Mirassol vs Sport Recife – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie A Mirassol - Sport Recife
Result
1:0
01/06/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A Betano - Round 11
  • Referee: Casagrande L. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
chinaChinaK-Ball
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.060.61
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
1210
Shots on target
44
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
27
Passes
82% (333/407)83% (351/424)
Yellow Cards
41
Expected Goals (xG)
1.060.61
xG on target (xGOT)
1.020.43
Total shots
1210
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
41
Blocked Shots
45
Shots inside the Box
44
Shots outside the Box
86
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
27
Touches in opposition box
1218
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
2010
Passes
82% (333/407)83% (351/424)
Long passes
50% (23/46)59% (35/59)
Passes in final third
71% (88/124)64% (74/115)
Crosses
27% (3/11)10% (2/20)
Expected assists (xA)
0.390.74
Throw-ins
2327
Fouls
1020
Tackles
60% (9/15)45% (9/20)
Duels won
5744
Clearances
2624
Interceptions
83
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
43
xGOT faced
0.431.02
Goals prevented
0.430.02

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 34', 1 - 0, Reinaldo (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Chico , Ortiz C. ,
  • 46', Du Queiroz , Dalbert ,
  • 54', Negueba 🟨,
  • 59', Yago Felipe , Chico Kim ,
  • 64', Lucas Lima 🟨,
  • 66', Hereda , Carlos Alberto ,
  • 67', Jose Aldo , Cristian Renato ,
  • 67', Edson Carioca , Matheus Bianqui ,
  • 74', Lucas Lima , Rivera C. ,
  • 74', Ze Lucas , Atencio R. ,
  • 79', Gabriel , Ze Vitor ,
  • 79', Negueba , Daniel Fabricio ,
  • 83', Cristian Renato 🟨,
  • 85', Lucas Ramon 🟨,
  • 90+7', Ze Vitor 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Mirassol
49.9%
Draw
28.3%
Sport Recife
21.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.3% 28.1% 26.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.6% 27.9% 26.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mirassol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
  • Sport Recife has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mirassol than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sport Recife than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
  • Mirassol - Sport Recife Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.91
    (2.05)
    3.33
    (3.3)
    4.33
    (3.5)
    5.6%
    (7.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Mirassol - Sport Recife?
  • Users Predictions: Mirassol will win (34 of 36 users predict this - 94.44%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 86.95%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Mirassol will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet).
    • Recent performances by Mirassol have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Recife is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Mirassol may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Mirassol is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Mirassol: David Braz (Injury) Leo Gamalho (Injury) Matheus Sales (Injury) Neto Moura (Yellow Cards) Rafa Silva (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in Recife: Oliveira S. (Yellow Cards) Paciencia G. (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in Mirassol: Edson Carioca (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Recife: Ze Roberto (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Mirassol won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.5:0.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Mirassol won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mirassol - Sport Recife were as follows:
    29.09.2024 Mirassol - Sport Recife 0:0
    16.06.2024 Sport Recife - Mirassol 1:0
    03.11.2023 Mirassol - Sport Recife 2:1
    09.07.2023 Sport Recife - Mirassol 0:0
    Latest results of Mirassol
    Latest results of Sport Recife
    17.05.2025 Ceará - Sport Recife 2:0
    11.05.2025 Sport Recife - Cruzeiro 0:4
    03.05.2025 Fluminense - Sport Recife 2:1
    26.04.2025 Sport Recife - Fortaleza 0:0
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Flamengo RJ16113230:62436
    2Cruzeiro17104328:111734
    3Palmeiras15102319:12732
    4Bahia1584320:13728
    5Bragantino1783620:20027
    6Botafogo RJ1575318:81026
    7Mirassol1567224:141025
    8Sao Paulo1757518:19-122
    9Ceara1663716:16021
    10Internacional1656517:20-321
    11Corinthians1756616:20-421
    12Fluminense1562717:20-320
    13Atletico-MG1555516:16020
    14Gremio1655616:22-620
    15Vitoria1738614:18-417
    16Vasco1543816:20-415
    17Santos1643915:21-615
    18Fortaleza1635817:23-614
    19Juventude15321010:32-2211
    20Sport Recife1505109:25-165

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet