Result
3:2
03/05/2023 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ITALY: SERIE A - ROUND 33
- Referee: Marinelli L. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | SuperSport |
 Czech-republic | Premier Sport 1 |
 Finland | CMore |
 Italy | Sky Sport |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 2 |
 Portugal | Sport TV |
 Romania | Orange Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Sport |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport |
 Sweden | CMore Live |
 United-kingdom | BT Sport |
Chances of winning
Atalanta
69.7% | Draw
18.5% | Spezia
11.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atalanta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)Spezia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atalanta than the current prediction. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spezia than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
Atalanta - Spezia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.37 ↓
(1.38) |
5.17 ↑
(4.85) |
8.24 ↑
(7.94) |
4.5%
(5.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Atalanta - Spezia?
Users Predictions:
59 users predict this event. Atalanta will win (votes: 45 - 76.3%). Spezia will win (votes: 11 - 18.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 5.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Atalanta: 65.4% – 87.2%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 7 and 17).
- Atalanta has the most likely position - 7 (42.13%), project points - 65, currently - 55, not chance of relegated, a chance of qualify for ucl (18%), not chance of win league.
- Spezia has the most likely position - 18 (44.01%), project points - 32, currently - 27, a good chance of relegated (53%), not chance of qualify for ucl.
- This event has quality 57, importance 61, match rating 59. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Atalanta won 4.
- Atalanta is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Spezia is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- In this match Atalanta is absolute favorite.
- There will not play in Atalanta: Hateboer H.
(Knee Injury)
Muratore S.
(Injury)
Ruggeri M.
(Injury)
Vorlicky L.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Spezia: Beck J.
(Foot Injury)
Holm E.
(Groin Injury)
Maldini D.
(Muscle Injury)
Moutinho J.
(Foot Injury)
Zovko P.
(Injury)
Zurkowski S.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Atalanta: Lookman A.
(Muscle Injury)
Okoli C.
(Injury)
Soppy B.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Spezia: Nzola M.
(Injury)
- Last 7 head-to-head matches Atalanta won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 20-8.
- Including matches at home between the teams Atalanta won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 15-5.
How many head-to-head matches has Atalanta won against Spezia?
Atalanta has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Spezia won against Atalanta?
Spezia has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atalanta - Spezia were as follows:
19.01.2023
Atalanta
-
Spezia
5:2
04.01.2023
Spezia
-
Atalanta
2:2
Latest results of Atalanta
Italian Serie A Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Inter | 27 | 22 | 1 | 4 | 64:21 | 43 | 67 |
| 2 | AC Milan | 27 | 16 | 9 | 2 | 43:20 | 23 | 57 |
| 3 | Napoli | 27 | 16 | 5 | 6 | 41:28 | 13 | 53 |
| 4 | AS Roma | 27 | 16 | 3 | 8 | 37:19 | 18 | 51 |
| 5 | Como | 27 | 13 | 9 | 5 | 44:20 | 24 | 48 |
| 6 | Juventus | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 46:28 | 18 | 47 |
| 7 | Atalanta | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 37:24 | 13 | 45 |
| 8 | Bologna | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 36:32 | 4 | 39 |
| 9 | Sassuolo | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 34:36 | -2 | 38 |
| 10 | Udinese | 27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | 31:39 | -8 | 35 |
| 11 | Lazio | 27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 26:27 | -1 | 34 |
| 12 | Parma | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 20:32 | -12 | 33 |
| 13 | Cagliari | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 29:36 | -7 | 30 |
| 14 | Torino | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 27:47 | -20 | 30 |
| 15 | Genoa | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 32:39 | -7 | 27 |
| 16 | Fiorentina | 27 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 30:42 | -12 | 24 |
| 17 | Cremonese | 27 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 21:38 | -17 | 24 |
| 18 | Lecce | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 18:36 | -18 | 24 |
| 19 | Pisa | 27 | 1 | 12 | 14 | 20:44 | -24 | 15 |
| 20 | Verona | 27 | 2 | 9 | 16 | 20:48 | -28 | 15 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Serie B
