Krylya Sovetov vs Spartak Moscow: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

18/05/2025 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Samara Arena (Samara).

: Premier League - Round 29

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.51	2.18
Ball Possession
29%	71%
Total shots
6	17
Shots on target
3	3
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
4	10
Passes
69% (160/232)	90% (531/590)
Yellow Cards
2	2
Red Cards
2	0
Expected Goals (xG)
0.51	2.18
xG on target (xGOT)
0.52	0.94
Total shots
6	17
Shots on target
3	3
Shots off target
1	8
Blocked Shots
2	6
Shots inside the Box
3	7
Shots outside the Box
2	10
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
4	10
Touches in opposition box
11	31
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
0	3
Free Kicks
10	9
Passes
69% (160/232)	90% (531/590)
Long passes
15% (7/48)	66% (19/29)
Passes in final third
54% (30/56)	80% (178/223)
Crosses
11% (1/9)	35% (7/20)
Expected assists (xA)
0.17	1.85
Throw-ins
15	21
Fouls
9	10
Tackles
73% (11/15)	58% (7/12)
Duels won
34	34
Clearances
18	22
Interceptions
11	15
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	3
xGOT faced
0.94	0.52
Goals prevented
-0.04	0.52

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 2)
10', Bijl G. 🟥,
17', Fernando Costanza 🟨,
22', 0 - 1, Shitov V. (Own goal),
42', 0 - 2, Solari P. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Babaev U. ↓, Ivanisenia D. ↑,
50', Fernando Costanza 🟨,
55', Babkin S. ↓, Gagnidze L. ↑,
68', Sergeev I. ↓, Dmitriev I. ↑,
68', Shitov V. ↓, Tsypchenko D. ↑,
70', Medina J. ↓, Massalyga N. ↑,
70', Pomazun I. ↓, Dovbnya A. ↑,
80', Zobnin R. 🟨,
80', Rasskazov N. ↓, Vityugov M. ↑,
90+2', Chernov N. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Krylya Sovetov
32%

Draw
25.6%

Spartak Moscow
42.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.6%

48.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.4%

47.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Krylya Sovetov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Krylya Sovetov's performance.

Spartak Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Spartak Moscow might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Krylya Sovetov than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Krylya Sovetov that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spartak Moscow than the current prediction. (+5%)

Krylya Sovetov - Spartak Moscow Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.92 ↓ (3.85)	3.66 ↓ (3.85)	2.21 ↑ (2.02)	6.9% (1.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Krylya Sovetov - Spartak Moscow?

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Krylya Sovetov will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Spartak M will win (votes: 3 - 50%).

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Spartak M (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 5).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Krylya Sovetov won 1.
Krylya Sovetov has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Spartak M's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Krylya Sovetov may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Spartak M is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
There will not play in Krylya Sovetov: Lomaev I. (Shoulder Injury) Vityugov M. (Leg Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Krylya Sovetov won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 16 matches, and goals 19:39. (average 1:2).
Including home matches between the teams, Krylya Sovetov won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 14:14. (average 1.4:1.4).

How many head-to-head matches has Krylya Sovetov won against Spartak Moscow?

Krylya Sovetov has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Spartak Moscow won against Krylya Sovetov?

Spartak Moscow has won 6 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Krylya Sovetov - Spartak Moscow were as follows:

19.09.2024 Spartak Moscow - Krylya Sovetov 4:1

14.08.2024 Krylya Sovetov - Spartak Moscow 0:3

05.08.2024 Spartak Moscow - Krylya Sovetov 3:0

09.12.2023 Spartak Moscow - Krylya Sovetov 3:0

01.10.2023 Krylya Sovetov - Spartak Moscow 4:0

Latest results of Krylya Sovetov

12.05.2025 Pari NN - Krylya Sovetov 5:2 ✺

05.05.2025 Krylya Sovetov - Dynamo Moscow 1:3 ✺

27.04.2025 Krylya Sovetov - Orenburg 2:0 ✺

20.04.2025 CSKA Moscow - Krylya Sovetov 1:1 ✺

13.04.2025 Khimki - Krylya Sovetov 1:3 ✺

Latest results of Spartak Moscow

15.05.2025 Spartak Moscow - Rostov 1:2 ✺

11.05.2025 Dynamo Moscow - Spartak Moscow 2:0 ✺

04.05.2025 Fakel - Spartak Moscow 0:0 ✺

29.04.2025 Spartak Moscow - Dynamo Moscow 2:1 ✺

26.04.2025 Spartak Moscow - CSKA Moscow 1:2 ✺

Russian Premier League Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Baltika	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Torpedo Moscow	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	FK Rostov	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Zenit	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Spartak Moscow	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	CSKA Moscow	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Lokomotiv Moscow	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Dynamo Moscow	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Rubin Kazan	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Krylya Sovetov	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Akhmat Grozny	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Krasnodar	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Pari NN	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Akron Togliatti	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Dynamo Makhachkala	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Sochi	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ FNL

Which TV channels are streaming of Krylya Sovetov - Spartak Moscow?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 2
Croatia	Arena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Russia	Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Premium 3, Arena Sport 2, Arena Sport 3