Modena vs SPAL – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie B Modena - SPAL
Result
0:0
22/04/2023 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 34
  • Referee: Santoro A. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
italyItalySky Sport

Highlights

Chances of winning


Modena
51%
Draw
27.7%
SPAL
21.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.4% 29.5% 25.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.4% 28.9% 24.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Modena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Modena's performance.
  • SPAL has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Modena than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for SPAL than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
  • Modena - SPAL Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.86
    (2.05)
    3.41
    (3.15)
    4.35
    (3.7)
    6.1%
    (7.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Modena - SPAL?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Modena will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). SPAL will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 57.1%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 9 and 19 in the zone Relegation).
    • Modena has the most likely position - 11 (16.39%), project points - 50, currently - 43, a very small chance of relegated (<1%), a chance of prom. playoffs (19%), a very small chance of promoted (1%), not chance of win league.
    • SPAL has the most likely position - 19 (34.2%), project points - 39, currently - 33, a good chance of relegated (79%), a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), a very small chance of promoted (<1%), not chance of win league.
    • This event has small quality 29, importance 36, match rating 32. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
    • One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
    • Modena could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Modena is a favorite.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Modena won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Modena - SPAL were as follows:
    04.12.2022 SPAL - Modena 2:3
    Latest results of Modena
    14.04.2023 Modena - Parma 1:1
    10.04.2023 Perugia - Modena 0:1
    02.04.2023 Modena - Cittadella 0:0
    17.03.2023 Palermo - Modena 5:2
    11.03.2023 Modena - Pisa 1:0
    Latest results of SPAL
    15.04.2023 SPAL - Brescia 2:2
    10.04.2023 Benevento - SPAL 1:3
    01.04.2023 SPAL - Ternana 1:1
    12.03.2023 Nuova Cosenza - SPAL 1:0
    Draw
    Play Out

    Final
    1Salernitana (16)Sampdoria (17)0 : 3, 0 : 2