Result
2:0
27/09/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 5
- Referee: Fabbri M. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Israel | 5 SPORT Israel |
 Italy | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 Russia | Telekanal Futbol |
 United-kingdom | DCTV |
 Usa | DCTV, Fox Soccer Plus, Fox |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.45 | 0.33 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 74% | 26% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 92% (585/639) | 71% (157/221) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.45 | 0.33 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.39 | 0.34 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 6 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 20 | 19 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 92% (585/639) | 71% (157/221) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (12/29) | 47% (27/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 88% (186/212) | 58% (42/73) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (4/21) | 25% (3/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.04 | 0.25 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 20 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (4/6) | 36% (4/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.34 | 2.39 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.34 | 0.39 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 8', Vignali L. 🟥,
- 9', Perez K. 🟨,
- 29', 1 - 0, Adorante A. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Compagnon M. ↓, Hainaut A. ↑,
- 46', Venturi M. ↓, Korac S. ↑,
- 54', 2 - 0, Korac S. ⚽, Bjarkason B. (A),
- 56', Soleri E. ↓, Artistico G. ↑,
- 56', Di Serio G. ↓, Cassata F. ↑,
- 66', Hristov P. 🟨,
- 67', Beruatto P. ↓, Aurelio G. ↑,
- 67', Kouda R. ↓, Comotto C. ↑,
- 70', Adorante A. ↓, Fila D. ↑,
- 72', Haps R. ↓, Bohinen E. ↑,
- 82', Candela A. ↓, Lapadula G. ↑,
- 83', Schingtienne J. ↓, Svoboda M. ↑,
- 89', Cassata F. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Venezia
58.2% | Draw
25.7% | Spezia
16.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Venezia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+22%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Venezia's performance.Spezia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Spezia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Venezia than the current prediction. (-21.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Venezia that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spezia than the current prediction. (+18%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Spezia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Venezia - Spezia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.99 ↓
(2.55) |
4.78 ↑
(3.2) |
7.87 ↑
(2.65) |
-16.2%
(8.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Venezia - Spezia?
Users Predictions:
Venezia will win
(15 of 18 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 66.11% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Venezia will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Venezia won 1.
- In recent matches, Venezia has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Spezia's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Recently, Venezia has had a series of away games.
- Venezia will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Venezia: Conde C.
(Broken Leg)
Duncan A.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Spezia: Bandinelli F.
(Inactive)
Candelari P.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Venezia: Franjic B.
(Injury)
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Venezia won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 0.8:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Venezia won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 0.6:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Venezia won against Spezia?
Venezia has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Spezia won against Venezia?
Spezia has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Venezia - Spezia were as follows:
10.05.2024
Spezia
-
Venezia
2:1
15.09.2023
Venezia
-
Spezia
1:0
14.08.2023
Spezia
-
Venezia
3:2
Latest results of Venezia
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Modena | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 13:3 | 10 | 17 |
| 2 | Palermo | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 9:3 | 6 | 15 |
| 3 | Frosinone | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13:7 | 6 | 14 |
| 4 | Venezia | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10:5 | 5 | 12 |
| 5 | Avellino | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11:9 | 2 | 12 |
| 6 | Cesena | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11:10 | 1 | 11 |
| 7 | Monza | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 11 |
| 8 | Carrarese | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 11:7 | 4 | 10 |
| 9 | Juve Stabia | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8:8 | 0 | 10 |
| 10 | Sudtirol | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11:10 | 1 | 9 |
| 11 | Reggiana | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:10 | 0 | 9 |
| 12 | Empoli | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:13 | -3 | 9 |
| 13 | Padova | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 8 |
| 14 | Catanzaro | 7 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 7:8 | -1 | 6 |
| 15 | Entella | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:10 | -4 | 6 |
| 16 | Bari | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7:12 | -5 | 6 |
| 17 | Pescara | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11:14 | -3 | 5 |
| 18 | Sampdoria | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7:10 | -3 | 5 |
| 19 | Mantova | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5:13 | -8 | 4 |
| 20 | Spezia | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 4:11 | -7 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
