Result
1:0
01/06/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 11
- Referee: Casagrande L. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.06 | 0.61 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (333/407) | 83% (351/424) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.06 | 0.61 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.02 | 0.43 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 20 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (333/407) | 83% (351/424) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (23/46) | 59% (35/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (88/124) | 64% (74/115) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (3/11) | 10% (2/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.39 | 0.74 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 20 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (9/15) | 45% (9/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.43 | 1.02 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.43 | 0.02 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 34', 1 - 0, Reinaldo (Pen),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Chico ↓, Ortiz C. ↑,
- 46', Du Queiroz ↓, Dalbert ↑,
- 54', Negueba 🟨,
- 59', Yago Felipe ↓, Chico Kim ↑,
- 64', Lucas Lima 🟨,
- 66', Hereda ↓, Carlos Alberto ↑,
- 67', Jose Aldo ↓, Cristian Renato ↑,
- 67', Edson Carioca ↓, Matheus Bianqui ↑,
- 74', Lucas Lima ↓, Rivera C. ↑,
- 74', Ze Lucas ↓, Atencio R. ↑,
- 79', Gabriel ↓, Ze Vitor ↑,
- 79', Negueba ↓, Daniel Fabricio ↑,
- 83', Cristian Renato 🟨,
- 85', Lucas Ramon 🟨,
- 90+7', Ze Vitor 🟨,
Chances of winning
Mirassol
49.9% | Draw
28.3% | Sport Recife
21.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mirassol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)Sport Recife has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mirassol than the current prediction. (-4.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sport Recife than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
Mirassol - Sport Recife Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.91 ↓
(2.05) |
3.33 ↑
(3.3) |
4.33 ↑
(3.5) |
5.6%
(7.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Mirassol - Sport Recife?
Users Predictions:
Mirassol will win
(34 of 36 users predict this - 94.44%).
Confidence interval (95%): 86.95% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Mirassol will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet).
- Recent performances by Mirassol have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Recife is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Mirassol may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Mirassol is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Mirassol: David Braz
(Injury)
Leo Gamalho
(Injury)
Matheus Sales
(Injury)
Neto Moura
(Yellow Cards)
Rafa Silva
(Thigh Injury)
- There will not play in Recife: Oliveira S.
(Yellow Cards)
Paciencia G.
(Thigh Injury)
- There are questionable in Mirassol: Edson Carioca
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Recife: Ze Roberto
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Mirassol won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.5:0.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Mirassol won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Mirassol won against Sport Recife?
Mirassol has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sport Recife won against Mirassol?
Sport Recife has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mirassol - Sport Recife were as follows:
29.09.2024
Mirassol
-
Sport Recife
0:0
16.06.2024
Sport Recife
-
Mirassol
1:0
03.11.2023
Mirassol
-
Sport Recife
2:1
09.07.2023
Sport Recife
-
Mirassol
0:0
Latest results of Mirassol
Latest results of Sport Recife
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 36:9 | 27 | 43 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 24:15 | 9 | 39 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 32:14 | 18 | 38 |
| 4 | Bahia | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 25:17 | 8 | 33 |
| 5 | Botafogo RJ | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 23:11 | 12 | 29 |
| 6 | Mirassol | 18 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 29:19 | 10 | 29 |
| 7 | Sao Paulo | 20 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 24:22 | 2 | 29 |
| 8 | Fluminense | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 23:24 | -1 | 27 |
| 9 | Bragantino | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 22:26 | -4 | 27 |
| 10 | Ceara | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 19:19 | 0 | 25 |
| 11 | Atletico-MG | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 20:21 | -1 | 24 |
| 12 | Internacional | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 22:26 | -4 | 24 |
| 13 | Gremio | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 19:25 | -6 | 23 |
| 14 | Corinthians | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 19:25 | -6 | 22 |
| 15 | Santos | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 20:29 | -9 | 21 |
| 16 | Vasco | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 25:26 | -1 | 19 |
| 17 | Vitoria | 20 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 18:24 | -6 | 19 |
| 18 | Juventude | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 17:38 | -21 | 18 |
| 19 | Fortaleza | 19 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 19:31 | -12 | 15 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 18 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 12:27 | -15 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
