Cruzeiro vs Sport Recife – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
05/10/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A Betano - Round 27
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
chinaChinaK-Ball
ecuadorEcuadorEl Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
portugalPortugalCanal 11
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.772.29
Ball Possession
61%39%
Total shots
2717
Shots on target
75
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
103
Passes
89% (446/502)82% (262/321)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
1.772.29
xG on target (xGOT)
2.061.62
Total shots
2717
Shots on target
75
Shots off target
117
Blocked Shots
95
Shots inside the Box
1411
Shots outside the Box
136
Hit the Woodwork
11
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
103
Touches in opposition box
3520
Accurate through passes
02
Offsides
51
Free Kicks
1511
Passes
89% (446/502)82% (262/321)
Long passes
59% (17/29)49% (21/43)
Passes in final third
83% (157/190)74% (76/103)
Crosses
31% (9/29)33% (4/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.481.13
Throw-ins
1612
Fouls
1115
Tackles
69% (9/13)65% (13/20)
Duels won
5346
Clearances
1238
Interceptions
97
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
46
xGOT faced
1.622.06
Goals prevented
0.621.06

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 16', Matheus Henrique , Christian ,
  • 21', Hyoran 🟨,
  • 26', Arroyo K. 🟨,
  • 33', Aderlan 🟨,
  • 41', 0 - 1, Derik Lacerda , Matheusinho (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Romarinho , Igor Carius ,
  • 55', Lucas Silva , Joao Marcelo ,
  • 55', Jonathan Jesus , Sinisterra L. ,
  • 59', 1 - 1, Gabriel Barbosa , Matheus Pereira (A),
  • 66', Hyoran , Atencio R. ,
  • 79', Kaua Moraes , Marquinhos ,
  • 79', Christian , Ryan Guilherme ,
  • 86', Ze Lucas , Pedro Augusto ,
  • 86', Matheusinho , Chrystian Barletta ,
  • 90+9', Rivera C. , Lucas Kal ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Cruzeiro
62.6%
Draw
23.4%
Sport Recife
14%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
71.4% 19.2% 9.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

74.3% 18.5% 9%

Cruzeiro - Sport Recife Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.51
(1.33)
4.12
(4.94)
6.83
(10.03)
5%
(5.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Cruzeiro - Sport Recife?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Cruzeiro (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cruzeiro won 3.
    • Cruzeiro is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • In recent matches, Recife has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Recife may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Cruzeiro is the obvious favorite.
    • There will not play in Cruzeiro: Fabricio Bruno (Yellow Cards) Fagner (Broken Leg) Janderson (Knee Injury) Jonathan Jesus (Inactive) Kaio Jorge (Yellow Cards) Romero L. (Yellow Cards) Wanderson (Inactive) William Furtado (Red Card)
    • There will not play in Recife: Denis (Knee Injury) Hereda (Health problems) Oliveira S. (Ankle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Recife: Ze Roberto (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Cruzeiro won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 20:9. (average 1.3:0.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cruzeiro won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:3. (average 1.7:0.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cruzeiro - Sport Recife were as follows:
    11.05.2025 Sport Recife - Cruzeiro 0:4
    09.10.2022 Sport Recife - Cruzeiro 3:1
    Latest results of Cruzeiro
    02.10.2025 Flamengo - Cruzeiro 0:0
    27.09.2025 Vasco da Gama - Cruzeiro 2:0
    15.09.2025 Bahia - Cruzeiro 1:2
    Latest results of Sport Recife
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bragantino00000:000
    2Internacional00000:000
    3Vasco00000:000
    4Gremio00000:000
    5Botafogo RJ00000:000
    6Santos00000:000
    7Sao Paulo00000:000
    8Coritiba00000:000
    9Cruzeiro00000:000
    10Vitoria00000:000
    11Atletico-MG00000:000
    12Fluminense00000:000
    13Flamengo RJ00000:000
    14Palmeiras00000:000
    15Athletico-PR00000:000
    16Bahia00000:000
    17Corinthians00000:000
    18Mirassol00000:000
    19Remo00000:000
    20Chapecoense-SC00000:000

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet