Result
1:2
25/10/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 30
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, R7, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.37 | 0.73 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 36% | 64% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (249/303) | 91% (522/574) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.37 | 0.73 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.38 | 1.24 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 26 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (249/303) | 91% (522/574) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 62% (31/50) | 64% (27/42) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (65/96) | 84% (119/142) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (4/22) | 27% (4/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.45 | 0.68 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 26 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (9/12) | 74% (14/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 36 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.24 | 0.38 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.76 | -0.62 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 8', Reinaldo 🟨,
- 24', Matheusinho 🟥,
- 28', 0 - 1, Negueba ⚽, Daniel Borges (A),
- 38', 1 - 1, Derik Lacerda ⚽, Oliveira S. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Aderlan ↓, Matheus Alexandre ↑,
- 46', Renato Marques ↓, Chico ↑,
- 46', Reinaldo ↓, Felipe Jonatan ↑,
- 47', 1 - 2, Guilherme ⚽,
- 51', Oliveira S. 🟨,
- 59', Pedro Augusto ↓, Chrystian Barletta ↑,
- 59', Luan Candido ↓, Igor Carius ↑,
- 67', Guilherme ↓, Shaylon ↑,
- 69', Oliveira S. ↓, Atencio R. ↑,
- 73', Neto Moura ↓, Jose Aldo ↑,
- 75', Lucas Kal ↓, Hyoran ↑,
- 79', Jemmes ↓, Luiz Otavio ↑,
- 90+4', Joao Victor 🟨,
Chances of winning
Sport Recife
34.3% | Draw
28.7% | Mirassol
37.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Sport Recife - Mirassol Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.8 ↓
(2.85) |
3.32 ↑
(3.25) |
2.56 ↑
(2.51) |
4.9%
(5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Sport Recife - Mirassol?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Mirassol (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Mirassol will win
(9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
- Recife is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Mirassol is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Recently, Mirassol has had a series of home games.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Recife: Denis
(Knee Injury)
Hereda
(Health problems)
Hyoran
(Muscle Injury)
Leo Pereira
(Inactive)
Ze Roberto
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Mirassol: Chico
(Inactive)
Edson Carioca
(Muscle Injury)
Gabriel
(Injury)
Lucas Ramon
(Inactive)
PH
(Knee Injury)
Yago Felipe
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Mirassol: Da Silva
(Injury)
Matheus Sales
(Injury)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Recife won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:3. (average 0.4:0.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Recife won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.5:0).
How many head-to-head matches has Sport Recife won against Mirassol?
Sport Recife has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mirassol won against Sport Recife?
Mirassol has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sport Recife - Mirassol were as follows:
01.06.2025
Mirassol
-
Sport Recife
1:0
29.09.2024
Mirassol
-
Sport Recife
0:0
16.06.2024
Sport Recife
-
Mirassol
1:0
03.11.2023
Mirassol
-
Sport Recife
2:1
09.07.2023
Sport Recife
-
Mirassol
0:0
Latest results of Sport Recife
Latest results of Mirassol
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras ✔ | 32 | 21 | 5 | 6 | 58:28 | 30 | 68 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ ✔ | 32 | 20 | 8 | 4 | 64:20 | 44 | 68 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 33 | 18 | 10 | 5 | 46:22 | 24 | 64 |
| 4 | Mirassol | 33 | 16 | 11 | 6 | 54:33 | 21 | 59 |
| 5 | Bahia | 33 | 15 | 8 | 10 | 44:40 | 4 | 53 |
| 6 | Botafogo RJ | 33 | 14 | 10 | 9 | 44:28 | 16 | 52 |
| 7 | Fluminense | 33 | 15 | 6 | 12 | 38:37 | 1 | 51 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 37:36 | 1 | 45 |
| 9 | Atletico-MG | 33 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 37:37 | 0 | 44 |
| 10 | Vasco | 33 | 12 | 6 | 15 | 50:49 | 1 | 42 |
| 11 | Bragantino | 33 | 12 | 6 | 15 | 38:50 | -12 | 42 |
| 12 | Ceara | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 31:30 | 1 | 42 |
| 13 | Corinthians | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 35:38 | -3 | 42 |
| 14 | Gremio | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 35:43 | -8 | 40 |
| 15 | Internacional | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 37:46 | -9 | 37 |
| 16 | Vitoria | 33 | 8 | 11 | 14 | 29:47 | -18 | 35 |
| 17 | Santos | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 33:48 | -15 | 33 |
| 18 | Juventude | 33 | 9 | 5 | 19 | 29:59 | -30 | 32 |
| 19 | Fortaleza | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 34:51 | -17 | 31 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 32 | 2 | 11 | 19 | 24:55 | -31 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
Clinched Spots for Teams
Palmeiras is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Group Stage )
Flamengo RJ is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Group Stage )
