Spezia vs Sampdoria – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
30/11/2025 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie B - Round 14
  • Referee: Chiffi D. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
israelIsrael5 GOLD Israel
italyItalyDAZN Italia, LAB Channel
russiaRussiaTelekanal Futbol
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 6, Blue Sport 6
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDCTV
usaUsaDCTV, Fox Soccer Plus
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.970.41
Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
119
Shots on target
42
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
39
Passes
72% (211/294)81% (311/385)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
0.970.41
xG on target (xGOT)
0.960.34
Total shots
119
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
54
Blocked Shots
23
Shots inside the Box
85
Shots outside the Box
34
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
39
Touches in opposition box
1320
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
03
Free Kicks
1418
Passes
72% (211/294)81% (311/385)
Long passes
39% (19/49)46% (22/48)
Passes in final third
52% (38/73)70% (85/121)
Crosses
31% (5/16)18% (5/28)
Expected assists (xA)
0.850.59
Throw-ins
1221
Fouls
1814
Tackles
50% (7/14)100% (6/6)
Duels won
5147
Clearances
4930
Interceptions
45
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
0.340.96
Goals prevented
0.34-0.04

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 7', Benedetti L. 🟨,
  • 22', Pafundi S. 🟨,
  • 31', Bandinelli F. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 51', 1 - 0, Artistico G. , Beruatto P. (A),
  • 54', Bellemo A. , Barak A. ,
  • 54', Benedetti L. , Conti F. ,
  • 64', Vulikic S. 🟨,
  • 65', Artistico G. , Verde D. ,
  • 66', Vulikic S. , Riccio A. ,
  • 78', Bandinelli F. , Vignali L. ,
  • 78', Henderson L. , Pedrola E. ,
  • 78', Giordano S. , Ioannou N. ,
  • 83', Beruatto P. 🟨,
  • 84', Beruatto P. , Hristov P. ,
  • 84', Kouda R. , Comotto C. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Spezia
40.7%
Draw
31.1%
Sampdoria
28.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.1% 29.9% 28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.8% 26.2% 32%

Spezia - Sampdoria Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.31
(2.22)
3.03
(3.12)
3.33
(3.34)
6.3%
(7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Spezia - Sampdoria?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Spezia will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Sampdoria will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 60%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29.6%90.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 18 in the zone Relegation).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Spezia won 2.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Spezia is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Spezia: Cassata F. (Red Card) Esposito Sa. (Inactive) Soleri E. (Injury) Zurkowski S. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Sampdoria: Abildgaard O. (Injury) Altare G. (Knee Injury) Cuni M. (Inactive) Depaoli F. (Yellow Cards) Ferrari A. (Inactive) Girelli S. (Inactive) Malagrida L. (Inactive) Ricci M. (Inactive) Riccio A. (Inactive) Romagnoli S. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • There are questionable in Spezia: Di Serio G. (Injury) Lapadula G. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Sampdoria: Benedetti L. (Injury)
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Spezia won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:16. (average 1.5:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Spezia won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 14:9. (average 1.8:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Spezia - Sampdoria were as follows:
    18.08.2025 Spezia - Sampdoria 2:1
    06.04.2025 Spezia - Sampdoria 2:0
    14.12.2024 Sampdoria - Spezia 0:0
    20.04.2024 Spezia - Sampdoria 0:0
    24.11.2023 Sampdoria - Spezia 2:1
    Latest results of Spezia
    23.11.2025 Mantova - Spezia 4:1
    07.11.2025 Spezia - Bari 1:1
    02.11.2025 Monza - Spezia 1:0
    29.10.2025 Spezia - Padova 1:1
    25.10.2025 Avellino - Spezia 0:4
    Latest results of Sampdoria
    24.11.2025 Sampdoria - Juve Stabia 1:0
    08.11.2025 Venezia - Sampdoria 3:1
    02.11.2025 Sampdoria - Mantova 0:1
    28.10.2025 Empoli - Sampdoria 1:1
    25.10.2025 Sampdoria - Frosinone 1:1
    Italian Serie B Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Frosinone16104231:141734
    2Monza1694321:12931
    3Cesena1693424:17730
    4Venezia1685328:131529
    5Palermo1685325:111429
    6Modena1685324:111329
    7Catanzaro1777324:19528
    8Juve Stabia1657417:19-222
    9Padova1656516:18-221
    10Empoli1655623:23020
    11Reggiana1655620:21-120
    12Avellino1655618:27-920
    13Carrarese1647523:25-219
    14Bari1737715:27-1216
    15Sudtirol1629515:19-415
    16Entella1636715:24-915
    17Spezia1635814:22-814
    18Mantova16421015:26-1114
    19Sampdoria1634915:23-813
    20Pescara1617820:32-1210

          Promotion ~ Serie A
          Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Serie B (Play Out: )
          Relegation