Result
1:1
05/10/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 27
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
 Ecuador | El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Portugal | Canal 11 |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.77 | 2.29 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 27 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (446/502) | 82% (262/321) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.77 | 2.29 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.06 | 1.62 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 27 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 35 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (446/502) | 82% (262/321) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 59% (17/29) | 49% (21/43) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 83% (157/190) | 74% (76/103) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (9/29) | 33% (4/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.48 | 1.13 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (9/13) | 65% (13/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 12 | 38 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.62 | 2.06 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.62 | 1.06 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 16', Matheus Henrique ↓, Christian ↑,
- 21', Hyoran 🟨,
- 26', Arroyo K. 🟨,
- 33', Aderlan 🟨,
- 41', 0 - 1, Derik Lacerda ⚽, Matheusinho (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Romarinho ↓, Igor Carius ↑,
- 55', Lucas Silva ↓, Joao Marcelo ↑,
- 55', Jonathan Jesus ↓, Sinisterra L. ↑,
- 59', 1 - 1, Gabriel Barbosa ⚽, Matheus Pereira (A),
- 66', Hyoran ↓, Atencio R. ↑,
- 79', Kaua Moraes ↓, Marquinhos ↑,
- 79', Christian ↓, Ryan Guilherme ↑,
- 86', Ze Lucas ↓, Pedro Augusto ↑,
- 86', Matheusinho ↓, Chrystian Barletta ↑,
- 90+9', Rivera C. ↓, Lucas Kal ↑,
Chances of winning
Cruzeiro
62.6% | Draw
23.4% | Sport Recife
14% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cruzeiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cruzeiro's form might have worsened.Sport Recife has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cruzeiro than the current prediction. (+11.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cruzeiro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sport Recife than the current prediction. (-5%)
Cruzeiro - Sport Recife Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.51 ↑
(1.33) |
4.12 ↓
(4.94) |
6.83 ↓
(10.03) |
5%
(5.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Cruzeiro - Sport Recife?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Cruzeiro (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cruzeiro won 3.
- Cruzeiro is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, Recife has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Recife may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Cruzeiro is the obvious favorite.
- There will not play in Cruzeiro: Fabricio Bruno
(Yellow Cards)
Fagner
(Broken Leg)
Janderson
(Knee Injury)
Jonathan Jesus
(Inactive)
Kaio Jorge
(Yellow Cards)
Romero L.
(Yellow Cards)
Wanderson
(Inactive)
William Furtado
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Recife: Denis
(Knee Injury)
Hereda
(Health problems)
Oliveira S.
(Ankle Injury)
- There are questionable in Recife: Ze Roberto
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Cruzeiro won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 20:9. (average 1.3:0.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cruzeiro won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:3. (average 1.7:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Cruzeiro won against Sport Recife?
Cruzeiro has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sport Recife won against Cruzeiro?
Sport Recife has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cruzeiro - Sport Recife were as follows:
11.05.2025
Sport Recife
-
Cruzeiro
0:4
09.10.2022
Sport Recife
-
Cruzeiro
3:1
Latest results of Cruzeiro
Latest results of Sport Recife
Brazilian Serie A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 21:10 | 11 | 26 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 18:10 | 8 | 20 |
| 3 | Sao Paulo | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 15:9 | 6 | 20 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 18:13 | 5 | 20 |
| 5 | Bahia | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 15:10 | 5 | 20 |
| 6 | Athletico-PR | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 17:13 | 4 | 19 |
| 7 | Coritiba | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 16 |
| 8 | Atletico-MG | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 14:13 | 1 | 14 |
| 9 | Bragantino | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 11:12 | -1 | 14 |
| 10 | Vitoria | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11:14 | -3 | 14 |
| 11 | Botafogo RJ | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 18:21 | -3 | 13 |
| 12 | Gremio | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 13 |
| 13 | Vasco | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 16:17 | -1 | 13 |
| 14 | Internacional | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 9:10 | -1 | 13 |
| 15 | Santos | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 14:16 | -2 | 13 |
| 16 | Corinthians | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 11 |
| 17 | Cruzeiro | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14:21 | -7 | 10 |
| 18 | Remo | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 11:18 | -7 | 8 |
| 19 | Chapecoense-SC | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 10:18 | -8 | 8 |
| 20 | Mirassol | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11:16 | -5 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
