Result
0:4
11/05/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 8
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
China | K-Ball |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.08 | 1.38 |
Ball Possession |
---|
45% | 55% |
Total shots |
---|
11 | 17 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 6 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
7 | 4 |
Passes |
---|
82% (330/403) | 85% (430/506) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 0 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.08 | 1.38 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.37 | 1.39 |
Total shots |
---|
11 | 17 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 6 |
Shots off target |
---|
7 | 9 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
0 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
6 | 9 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
5 | 8 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
7 | 4 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
24 | 20 |
Accurate through passes |
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2 | 2 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
5 | 11 |
Passes |
---|
82% (330/403) | 85% (430/506) |
Long passes |
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55% (24/44) | 45% (19/42) |
Passes in final third |
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70% (87/125) | 65% (57/88) |
Crosses |
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29% (6/21) | 31% (4/13) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.68 | 1.07 |
Throw-ins |
---|
25 | 22 |
Fouls |
---|
11 | 5 |
Tackles |
---|
71% (10/14) | 72% (13/18) |
Duels won |
---|
35 | 46 |
Clearances |
---|
20 | 28 |
Interceptions |
---|
10 | 8 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
1 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
1 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 4 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.39 | 1.37 |
Goals prevented |
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-1.61 | 1.37 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 3)
- 7', 0 - 1, Christian ⚽, Kaiki (A),
- 18', 0 - 2, Kaio Jorge ⚽, Wanderson (A),
- 45+1', 0 - 3, Matheus Pereira ⚽, Kaio Jorge (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Matheus Alexandre ↓, Hereda ↑,
- 46', Carlos Alberto ↓, Atencio R. ↑,
- 53', 0 - 4, Matheus Pereira ⚽,
- 62', Kaio Jorge ↓, Gabriel Barbosa ↑,
- 62', Christian ↓, William Furtado ↑,
- 69', Du Queiroz ↓, Ze Lucas ↑,
- 69', Chrystian Barletta ↓, Romarinho ↑,
- 75', Matheus Pereira ↓, Diaz L. ↑,
- 75', Villalba L. ↓, Jonathan Jesus ↑,
- 75', Eduardo ↓, Walace ↑,
- 75', Igor Carius ↓, Dalbert ↑,
- 87', Dalbert 🟨,
Chances of winning
Sport Recife 36.3% | Draw 31.2% | Cruzeiro 32.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sport Recife has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sport Recife's form might have worsened.Cruzeiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sport Recife than the current prediction. (+8.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sport Recife, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cruzeiro than the current prediction. (-6.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cruzeiro, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Sport Recife - Cruzeiro Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.61 ↑ (2.22) |
3.05 ↓ (3.23) |
2.91 ↓ (3.35) |
5.5% (5.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Sport Recife - Cruzeiro?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Recife will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Cruzeiro will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cruzeiro: 50.6% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Cruzeiro (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Recife won 1.
- Recife has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Cruzeiro is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Recife may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Recife: Lucas Lima
(Yellow Cards)
Paciencia G.
(Injury)
Rafael Thyere
(Injury)
- There will not play in Cruzeiro: Joao Marcelo
(Knee Injury)
Matheus Henrique
(Knee Injury)
Romero L.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Recife: Oliveira S.
(Inactive)
Ze Roberto
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Cruzeiro: Japa
(Thigh Injury)
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Recife won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 9:16. (average 0.6:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Recife won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 0.9:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Sport Recife won against Cruzeiro?
Sport Recife has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cruzeiro won against Sport Recife?
Cruzeiro has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sport Recife - Cruzeiro were as follows:
09.10.2022
Sport Recife
-
Cruzeiro
3:1
Latest results of Sport Recife
Latest results of Cruzeiro
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Flamengo RJ | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 36:9 | 27 | 43 |
2 | Cruzeiro | 21 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 34:15 | 19 | 41 |
3 | Palmeiras | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 24:15 | 9 | 39 |
4 | Bahia | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 27:17 | 10 | 36 |
5 | Botafogo RJ | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 26:12 | 14 | 32 |
6 | Mirassol | 19 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 30:19 | 11 | 32 |
7 | Sao Paulo | 21 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 26:22 | 4 | 32 |
8 | Bragantino | 21 | 9 | 3 | 9 | 26:28 | -2 | 30 |
9 | Fluminense | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 25:28 | -3 | 27 |
10 | Ceara | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 19:19 | 0 | 26 |
11 | Corinthians | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 22:27 | -5 | 25 |
12 | Atletico-MG | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 20:23 | -3 | 24 |
13 | Internacional | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 23:28 | -5 | 24 |
14 | Gremio | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 19:25 | -6 | 24 |
15 | Santos | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 20:31 | -11 | 21 |
16 | Vasco | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 27:29 | -2 | 19 |
17 | Vitoria | 20 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 18:24 | -6 | 19 |
18 | Juventude | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 18:41 | -23 | 18 |
19 | Fortaleza | 20 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 19:32 | -13 | 15 |
20 | Sport Recife | 18 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 12:27 | -15 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet