Result
25/10/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 30
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, R7, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
China | K-Ball |
Mexico | Fanatiz |
Usa | Fanatiz |
Chances of winning
Sport Recife 33.7% | Draw 28.2% | Mirassol 38.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sport Recife has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)Mirassol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sport Recife than the current prediction. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mirassol than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
Sport Recife - Mirassol Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.81 ↓ (2.85) |
3.36 ↑ (3.25) |
2.51 (2.51) |
5.2% (5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Sport Recife - Mirassol?
Users Predictions:
Mirassol will win
(4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
- Recife is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Mirassol is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Recently, Mirassol has had a series of home games.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Recife: Denis
(Knee Injury)
Hereda
(Health problems)
Hyoran
(Muscle Injury)
Leo Pereira
(Inactive)
Ze Roberto
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Mirassol: Chico
(Inactive)
Edson Carioca
(Muscle Injury)
Gabriel
(Injury)
Lucas Ramon
(Inactive)
PH
(Knee Injury)
Yago Felipe
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Mirassol: Da Silva
(Injury)
Matheus Sales
(Injury)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Recife won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:3. (average 0.4:0.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Recife won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.5:0).
How many head-to-head matches has Sport Recife won against Mirassol?
Sport Recife has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mirassol won against Sport Recife?
Mirassol has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sport Recife - Mirassol were as follows:
01.06.2025
Mirassol
-
Sport Recife
1:0
29.09.2024
Mirassol
-
Sport Recife
0:0
16.06.2024
Sport Recife
-
Mirassol
1:0
03.11.2023
Mirassol
-
Sport Recife
2:1
09.07.2023
Sport Recife
-
Mirassol
0:0
Latest results of Sport Recife
Latest results of Mirassol
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 28 | 19 | 4 | 5 | 53:26 | 27 | 61 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 28 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 56:15 | 41 | 61 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 29 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 42:21 | 21 | 56 |
| 4 | Mirassol | 29 | 14 | 10 | 5 | 50:30 | 20 | 52 |
| 5 | Bahia | 29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 40:32 | 8 | 49 |
| 6 | Botafogo RJ | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 39:26 | 13 | 46 |
| 7 | Fluminense | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 35:35 | 0 | 41 |
| 8 | Vasco | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 46:41 | 5 | 39 |
| 9 | Sao Paulo | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 31:33 | -2 | 38 |
| 10 | Bragantino | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 34:44 | -10 | 36 |
| 11 | Corinthians | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 31:35 | -4 | 36 |
| 12 | Gremio | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 30:37 | -7 | 36 |
| 13 | Ceara | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 27:27 | 0 | 35 |
| 14 | Internacional | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 35:42 | -7 | 35 |
| 15 | Atletico-MG | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 26:32 | -6 | 33 |
| 16 | Santos | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 28:40 | -12 | 31 |
| 17 | Vitoria | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 27:43 | -16 | 31 |
| 18 | Juventude | 29 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 23:53 | -30 | 26 |
| 19 | Fortaleza | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 26:44 | -18 | 24 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 28 | 2 | 11 | 15 | 21:44 | -23 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet