	10	8	14	44:51	-7	32
22	Blackburn	31	8	8	15	27:40	-13	32
23	Oxford Utd	32	6	10	16	28:44	-16	28
24	Sheffield Wed	31	1	8	22	18:62	-44	-7

      Promotion ~ Premier League
      Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ League One