Result
2:0
03/12/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 37
- Referee: Rodrigues F. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.91 | 0.24 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 27 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 13 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (539/603) | 85% (307/362) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.91 | 0.24 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.62 | 0.18 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 27 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 13 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 17 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 52 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (539/603) | 85% (307/362) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 54% (13/24) | 31% (9/29) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 83% (185/223) | 75% (55/73) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 6% (1/16) | 18% (2/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.47 | 0.75 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 88% (14/16) | 54% (7/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 9 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 12 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.18 | 3.62 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.18 | 1.62 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 38', Lucas Lima 🟨,
- 40', 1 - 0, Rodrigo ⚽, Ademir (A),
- 45+6', Willian Jose (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Gomes do Nascimento A. ↓, Pedro Augusto ↑,
- 54', 2 - 0, Luciano Juba ⚽, Everton Ribeiro (A),
- 61', Rivera C. 🟨,
- 64', Nicolas Acevedo ↓, Caio Alexandre ↑,
- 64', Erick Pulga ↓, Tiago ↑,
- 68', Matheusinho ↓, Chrystian Barletta ↑,
- 75', Willian Jose ↓, Ruan Pablo ↑,
- 75', Everton Ribeiro ↓, Cauly ↑,
- 75', Rodrigo ↓, Erick ↑,
- 75', Aderlan ↓, Matheus Alexandre ↑,
- 76', Igor Carius ↓, Ramon Menezes ↑,
- 80', Lucas Lima ↓, Paciencia G. ↑,
- 85', Ramos S. 🟨,
- 89', Luan Candido 🟨,
Chances of winning
Bahia
78.3% | Draw
13.9% | Sport Recife
7.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bahia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)Sport Recife has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
Bahia - Sport Recife Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.21 ↓
(1.26) |
6.85 ↑
(5.89) |
12.25 ↑
(10.59) |
5.2%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Bahia - Sport Recife?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Bahia will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Recife will win (votes: 1 - 20%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Bahia (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 7.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1 - Bahia (1.28) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Bahia (votes: 3 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: ) and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet).
- Recife is Relegated to Serie B Superbet
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bahia won 2.
- Recent performances by Bahia have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Recife has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Bahia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Bahia is the clear favorite.
- There will not play in Bahia: David Duarte
(Injury)
Jean Lucas
(Yellow Cards)
Ruan Pablo
(International duty)
Sanabria M.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Recife: Denis
(Knee Injury)
Derik Lacerda
(Inactive)
Hereda
(Health problems)
Pedro Augusto
(Hip Injury)
Ze Lucas
(International duty)
Ze Roberto
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Bahia: Michel Araujo
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Recife: Hyoran
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bahia won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 20:30. (average 1:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Bahia won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:12. (average 1.6:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Bahia won against Sport Recife?
Bahia has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sport Recife won against Bahia?
Sport Recife has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bahia - Sport Recife were as follows:
02.08.2025
Sport Recife
-
Bahia
0:0
04.02.2024
Bahia
-
Sport Recife
2:1
22.02.2023
Sport Recife
-
Bahia
6:0
12.09.2022
Sport Recife
-
Bahia
1:0
Latest results of Sport Recife
Brazilian Serie A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12:5 | 7 | 10 |
| 2 | Sao Paulo | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 10 |
| 3 | Corinthians | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | Bahia | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | Fluminense | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 7 |
| 6 | Athletico-PR | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 7 |
| 7 | Bragantino | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 7 |
| 8 | Gremio | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 6 |
| 9 | Chapecoense-SC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8:6 | 2 | 5 |
| 10 | Mirassol | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6:5 | 1 | 5 |
| 11 | Flamengo RJ | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 12 | Coritiba | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 4 |
| 13 | Santos | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 4 |
| 14 | Botafogo RJ | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 3 |
| 15 | Vitoria | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 3 |
| 16 | Remo | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6:8 | -2 | 3 |
| 17 | Atletico-MG | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 2 |
| 18 | Internacional | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 2 |
| 19 | Cruzeiro | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4:9 | -5 | 2 |
| 20 | Vasco | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3:6 | -3 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
