Spennymoor Town vs Merthyr Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English National League North Spennymoor Town - Merthyr Town
Result
6:4
18/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • National League North - Round 12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 24', 0 - 1, Twamley L. ,
  • 31', 0 - 2, Sambu A. ,
  • 44', 1 - 2, Rowe D. ,
  • 2nd Half (5 - 2)
  • 47', 2 - 2, Ramshaw R. ,
  • 55', 2 - 3, Rees R. ,
  • 63', 3 - 3, Mondal J. ,
  • 69', 4 - 3, Taylor G. ,
  • 74', 5 - 3, Mondal J. ,
  • 78', 6 - 3, Rowe D. ,
  • 90+2', 6 - 4, Rees R. ,

Chances of winning


Spennymoor Town
43.9%
Draw
27.5%
Merthyr Town
28.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54% 23.9% 22.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.2% 22.6% 20.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Spennymoor Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Spennymoor Town's form might have worsened.
  • Merthyr Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Merthyr Town's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spennymoor Town than the current prediction. (+13.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Spennymoor Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Merthyr Town than the current prediction. (-7.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Merthyr Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Spennymoor Town - Merthyr Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.88
    (1.68)
    4.2
    (3.8)
    3.94
    (4.1)
    -16.1%
    (10.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 8).
    • Spennymoor is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Merthyr's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Merthyr may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Spennymoor is a strong favorite.
    • We predict that Spennymoor will win today's game, with odds of 1.62.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Spennymoor Town
    Latest results of Merthyr Town
    English National League North Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1South Shields12102026:52132
    2AFC Fylde1392233:161729
    3Scarborough1382322:18426
    4Radcliffe1381430:151525
    5Spennymoor1272322:21123
    6Chorley1363428:20821
    7Buxton1262420:18220
    8Kidderminster1355316:17-120
    9Macclesfield1253417:16118
    10Curzon Ashton1244419:17216
    11Merthyr Town1251621:25-416
    12Marine1251613:21-816
    13Worksop1343618:22-415
    14Chester1236316:20-415
    15Hereford1243514:18-415
    16Kingu2019s Lynn1235420:16414
    17Darlington1234518:18013
    18AFC Telford1234518:19-113
    19Bedford1234515:18-313
    20Leamington1333710:17-712
    21Alfreton122469:22-1310
    22Oxford City1322919:25-68
    23Southport1122710:18-88
    24Peterborough Sports1122710:22-128

          Promotion ~ National League
          Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation