Result
3:2
03/05/2023 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ITALY: SERIE A - ROUND 33
- Referee: Marinelli L. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | SuperSport |
 Czech-republic | Premier Sport 1 |
 Finland | CMore |
 Italy | Sky Sport |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 2 |
 Portugal | Sport TV |
 Romania | Orange Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Sport |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport |
 Sweden | CMore Live |
 United-kingdom | BT Sport |
Chances of winning
Atalanta
69.7% | Draw
18.5% | Spezia
11.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atalanta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)Spezia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atalanta than the current prediction. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spezia than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
Atalanta - Spezia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.37 ↓
(1.38) |
5.14 ↑
(4.85) |
8.18 ↑
(7.94) |
4.9%
(5.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Atalanta - Spezia?
Users Predictions:
59 users predict this event. Atalanta will win (votes: 45 - 76.3%). Spezia will win (votes: 11 - 18.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 5.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Atalanta: 65.4% – 87.2%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 7 and 17).
- Atalanta has the most likely position - 7 (42.13%), project points - 65, currently - 55, not chance of relegated, a chance of qualify for ucl (18%), not chance of win league.
- Spezia has the most likely position - 18 (44.01%), project points - 32, currently - 27, a good chance of relegated (53%), not chance of qualify for ucl.
- This event has quality 57, importance 61, match rating 59. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Atalanta won 4.
- Atalanta is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Spezia is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- In this match Atalanta is absolute favorite.
- There will not play in Atalanta: Hateboer H.
(Knee Injury)
Muratore S.
(Injury)
Ruggeri M.
(Injury)
Vorlicky L.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Spezia: Beck J.
(Foot Injury)
Holm E.
(Groin Injury)
Maldini D.
(Muscle Injury)
Moutinho J.
(Foot Injury)
Zovko P.
(Injury)
Zurkowski S.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Atalanta: Lookman A.
(Muscle Injury)
Okoli C.
(Injury)
Soppy B.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Spezia: Nzola M.
(Injury)
- Last 7 head-to-head matches Atalanta won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 20-8.
- Including matches at home between the teams Atalanta won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 15-5.
How many head-to-head matches has Atalanta won against Spezia?
Atalanta has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Spezia won against Atalanta?
Spezia has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atalanta - Spezia were as follows:
19.01.2023
Atalanta
-
Spezia
5:2
04.01.2023
Spezia
-
Atalanta
2:2
Latest results of Atalanta
Italian Serie A Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Napoli | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12:6 | 6 | 15 |
| 2 | AS Roma | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 7:2 | 5 | 15 |
| 3 | AC Milan | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9:3 | 6 | 13 |
| 4 | Inter | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 17:8 | 9 | 12 |
| 5 | Juventus | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9:5 | 4 | 12 |
| 6 | Atalanta | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 11:5 | 6 | 10 |
| 7 | Bologna | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:5 | 4 | 10 |
| 8 | Como | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 9 |
| 9 | Sassuolo | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8:8 | 0 | 9 |
| 10 | Cremonese | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7:8 | -1 | 9 |
| 11 | Cagliari | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 8 |
| 12 | Udinese | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:9 | -3 | 8 |
| 13 | Lazio | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10:7 | 3 | 7 |
| 14 | Parma | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3:7 | -4 | 5 |
| 15 | Lecce | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:10 | -5 | 5 |
| 16 | Torino | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:13 | -8 | 5 |
| 17 | Fiorentina | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4:8 | -4 | 3 |
| 18 | Verona | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2:9 | -7 | 3 |
| 19 | Genoa | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3:9 | -6 | 2 |
| 20 | Pisa | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3:10 | -7 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Serie B
