Result
0:4
11/05/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 8
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.08 | 1.38 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (330/403) | 85% (430/506) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.08 | 1.38 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.37 | 1.39 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (330/403) | 85% (430/506) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 55% (24/44) | 45% (19/42) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (87/125) | 65% (57/88) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (6/21) | 31% (4/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.68 | 1.07 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (10/14) | 72% (13/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 35 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.39 | 1.37 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.61 | 1.37 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 3)
- 7', 0 - 1, Christian ⚽, Kaiki (A),
- 18', 0 - 2, Kaio Jorge ⚽, Wanderson (A),
- 45+1', 0 - 3, Matheus Pereira ⚽, Kaio Jorge (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Matheus Alexandre ↓, Hereda ↑,
- 46', Carlos Alberto ↓, Atencio R. ↑,
- 53', 0 - 4, Matheus Pereira ⚽,
- 62', Kaio Jorge ↓, Gabriel Barbosa ↑,
- 62', Christian ↓, William Furtado ↑,
- 69', Du Queiroz ↓, Ze Lucas ↑,
- 69', Chrystian Barletta ↓, Romarinho ↑,
- 75', Matheus Pereira ↓, Diaz L. ↑,
- 75', Villalba L. ↓, Jonathan Jesus ↑,
- 75', Eduardo ↓, Walace ↑,
- 75', Igor Carius ↓, Dalbert ↑,
- 87', Dalbert 🟨,
Chances of winning
Sport Recife
36.3% | Draw
31.2% | Cruzeiro
32.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sport Recife has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sport Recife's form might have worsened.Cruzeiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sport Recife than the current prediction. (+8.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sport Recife, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cruzeiro than the current prediction. (-6.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cruzeiro, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Sport Recife - Cruzeiro Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.61 ↑
(2.22) |
3.05 ↓
(3.23) |
2.91 ↓
(3.35) |
5.5%
(5.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Sport Recife - Cruzeiro?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Recife will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Cruzeiro will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cruzeiro: 50.6% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Cruzeiro (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Recife won 1.
- Recife has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Cruzeiro is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Recife may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Recife: Lucas Lima
(Yellow Cards)
Paciencia G.
(Injury)
Rafael Thyere
(Injury)
- There will not play in Cruzeiro: Joao Marcelo
(Knee Injury)
Matheus Henrique
(Knee Injury)
Romero L.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Recife: Oliveira S.
(Inactive)
Ze Roberto
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Cruzeiro: Japa
(Thigh Injury)
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Recife won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 9:16. (average 0.6:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Recife won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 0.9:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Sport Recife won against Cruzeiro?
Sport Recife has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cruzeiro won against Sport Recife?
Cruzeiro has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sport Recife - Cruzeiro were as follows:
09.10.2022
Sport Recife
-
Cruzeiro
3:1
Latest results of Sport Recife
Latest results of Cruzeiro
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 31:7 | 24 | 37 |
| 2 | Cruzeiro | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 30:11 | 19 | 37 |
| 3 | Palmeiras | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 21:14 | 7 | 33 |
| 4 | Bahia | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 20:13 | 7 | 29 |
| 5 | Mirassol | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 27:16 | 11 | 28 |
| 6 | Bragantino | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 21:22 | -1 | 27 |
| 7 | Botafogo RJ | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 18:10 | 8 | 26 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 20:20 | 0 | 25 |
| 9 | Fluminense | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 18:20 | -2 | 23 |
| 10 | Atletico-MG | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 18:17 | 1 | 23 |
| 11 | Ceara | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 17:17 | 0 | 22 |
| 12 | Corinthians | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 17:21 | -4 | 22 |
| 13 | Internacional | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18:22 | -4 | 21 |
| 14 | Gremio | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 16:23 | -7 | 20 |
| 15 | Vitoria | 18 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 16:20 | -4 | 18 |
| 16 | Vasco | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 18:23 | -5 | 15 |
| 17 | Santos | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 15:21 | -6 | 15 |
| 18 | Fortaleza | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 18:24 | -6 | 15 |
| 19 | Juventude | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 10:32 | -22 | 11 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 16 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 9:25 | -16 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
