Result
1:0
01/06/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 11
- Referee: Casagrande L. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
China | K-Ball |
Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.06 | 0.61 |
Ball Possession |
---|
49% | 51% |
Total shots |
---|
12 | 10 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 4 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
2 | 7 |
Passes |
---|
82% (333/407) | 83% (351/424) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
4 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.06 | 0.61 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.02 | 0.43 |
Total shots |
---|
12 | 10 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 4 |
Shots off target |
---|
4 | 1 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
4 | 5 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
4 | 4 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
8 | 6 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
2 | 7 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
12 | 18 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
1 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
20 | 10 |
Passes |
---|
82% (333/407) | 83% (351/424) |
Long passes |
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50% (23/46) | 59% (35/59) |
Passes in final third |
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71% (88/124) | 64% (74/115) |
Crosses |
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27% (3/11) | 10% (2/20) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.39 | 0.74 |
Throw-ins |
---|
23 | 27 |
Fouls |
---|
10 | 20 |
Tackles |
---|
60% (9/15) | 45% (9/20) |
Duels won |
---|
57 | 44 |
Clearances |
---|
26 | 24 |
Interceptions |
---|
8 | 3 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
4 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.43 | 1.02 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.43 | 0.02 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 34', 1 - 0, Reinaldo (Pen),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Chico ↓, Ortiz C. ↑,
- 46', Du Queiroz ↓, Dalbert ↑,
- 54', Negueba 🟨,
- 59', Yago Felipe ↓, Chico Kim ↑,
- 64', Lucas Lima 🟨,
- 66', Hereda ↓, Carlos Alberto ↑,
- 67', Jose Aldo ↓, Cristian Renato ↑,
- 67', Edson Carioca ↓, Matheus Bianqui ↑,
- 74', Lucas Lima ↓, Rivera C. ↑,
- 74', Ze Lucas ↓, Atencio R. ↑,
- 79', Gabriel ↓, Ze Vitor ↑,
- 79', Negueba ↓, Daniel Fabricio ↑,
- 83', Cristian Renato 🟨,
- 85', Lucas Ramon 🟨,
- 90+7', Ze Vitor 🟨,
Chances of winning
Mirassol 49.9% | Draw 28.3% | Sport Recife 21.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mirassol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)Sport Recife has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mirassol than the current prediction. (-4.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sport Recife than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
Mirassol - Sport Recife Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.91 ↓ (2.05) |
3.33 ↑ (3.3) |
4.33 ↑ (3.5) |
5.6% (7.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Mirassol - Sport Recife?
Users Predictions:
Mirassol will win
(34 of 36 users predict this - 94.44%).
Confidence interval (95%): 86.95% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Mirassol will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet).
- Recent performances by Mirassol have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Recife is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Mirassol may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Mirassol is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Mirassol: David Braz
(Injury)
Leo Gamalho
(Injury)
Matheus Sales
(Injury)
Neto Moura
(Yellow Cards)
Rafa Silva
(Thigh Injury)
- There will not play in Recife: Oliveira S.
(Yellow Cards)
Paciencia G.
(Thigh Injury)
- There are questionable in Mirassol: Edson Carioca
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Recife: Ze Roberto
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Mirassol won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.5:0.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Mirassol won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Mirassol won against Sport Recife?
Mirassol has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sport Recife won against Mirassol?
Sport Recife has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mirassol - Sport Recife were as follows:
29.09.2024
Mirassol
-
Sport Recife
0:0
16.06.2024
Sport Recife
-
Mirassol
1:0
03.11.2023
Mirassol
-
Sport Recife
2:1
09.07.2023
Sport Recife
-
Mirassol
0:0
Latest results of Mirassol
Latest results of Sport Recife
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Flamengo RJ | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 30:6 | 24 | 36 |
2 | Cruzeiro | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 28:11 | 17 | 34 |
3 | Palmeiras | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 19:12 | 7 | 32 |
4 | Bahia | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 20:13 | 7 | 28 |
5 | Bragantino | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 20:20 | 0 | 27 |
6 | Botafogo RJ | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 18:8 | 10 | 26 |
7 | Mirassol | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 24:14 | 10 | 25 |
8 | Sao Paulo | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 18:19 | -1 | 22 |
9 | Ceara | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 16:16 | 0 | 21 |
10 | Internacional | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 17:20 | -3 | 21 |
11 | Corinthians | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 16:20 | -4 | 21 |
12 | Fluminense | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 17:20 | -3 | 20 |
13 | Atletico-MG | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16:16 | 0 | 20 |
14 | Gremio | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 16:22 | -6 | 20 |
15 | Vitoria | 17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 14:18 | -4 | 17 |
16 | Vasco | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 16:20 | -4 | 15 |
17 | Santos | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 15:21 | -6 | 15 |
18 | Fortaleza | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 17:23 | -6 | 14 |
19 | Juventude | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 10:32 | -22 | 11 |
20 | Sport Recife | 15 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 9:25 | -16 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet