Result
2:1
21/09/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 9
- Referee: Levnikov K. (Rus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | Q League Asia, Q Sport Asia |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 5 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go |
 Russia | Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 10 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.09 | 0.42 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 70% | 30% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 25 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (515/588) | 69% (171/248) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.09 | 0.42 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.79 | 0.79 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 25 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 14 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 37 | 7 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (515/588) | 69% (171/248) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (21/40) | 24% (14/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 80% (215/268) | 50% (31/62) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 39% (13/33) | 56% (5/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.45 | 0.90 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 46% (6/13) | 50% (6/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 11 | 39 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.79 | 2.79 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.21 | 0.79 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 6', 0 - 1, Ignatenko V. ⚽, Oleynikov I. (A),
- 37', Reabciuk O. ↓, Dmitriev I. ↑,
- 37', Denisov D. ↓, Solari P. ↑,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Garcia L. ↓, Ugalde M. ↑,
- 46', Martins C. ↓, Zobnin R. ↑,
- 52', 1 - 1, Ugalde M. ⚽, Umyarov N. (A),
- 65', Galdames T. ↓, Pechenin K. ↑,
- 65', Oleynikov I. ↓, Rahmanovic A. ↑,
- 70', 2 - 1, Ugalde M. ⚽, Marquinhos (A),
- 72', Ivanisenia D. ↓, Marin J. ↑,
- 72', Ignatenko V. ↓, Banjac M. ↑,
- 76', Akhmetov I. ↓, Sutormin A. ↑,
- 79', Djiku A. ↓, Babic S. ↑,
- 88', Umyarov N. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Spartak Moscow
68.6% | Draw
20% | Krylya Sovetov
11.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Spartak Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)Krylya Sovetov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spartak Moscow than the current prediction. (-1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Krylya Sovetov than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
Spartak Moscow - Krylya Sovetov Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.4 ↓
(1.45) |
4.79 ↑
(4.4) |
8.38 ↑
(6.4) |
4.4%
(7.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Spartak Moscow - Krylya Sovetov?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Spartak M will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Krylya Sovetov will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1.25 - Spartak M (1.96) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0, 1st Half - Spartak M (1.17) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Spartak M (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8 and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Spartak M won 4.
- Spartak M is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Krylya Sovetov has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Krylya Sovetov may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.
- In this match, Spartak M is the undeniable favorite.
- There will not play in Krylya Sovetov: Rakov V.
(Muscle Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Spartak M won 15 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 40:21. (average 2:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Spartak M won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 26:7. (average 2.6:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Spartak Moscow won against Krylya Sovetov?
Spartak Moscow has won 7 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Krylya Sovetov won against Spartak Moscow?
Krylya Sovetov has won 3 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Spartak Moscow - Krylya Sovetov were as follows:
06.07.2025
Spartak Moscow
-
Krylya Sovetov
2:2
18.05.2025
Krylya Sovetov
-
Spartak Moscow
0:2
19.09.2024
Spartak Moscow
-
Krylya Sovetov
4:1
14.08.2024
Krylya Sovetov
-
Spartak Moscow
0:3
05.08.2024
Spartak Moscow
-
Krylya Sovetov
3:0
Latest results of Spartak Moscow
Latest results of Krylya Sovetov
Russian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Krasnodar | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 39:13 | 26 | 43 |
| 2 | Zenit | 19 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 35:12 | 23 | 42 |
| 3 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 19 | 11 | 7 | 1 | 41:24 | 17 | 40 |
| 4 | CSKA Moscow | 19 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 30:18 | 12 | 36 |
| 5 | Baltika | 19 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 24:8 | 16 | 35 |
| 6 | Spartak Moscow | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 29:25 | 4 | 32 |
| 7 | Akhmat Grozny | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 23:25 | -2 | 25 |
| 8 | Dynamo Moscow | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 31:26 | 5 | 24 |
| 9 | Rubin Kazan | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 17:24 | -7 | 23 |
| 10 | Akron Togliatti | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 22:28 | -6 | 21 |
| 11 | FK Rostov | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 16:22 | -6 | 21 |
| 12 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 10:22 | -12 | 18 |
| 13 | Krylya Sovetov | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 20:37 | -17 | 17 |
| 14 | Orenburg | 19 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 19:29 | -10 | 15 |
| 15 | Pari NN | 19 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 13:30 | -17 | 14 |
| 16 | Sochi | 19 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 18:44 | -26 | 9 |
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ FNL
