Sport Recife vs Cruzeiro – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie A Sport Recife - Cruzeiro
Result
0:4
11/05/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A Betano - Round 8
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
chinaChinaK-Ball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.081.38
Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
1117
Shots on target
46
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
74
Passes
82% (330/403)85% (430/506)
Yellow Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.081.38
xG on target (xGOT)
1.371.39
Total shots
1117
Shots on target
46
Shots off target
79
Blocked Shots
02
Shots inside the Box
69
Shots outside the Box
58
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
74
Touches in opposition box
2420
Accurate through passes
22
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
511
Passes
82% (330/403)85% (430/506)
Long passes
55% (24/44)45% (19/42)
Passes in final third
70% (87/125)65% (57/88)
Crosses
29% (6/21)31% (4/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.681.07
Throw-ins
2522
Fouls
115
Tackles
71% (10/14)72% (13/18)
Duels won
3546
Clearances
2028
Interceptions
108
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
1.391.37
Goals prevented
-1.611.37

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 3)
  • 7', 0 - 1, Christian , Kaiki (A),
  • 18', 0 - 2, Kaio Jorge , Wanderson (A),
  • 45+1', 0 - 3, Matheus Pereira , Kaio Jorge (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Matheus Alexandre , Hereda ,
  • 46', Carlos Alberto , Atencio R. ,
  • 53', 0 - 4, Matheus Pereira ,
  • 62', Kaio Jorge , Gabriel Barbosa ,
  • 62', Christian , William Furtado ,
  • 69', Du Queiroz , Ze Lucas ,
  • 69', Chrystian Barletta , Romarinho ,
  • 75', Matheus Pereira , Diaz L. ,
  • 75', Villalba L. , Jonathan Jesus ,
  • 75', Eduardo , Walace ,
  • 75', Igor Carius , Dalbert ,
  • 87', Dalbert 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Sport Recife
36.3%
Draw
31.2%
Cruzeiro
32.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.5% 29.3% 28.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.2% 31.2% 26.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sport Recife has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sport Recife's form might have worsened.
  • Cruzeiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sport Recife than the current prediction. (+8.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sport Recife, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cruzeiro than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cruzeiro, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Sport Recife - Cruzeiro Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.61
    (2.22)
    3.05
    (3.23)
    2.91
    (3.35)
    5.5%
    (5.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Sport Recife - Cruzeiro?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Recife will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Cruzeiro will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Cruzeiro: 50.6%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Cruzeiro (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Recife won 1.
    • Recife has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Cruzeiro is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Recife may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Recife: Lucas Lima (Yellow Cards) Paciencia G. (Injury) Rafael Thyere (Injury)
    • There will not play in Cruzeiro: Joao Marcelo (Knee Injury) Matheus Henrique (Knee Injury) Romero L. (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Recife: Oliveira S. (Inactive) Ze Roberto (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Cruzeiro: Japa (Thigh Injury)
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Recife won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 9:16. (average 0.6:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Recife won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 0.9:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sport Recife - Cruzeiro were as follows:
    09.10.2022 Sport Recife - Cruzeiro 3:1
    Latest results of Sport Recife
    Latest results of Cruzeiro
    07.05.2025 Mushuc Runa - Cruzeiro 1:1
    04.05.2025 Cruzeiro - Flamengo 2:1
    01.05.2025 Cruzeiro - Vila Nova 2:0
    27.04.2025 Cruzeiro - Vasco da Gama 1:0
    24.04.2025 Palestino - Cruzeiro 2:1
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Flamengo RJ19134236:92743
    2Cruzeiro21125434:151941
    3Palmeiras18123324:15939
    4Bahia19106327:171036
    5Botafogo RJ1995526:121432
    6Mirassol1988330:191132
    7Sao Paulo2188526:22432
    8Bragantino2193926:28-230
    9Fluminense1983825:28-327
    10Ceara2075819:19026
    11Corinthians2167822:27-525
    12Atletico-MG1966720:23-324
    13Internacional2066823:28-524
    14Gremio2066819:25-624
    15Santos20631120:31-1121
    16Vasco20541127:29-219
    17Vitoria20310718:24-619
    18Juventude20531218:41-2318
    19Fortaleza20361119:32-1315
    20Sport Recife18171012:27-1510

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet