Bahia vs Sport Recife – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
03/12/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A Betano - Round 37
  • Referee: Rodrigues F. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
chinaChinaK-Ball
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.910.24
Ball Possession
62%38%
Total shots
277
Shots on target
133
Big Chances
50
Corner Kicks
62
Passes
89% (539/603)85% (307/362)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
2.910.24
xG on target (xGOT)
3.620.18
Total shots
277
Shots on target
133
Shots off target
113
Blocked Shots
31
Shots inside the Box
173
Shots outside the Box
104
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
50
Corner Kicks
62
Touches in opposition box
5212
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1111
Passes
89% (539/603)85% (307/362)
Long passes
54% (13/24)31% (9/29)
Passes in final third
83% (185/223)75% (55/73)
Crosses
6% (1/16)18% (2/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.470.75
Throw-ins
1314
Fouls
1111
Tackles
88% (14/16)54% (7/13)
Duels won
3941
Clearances
928
Interceptions
313
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
312
xGOT faced
0.183.62
Goals prevented
0.181.62

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 38', Lucas Lima 🟨,
  • 40', 1 - 0, Rodrigo , Ademir (A),
  • 45+6', Willian Jose (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Gomes do Nascimento A. , Pedro Augusto ,
  • 54', 2 - 0, Luciano Juba , Everton Ribeiro (A),
  • 61', Rivera C. 🟨,
  • 64', Nicolas Acevedo , Caio Alexandre ,
  • 64', Erick Pulga , Tiago ,
  • 68', Matheusinho , Chrystian Barletta ,
  • 75', Willian Jose , Ruan Pablo ,
  • 75', Everton Ribeiro , Cauly ,
  • 75', Rodrigo , Erick ,
  • 75', Aderlan , Matheus Alexandre ,
  • 76', Igor Carius , Ramon Menezes ,
  • 80', Lucas Lima , Paciencia G. ,
  • 85', Ramos S. 🟨,
  • 89', Luan Candido 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Bahia
78.3%
Draw
13.9%
Sport Recife
7.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
75% 16% 8.9%

Bahia - Sport Recife Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.21
(1.26)
6.85
(5.89)
12.25
(10.59)
5.2%
(5.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Bahia - Sport Recife?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Bahia will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Recife will win (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Bahia (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: ) and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet).
    • Recife is Relegated to Serie B Superbet
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bahia won 2.
    • Recent performances by Bahia have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Recife has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Bahia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Bahia is the clear favorite.
    • There will not play in Bahia: David Duarte (Injury) Jean Lucas (Yellow Cards) Ruan Pablo (International duty) Sanabria M. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Recife: Denis (Knee Injury) Derik Lacerda (Inactive) Hereda (Health problems) Pedro Augusto (Hip Injury) Ze Lucas (International duty) Ze Roberto (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Bahia: Michel Araujo (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Recife: Hyoran (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bahia won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 20:30. (average 1:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Bahia won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:12. (average 1.6:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Bahia - Sport Recife were as follows:
    02.08.2025 Sport Recife - Bahia 0:0
    04.02.2024 Bahia - Sport Recife 2:1
    22.02.2023 Sport Recife - Bahia 6:0
    12.09.2022 Sport Recife - Bahia 1:0
    Latest results of Bahia
    28.11.2025 Juventude - Bahia 1:1
    23.11.2025 Bahia - Vasco da Gama 1:0
    20.11.2025 Bahia - Fortaleza 2:3
    08.11.2025 Internacional RS - Bahia 2:2
    05.11.2025 Atlético Mineiro - Bahia 3:0
    Latest results of Sport Recife
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Flamengo RJ ✔ 382310578:275179
    2Palmeiras ✔ 38237866:333376
    3Cruzeiro ✔ 381913655:312470
    4Mirassol ✔ 381813763:392467
    5Fluminense381971250:391164
    6Botafogo RJ381712958:382063
    7Bahia381791250:46460
    8Sao Paulo ✔ 381491543:47-451
    9Gremio3813101547:50-349
    10Bragantino ✔ 381461845:57-1248
    11Atletico-MG3812121443:44-148
    12Santos3812111545:50-547
    13Corinthians3812111542:47-547
    14Vasco381361955:60-545
    15Vitoria3811121535:52-1745
    16Internacional3811111644:57-1344
    17Ceara3811101734:40-643
    18Fortaleza3811101743:58-1543
    19Juventude ✔ 38982135:69-3435
    20Sport Recife ✔ 382112528:75-4717

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Flamengo RJ is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Copa Libertadores (Group Stage )
    Palmeiras is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Group Stage )
    Cruzeiro is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Group Stage )
    Mirassol is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Group Stage )
    Sao Paulo is Qualified for Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage )
    Bragantino is Qualified for Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage )
    Juventude is Relegated to Serie B Superbet
    Sport Recife is Relegated to Serie B Superbet