Result
2:3
14/03/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- National League North - Round 39
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 7', 1 - 0, Rai K. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 3)
- 47', 2 - 0, Cox C. ⚽,
- 53', 2 - 1, Dolan M. ⚽,
- 71', 2 - 2, Mondal J. ⚽,
- 90+1', 2 - 3, Taylor G. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Merthyr Town
47% | Draw
23.9% | Spennymoor Town
29.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Merthyr Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)Spennymoor Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Merthyr Town than the current prediction. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spennymoor Town than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
Merthyr Town - Spennymoor Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.98 ↑
(1.98) |
3.85 ↑
(3.85) |
3.21 ↑
(3.06) |
7.7%
(9.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Merthyr Town - Spennymoor Town?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Spennymoor (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 13).
- Merthyr has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Spennymoor has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Merthyr is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Merthyr won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:6.
How many head-to-head matches has Merthyr Town won against Spennymoor Town?
Merthyr Town has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Spennymoor Town won against Merthyr Town?
Spennymoor Town has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Merthyr Town - Spennymoor Town were as follows:
18.10.2025
Spennymoor Town
-
Merthyr Town
6:4
Latest results of Merthyr Town
Latest results of Spennymoor Town
English National League North Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | AFC Fylde | 39 | 27 | 4 | 8 | 94:42 | 52 | 85 |
| 2 | South Shields | 39 | 25 | 9 | 5 | 85:36 | 49 | 84 |
| 3 | Kidderminster | 37 | 18 | 12 | 7 | 54:39 | 15 | 66 |
| 4 | Merthyr Town | 40 | 21 | 3 | 16 | 87:73 | 14 | 66 |
| 5 | Darlington | 39 | 19 | 8 | 12 | 71:53 | 18 | 65 |
| 6 | Macclesfield | 37 | 19 | 7 | 11 | 68:55 | 13 | 64 |
| 7 | Scarborough | 40 | 16 | 14 | 10 | 55:47 | 8 | 62 |
| 8 | AFC Telford | 40 | 16 | 12 | 12 | 77:54 | 23 | 60 |
| 9 | Buxton | 39 | 17 | 6 | 16 | 65:53 | 12 | 57 |
| 10 | Chester | 40 | 15 | 12 | 13 | 58:62 | -4 | 57 |
| 11 | Radcliffe | 39 | 17 | 5 | 17 | 65:63 | 2 | 56 |
| 12 | Marine | 37 | 16 | 7 | 14 | 51:55 | -4 | 55 |
| 13 | Spennymoor | 38 | 15 | 9 | 14 | 52:63 | -11 | 54 |
| 14 | Southport | 40 | 13 | 12 | 15 | 55:61 | -6 | 51 |
| 15 | Chorley | 39 | 13 | 10 | 16 | 60:59 | 1 | 49 |
| 16 | Curzon Ashton | 40 | 12 | 11 | 17 | 59:74 | -15 | 47 |
| 17 | Worksop | 40 | 13 | 8 | 19 | 52:69 | -17 | 47 |
| 18 | Kingu2019s Lynn | 39 | 11 | 13 | 15 | 47:53 | -6 | 46 |
| 19 | Bedford | 40 | 11 | 10 | 19 | 56:70 | -14 | 43 |
| 20 | Oxford City | 39 | 11 | 9 | 19 | 49:59 | -10 | 42 |
| 21 | Hereford | 35 | 10 | 8 | 17 | 48:63 | -15 | 38 |
| 22 | Alfreton | 37 | 9 | 10 | 18 | 36:67 | -31 | 37 |
| 23 | Peterborough Sports | 40 | 10 | 7 | 23 | 43:75 | -32 | 37 |
| 24 | Leamington | 39 | 5 | 8 | 26 | 28:70 | -42 | 23 |
Promotion ~ National League
Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation
