Result
6:4
18/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- National League North - Round 12
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 24', 0 - 1, Twamley L. ⚽,
- 31', 0 - 2, Sambu A. ⚽,
- 44', 1 - 2, Rowe D. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (5 - 2)
- 47', 2 - 2, Ramshaw R. ⚽,
- 55', 2 - 3, Rees R. ⚽,
- 63', 3 - 3, Mondal J. ⚽,
- 69', 4 - 3, Taylor G. ⚽,
- 74', 5 - 3, Mondal J. ⚽,
- 78', 6 - 3, Rowe D. ⚽,
- 90+2', 6 - 4, Rees R. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Spennymoor Town
43.9% | Draw
27.5% | Merthyr Town
28.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Spennymoor Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Spennymoor Town's form might have worsened.Merthyr Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Merthyr Town's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spennymoor Town than the current prediction. (+13.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Spennymoor Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Merthyr Town than the current prediction. (-7.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Merthyr Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Spennymoor Town - Merthyr Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.88 ↑
(1.68) |
4.2 ↑
(3.8) |
3.94 ↓
(4.1) |
-16.1%
(10.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 8).
- Spennymoor is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Merthyr's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Merthyr may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Spennymoor is a strong favorite.
- We predict that Spennymoor will win today's game, with odds of 1.62.
- The teams have not played against each other recently.
How many head-to-head matches has Spennymoor Town won against Merthyr Town?
Spennymoor Town has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Merthyr Town won against Spennymoor Town?
Merthyr Town has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Spennymoor Town - Merthyr Town were as follows:
Latest results of Spennymoor Town
Latest results of Merthyr Town
English National League North Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | South Shields | 34 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 76:29 | 47 | 77 |
| 2 | AFC Fylde | 34 | 24 | 3 | 7 | 83:37 | 46 | 75 |
| 3 | Merthyr Town | 36 | 20 | 3 | 13 | 80:63 | 17 | 63 |
| 4 | Kidderminster | 33 | 16 | 11 | 6 | 45:35 | 10 | 59 |
| 5 | Darlington | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 65:49 | 16 | 56 |
| 6 | Macclesfield | 32 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 58:47 | 11 | 55 |
| 7 | Radcliffe | 35 | 17 | 4 | 14 | 63:55 | 8 | 55 |
| 8 | Scarborough | 36 | 14 | 12 | 10 | 49:44 | 5 | 54 |
| 9 | AFC Telford | 35 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 68:48 | 20 | 53 |
| 10 | Chester | 36 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 52:57 | -5 | 50 |
| 11 | Marine | 32 | 14 | 6 | 12 | 43:48 | -5 | 48 |
| 12 | Spennymoor | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 44:57 | -13 | 46 |
| 13 | Buxton | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 56:49 | 7 | 45 |
| 14 | Curzon Ashton | 35 | 12 | 9 | 14 | 56:63 | -7 | 45 |
| 15 | Chorley | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 54:52 | 2 | 42 |
| 16 | Worksop | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 45:62 | -17 | 41 |
| 17 | Southport | 35 | 9 | 12 | 14 | 47:56 | -9 | 39 |
| 18 | Bedford | 36 | 10 | 9 | 17 | 55:65 | -10 | 39 |
| 19 | Kingu2019s Lynn | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 41:48 | -7 | 38 |
| 20 | Oxford City | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 42:54 | -12 | 35 |
| 21 | Peterborough Sports | 35 | 9 | 6 | 20 | 41:69 | -28 | 33 |
| 22 | Alfreton | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 30:56 | -26 | 32 |
| 23 | Hereford | 29 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 35:50 | -15 | 29 |
| 24 | Leamington | 34 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 25:60 | -35 | 22 |
Promotion ~ National League
Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation
