Result
1:0
31/01/2026 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 22
- Referee: Di Bello M. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Belarus | Sport TV |
 Italy | DAZN Italia, Destination Calcio, LAB Channel |
 Russia | Telekanal Futbol |
 Slovenia | Sport TV3 |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 5, Blue Sport 5 |
 United-kingdom | DCTV |
 Usa | DCTV |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.56 | 0.91 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (317/391) | 73% (218/298) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.56 | 0.91 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.03 | 0.04 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 23 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (317/391) | 73% (218/298) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (16/36) | 38% (18/47) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (76/106) | 53% (36/68) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 9% (2/22) | 32% (6/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.50 | 0.64 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 23 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 70% (7/10) | 36% (4/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 38 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.04 | 1.03 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.04 | 0.03 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 30', Cassata F. 🟨,
- 34', Artistico G. 🟨,
- 35', Henderson L. 🟨,
- 38', Valoti M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 47', Hadzikadunic D. 🟨,
- 50', Hristov P. 🟨,
- 57', Pafundi S. ↓, Begic T. ↑,
- 58', Adamo E. ↓, Aurelio G. ↑,
- 67', Brunori M. ↓, Coda M. ↑,
- 67', Conti F. ↓, Ricci M. ↑,
- 77', Valoti M. ↓, Comotto C. ↑,
- 77', Artistico G. ↓, Vlahovic V. ↑,
- 85', Vlahovic V. 🟥,
- 85', Palma M. 🟥,
- 90', 1 - 0, Ricci M. ⚽,
- 90+1', Ricci M. 🟨,
- 90+2', Cherubini L. ↓, Riccio A. ↑,
- 90+2', Cassata F. ↓, Verde D. ↑,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/3fyc86tb
Chances of winning
Sampdoria
42.5% | Draw
32% | Spezia
25.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sampdoria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)Spezia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sampdoria than the current prediction. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spezia than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
Sampdoria - Spezia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.22 ↑
(2.08) |
2.93 ↓
(3.37) |
3.7 ↑
(3.4) |
6.3%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Sampdoria - Spezia?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Sampdoria will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Spezia will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sampdoria: 11.9% – 76.9%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sampdoria won 0.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Sampdoria may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Sampdoria might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Sampdoria: Altare G.
(Knee Injury)
Barak A.
(Inactive)
Esposito Sa.
(Inactive)
Ferri J.
(Inactive)
Venuti L.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Spezia: Lapadula G.
(Inactive)
Mateju A.
(Yellow Cards)
Sarr M.
(Ankle Injury)
Zurkowski S.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Spezia: Bandinelli F.
(Injury)
Mateju A.
(Injury)
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Sampdoria won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 16:20. (average 1.1:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sampdoria won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:5. (average 1.4:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Sampdoria won against Spezia?
Sampdoria has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Spezia won against Sampdoria?
Spezia has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sampdoria - Spezia were as follows:
30.11.2025
Spezia
-
Sampdoria
1:0
18.08.2025
Spezia
-
Sampdoria
2:1
06.04.2025
Spezia
-
Sampdoria
2:0
14.12.2024
Sampdoria
-
Spezia
0:0
20.04.2024
Spezia
-
Sampdoria
0:0
Latest results of Sampdoria
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 26 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 53:24 | 29 | 56 |
| 2 | Monza | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 39:20 | 19 | 54 |
| 3 | Frosinone | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 48:24 | 24 | 53 |
| 4 | Palermo | 26 | 14 | 9 | 3 | 45:19 | 26 | 51 |
| 5 | Catanzaro | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 37:27 | 10 | 44 |
| 6 | Modena | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 35:20 | 15 | 43 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 26 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 31:31 | 0 | 38 |
| 8 | Cesena | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 34:37 | -3 | 37 |
| 9 | Sudtirol | 26 | 7 | 12 | 7 | 26:27 | -1 | 33 |
| 10 | Empoli | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 32:36 | -4 | 30 |
| 11 | Carrarese | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 31:36 | -5 | 30 |
| 12 | Padova | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 26:32 | -6 | 30 |
| 13 | Sampdoria | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 28:34 | -6 | 29 |
| 14 | Avellino | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 30:42 | -12 | 29 |
| 15 | Reggiana | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 28:36 | -8 | 26 |
| 16 | Mantova | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 26:41 | -15 | 26 |
| 17 | Spezia | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 23:34 | -11 | 25 |
| 18 | Entella | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 24:37 | -13 | 25 |
| 19 | Bari | 26 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 21:39 | -18 | 22 |
| 20 | Pescara | 26 | 3 | 9 | 14 | 30:51 | -21 | 18 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
